Mammoth-Alb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

443

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-22 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

75% 62% +$67

Politics

15% 91% +$33

Sports

6% 71% +$7

Crypto

2% 50% +$2

Pop-Culture

2% 71% +$14

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	05-21 01:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	No		+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	05-21 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	1	$123	125	+125	No	+$2	05-17 00:54
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?	1	$98	99	+99	Yes	-$98	05-18 01:45
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	1	$67	99	+99	No	+$32	05-22 00:10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$48	100	+100	Yes	-$48	05-21 21:53
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$46	66	+66	No	+$20	05-22 00:38
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	1	$44	45	+45	No	+$1	05-17 16:12
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$44	49	+49	No	+$5	05-22 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?	2	$41	60	+60	Yes	+$19	05-17 00:59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$40	62	+62	No	+$22	05-22 09:28
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$34	54	+54	Yes	-$34	05-22 00:31
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 21?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-21 13:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-17 16:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	05-21 04:04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$31	50	+50	No	+$19	05-22 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?	4	$31	37	+37	No	+$6	05-21 17:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-17 04:05
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 21?	1	$27	32	+32	No	+$5	05-21 07:15
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-22 11:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-22 11:53
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 17?	5	$23	119	+119	No	-$23	05-18 02:20
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	05-17 18:57
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	1	$21	24	+24	No	+$3	05-21 13:56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?	1	$21	33	+33	Yes	+$12	05-17 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 23?	2	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-22 09:53
Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	2	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-21 10:58
Will Legacy win CS Asia Championships 2026?	1	$18	19	+19	Yes	-$18	05-22 08:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$18	50	+50	Yes	+$32	05-18 01:01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$17	33	+33	No	+$16	05-21 04:05
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	05-18 00:01
Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?	2	$16	17	+17	No	+$1	05-21 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:53:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xea0a57…
05-22 11:25:50	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd31bbc…
05-22 11:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xff2eb7…
05-22 11:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc3c928…
05-22 10:55:42	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 2 - 0 Atalanta BC?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xdcb7f8…
05-22 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1d8f90…
05-22 10:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd4d1b7…
05-22 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4179c5…
05-22 09:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfdf326…
05-22 09:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd1f6cf…
05-22 09:28:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x86ebf9…
05-22 09:21:16	Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 0.7% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fbff6…
05-22 09:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x0f4f58…
05-22 09:01:13	Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xb4c0ca…
05-22 08:46:14	Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0xb55184…
05-22 08:26:01	Will Legacy win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x8e05ad…
05-22 08:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4f7737…
05-22 08:22:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xc163e0…
05-22 08:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb34405…
05-22 08:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7aff09…
05-22 07:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x737970…
05-22 07:40:19	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 24?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x18e7a0…
05-22 07:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe813a6…
05-22 07:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9582dc…
05-22 07:15:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9758b1…
05-22 07:13:29	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xed4209…
05-22 07:13:29	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x9ce8ee…
05-22 07:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56ff35…
05-22 06:58:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 24?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4f5a65…
05-22 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd06555…
05-22 06:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc42118…
05-22 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x284890…
05-22 06:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ea2ef…
05-22 06:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc8def2…
05-22 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b9953…
05-22 05:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x05a33f…
05-22 05:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2255a…
05-22 05:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd02af3…
05-22 05:07:48	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x5c87ed…
05-22 05:06:49	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7157ff…
05-22 05:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26f22b…
05-22 04:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x061f14…
05-22 04:40:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xa140dc…
05-22 04:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f7baa…
05-22 04:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe94676…
05-22 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43e9b1…
05-22 03:57:41	Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x78eb43…
05-22 03:40:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7b156…
05-22 03:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 23?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd447f9…
05-22 03:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 23?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x1b3f37…
05-22 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9bf8e0…
05-22 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2e0973…
05-22 02:56:35	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xbffdda…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x685e95…
05-22 02:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2b64b0…
05-22 02:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd38862…
05-22 02:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x45eb12…
05-22 02:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6b04c7…
05-22 02:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x67d10a…
05-22 01:53:09	Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe7960d…
05-22 01:46:12	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a5d0b…
05-22 01:29:00	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9619ff…
05-22 01:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x176d59…
05-22 01:19:40	Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea4ae9…
05-22 01:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x816e83…
05-22 01:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa1c2d0…
05-22 00:41:24	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x42f46e…
05-22 00:38:30	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x9ca6e0…
05-22 00:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc8f7b9…
05-22 00:31:41	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x497ba0…
05-22 00:31:41	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x441b1c…
05-22 00:25:02	Will "Perfect Match: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0xf7c017…
05-22 00:24:32	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x18f894…
05-22 00:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 23?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb2d099…
05-22 00:10:57	Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0x4b424c…
05-22 00:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 22?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x966df7…
05-22 00:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xaf32eb…
05-22 00:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x992f2e…
05-22 00:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x50ac70…
05-21 23:47:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xca5f60…
05-21 23:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x4059d4…
05-21 23:43:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2044e…
05-21 23:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf43503…
05-21 23:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea0961…
05-21 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc0ea63…
05-21 23:00:18	James Norton announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbaca4b…
05-21 22:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0707a…
05-21 22:35:10	Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0410ce…
05-21 22:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbd351e…
05-21 22:20:38	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x8a399f…
05-21 22:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x634568…
05-21 22:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95f701…
05-21 22:01:21	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x328541…
05-21 21:58:14	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x5f6fb4…
05-21 21:53:25	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x2a73b8…
05-21 21:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe8e18a…
05-21 21:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7340fe…
05-21 21:37:56	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xc7c13e…
05-21 21:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 22?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x9d403a…
05-21 21:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xc7ab25…