Expensive-Causal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

2,593

Trades

3,191

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-17 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% $-49

Other

0% 0% $-3

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768451400	4	$20	17	15	+1	Down	$-10	01-15 04:44
btc updown 15m 1772533800	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	03-03 10:44
btc updown 15m 1768452300	4	$16	12	10	+1	Up	$-5	01-15 04:59
btc updown 15m 1768450500	2	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	01-15 04:29
btc updown 15m 1768449600	2	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$0	01-15 04:14
ethereum up or down february 21 3pm et	4	$12	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	02-21 20:36
bitcoin up or down february 21 3pm et	4	$12	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	02-21 20:36
btc updown 15m 1768355100	4	$11	8	8	+0	Down	$-4	01-14 01:59
bitcoin up or down january 13 8am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	01-13 14:16
xrp updown 5m 1772807700	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-06 14:39
eth updown 15m 1772801100	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-06 12:59
xrp updown 5m 1772889300	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	$-10	03-07 13:20
btc updown 5m 1772887800	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-07 12:54
sol updown 5m 1772897100	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-07 15:29
btc updown 5m 1772634900	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-04 14:39
xrp updown 5m 1772631600	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-04 13:45
xrp updown 5m 1772823000	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-06 18:54
sol updown 5m 1772859000	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	03-07 04:54
btc updown 5m 1772635500	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	03-04 14:49
btc updown 5m 1772635200	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-04 14:44
eth updown 5m 1772803800	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-06 13:34
xrp updown 5m 1772636100	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-04 14:59
xrp updown 5m 1772634900	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-04 14:39
btc updown 15m 1772631000	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	03-04 13:44
xrp updown 5m 1772635200	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 14:44
btc updown 15m 1772634600	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 14:44
btc updown 15m 1768356900	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	01-14 02:29
bitcoin up or down january 13 1pm et	8	$9	199	100	+99	Up	$-1	01-13 18:58
btc updown 5m 1773220800	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 09:25
btc updown 15m 1768492800	2	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	01-15 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 07:49:04	sol updown 5m 1781682300	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7bd0e7…
06-17 07:48:38	sol updown 5m 1781682300	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcaa513…
06-04 10:54:52	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xeb5cc5…
06-04 10:53:52	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8f19a0…
06-04 10:38:39	btc updown 5m 1780569300	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb2d888…
06-03 23:44:31	xrp updown 5m 1780530000	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9efc35…
06-03 23:43:48	xrp updown 5m 1780530000	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3d5d82…
06-01 16:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5657d9…
06-01 11:39:26	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2919d0…
06-01 11:38:40	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x38f332…
06-01 03:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0ee77d…
05-30 02:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x983f7b…
05-28 23:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc088b1…
05-28 22:54:15	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaa884f…
05-28 10:09:26	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xbfc206…
05-28 10:08:51	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9be8d2…
05-25 06:43:43	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa4e619…
05-25 06:08:45	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3e4e35…
05-25 06:03:37	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x648312…
05-25 05:38:37	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x146b4b…
05-25 05:33:49	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfd82b6…
05-24 21:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8632a7…
05-24 21:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x895e2f…
05-24 20:14:50	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfb0764…
05-24 20:13:43	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x147e3e…
05-24 20:09:42	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x792ad5…
05-24 20:08:44	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcd33f0…
05-24 19:08:50	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x59b7aa…
05-24 12:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb163fb…
05-24 12:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x37906c…
05-24 10:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1c9a2e…
05-24 08:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xda1462…
05-24 08:28:37	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc72c0a…
05-24 08:18:58	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x781a8c…
05-24 08:13:41	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0a7bec…
05-24 07:33:42	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9f3357…
05-24 07:03:38	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb3ad27…
05-24 06:58:47	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6728b7…
05-24 05:58:44	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x37603e…
05-24 05:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbb7b66…
05-24 03:34:18	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x563882…
05-24 03:33:55	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0b5983…
05-24 02:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x88f03a…
05-24 02:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8f462e…
05-24 02:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa5ff22…
05-24 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa22c75…
05-23 22:58:44	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x70602e…
05-23 22:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x3f0a85…
05-23 22:29:06	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbae52c…
05-23 22:18:39	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x80e552…
05-23 20:48:48	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0bb55d…
05-23 20:48:42	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xb934a1…
05-23 20:48:41	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xbb0d4f…
05-23 20:18:49	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcc4221…
05-23 20:13:39	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf1920b…
05-23 18:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x83a097…
05-23 18:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x56c691…
05-23 18:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7f2abe…
05-23 17:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x409fe1…
05-23 17:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe077a0…
05-23 17:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc2d745…
05-23 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4797d0…
05-23 12:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x570813…
05-23 08:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe7c280…
05-23 08:48:42	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x27a771…
05-22 05:43:42	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x73189e…
05-22 04:44:37	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xcd9412…
05-22 03:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x75a0e8…
05-21 22:58:45	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x832d87…
05-21 19:29:26	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4ec5cc…
05-21 19:28:44	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd76b52…
05-21 19:18:42	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2d302a…
05-21 17:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7f08cd…
05-21 17:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1c68e6…
05-21 17:29:00	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xcd5600…
05-21 17:28:58	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc533e5…
05-21 17:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2d897b…
05-21 16:08:53	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3d2c8c…
05-21 12:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd78351…
05-21 12:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x844865…
05-10 08:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xb929b0…
05-10 08:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x29392f…
04-25 11:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdc0f2c…
04-25 11:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x46cede…
04-25 11:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe9976c…
04-24 11:34:06	btc updown 5m 1777030200	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdcefeb…
04-21 13:28:52	btc updown 5m 1776777900	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5395e1…
04-21 13:23:46	btc updown 5m 1776777600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb86464…
04-21 12:24:50	btc updown 5m 1776774000	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x03ca00…
04-21 12:24:16	btc updown 5m 1776774000	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6bcfa7…
04-21 12:19:06	btc updown 5m 1776773700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3c776c…
04-21 11:59:54	eth updown 5m 1776772500	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6328f5…
04-21 11:59:12	eth updown 5m 1776772500	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfa0a42…
04-21 11:34:54	eth updown 5m 1776771000	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1b1378…
04-21 11:34:08	eth updown 5m 1776771000	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfe68d0…
04-21 10:54:48	eth updown 5m 1776768600	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9efaf3…
04-21 10:54:38	eth updown 5m 1776768600	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6a8aed…
04-21 10:39:12	sol updown 5m 1776767700	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd9071d…
04-21 00:34:08	eth updown 5m 1776731400	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf6764b…
04-21 00:08:48	btc updown 5m 1776729900	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x425aa8…