Required-Wonder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$4.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-13 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Crypto

30% 53% $-104

Other

26% 67% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-27 18:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$1.0K	1,317	0	+1,317	open	—	04-27 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET	5	$59	57	54	+2	open	—	04-27 22:25
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$28	39	22	+16	open	—	05-03 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	6	$22	127	0	+127	open	—	05-04 12:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$21	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 15:39
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	4	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	05-04 16:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	5	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$14	25	0	+25	Up	$-14	05-05 18:21
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$13	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 16:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$13	24	0	+24	Down	$-13	05-04 21:39
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	05-03 22:11
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	05-04 16:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$12	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 19:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	05-04 12:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$11	46	0	+46	open	—	05-04 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 12:53
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 09:30
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$11	47	0	+47	open	—	05-04 11:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$11	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 12:53
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	Up	$-11	05-05 18:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	Up	$-11	05-05 18:50
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$11	34	0	+34	open	—	05-04 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$11	49	0	+49	open	—	05-04 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	05-04 09:08
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 15:54
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x7eb8f8…
05-11 14:51:04	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x56e3bd…
05-11 14:02:04	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfaa285…
05-11 13:27:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x564588…
05-11 12:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3cacbe…
05-11 12:11:26	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x480caf…
05-11 12:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xda93c2…
05-10 18:27:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfe5743…
05-10 18:27:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xacd6af…
05-10 18:26:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x596c3e…
05-10 18:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xde1a26…
05-10 18:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8ba90b…
05-10 18:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x699974…
05-10 18:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe42203…
05-10 17:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7d166d…
05-10 17:32:26	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x023d9d…
05-10 17:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x135261…
05-10 16:27:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xce1a10…
05-10 16:26:57	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3953a3…
05-10 16:04:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb89f54…
05-10 16:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x14fd04…
05-10 14:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b0757…
05-10 13:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3f3000…
05-10 13:48:52	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1ab4d3…
05-10 13:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x42ccbd…
05-10 13:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x39e7dd…
05-10 13:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6e72c4…
05-10 13:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x993c1d…
05-10 13:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe1a355…
05-10 12:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x77ecb6…
05-10 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x01171b…
05-10 09:44:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x057e7d…
05-10 09:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfd845a…
05-10 09:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x81e3dc…
05-10 09:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x3cf150…
05-10 08:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7e6428…
05-10 08:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf2ec58…
05-09 21:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x221179…
05-09 21:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x026534…
05-09 21:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x01e455…
05-09 21:06:32	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1a1646…
05-09 21:04:43	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ed43b…
05-09 21:03:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xeb1e84…
05-09 20:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc9fd07…
05-09 20:52:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdcdd91…
05-09 20:22:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x539fbc…
05-09 20:05:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9e1f75…
05-09 20:04:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4af6a2…
05-09 19:41:51	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x86954e…
05-09 19:26:06	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x67acc9…
05-09 19:23:45	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x532971…
05-09 19:21:56	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x81aa35…
05-09 19:21:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbab527…
05-09 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa63932…
05-07 12:33:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ec51c…
05-07 12:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x48087f…
05-07 12:32:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe9b2a7…
05-07 12:26:59	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd34986…
05-07 12:26:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4d4c2c…
05-07 12:26:52	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xead8cb…
05-07 12:26:52	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x4b0cf7…
05-07 12:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x8e52c0…
05-07 12:07:41	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9c73bd…
05-07 12:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6ad6dc…
05-07 12:05:16	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4de83d…
05-07 12:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2001e5…
05-07 11:35:46	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc381b5…
05-07 10:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8d8013…
05-07 10:19:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x958df5…
05-07 09:53:12	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5ec7d9…
05-06 16:37:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x829042…
05-06 16:37:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x784cf8…
05-06 16:37:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x6182e7…
05-06 16:37:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x4703e6…
05-06 16:36:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x2336db…
05-06 16:18:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa95e84…
05-06 16:05:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xbb1008…
05-06 16:02:33	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe09dd9…
05-06 15:57:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xa41d88…
05-06 15:50:47	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x200045…
05-06 15:47:42	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x828d4a…
05-06 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x13c44d…
05-06 15:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd7d318…
05-06 15:42:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xd1cb8b…
05-06 15:42:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc27a6f…
05-06 15:42:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x328f8f…
05-06 15:42:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x5b2422…
05-06 15:41:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xcc81f0…
05-06 15:36:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x45366d…
05-06 14:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xeefd80…
05-06 14:21:54	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x14159b…
05-06 14:21:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x293a99…
05-06 14:21:46	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x3b6229…
05-06 13:33:42	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x94c14f…
05-06 13:33:42	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7fd23d…
05-06 13:03:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6d2179…
05-06 12:46:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9fe467…
05-06 12:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x94ab98…
05-06 12:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x51f7cb…
05-06 12:35:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x9557f8…