Starchy-Sonata — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$288

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

585

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 09-06 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 89% -$201

Other

9% 65% -$31

Politics

1% 33% -$12

Tech

1% 0% -$20

Sports

1% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	+20	$6	99¢	$20	+$14	05-31 03:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+14	$10	54¢	$8	-$2	07-14 17:38
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$5	96¢	$7	+$2	05-30 20:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$143	539	122	+417	No	-$79	06-02 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	2	$50	110	0	+110	Down	-$50	07-05 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	-$25	06-02 02:01
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:50 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	08-08 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	08-06 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:50 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-09 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 01:10 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	08-08 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	1	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	08-08 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:45 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	08-07 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:00 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	08-08 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:10 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	-$20	08-10 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:35 UTC	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	08-10 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:40 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	08-10 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:40 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	08-07 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-11 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:05 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	08-06 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 05:45 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-08 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:05 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	-$20	08-11 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 00:40 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	08-09 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:55 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	08-08 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	08-07 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 19:35 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	08-06 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-06 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:45 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-08 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:35 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-08 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:40 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	08-08 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	08-09 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	08-06 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	08-09 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 22:09:52	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4b7722…
08-11 10:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2e02db…
08-11 09:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x13d7ae…
08-11 09:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x07a01e…
08-11 08:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa09d50…
08-11 06:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc62b8e…
08-11 05:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5dac0a…
08-11 04:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdf56df…
08-11 04:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x946f08…
08-11 04:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdd6ba3…
08-11 04:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2e8efd…
08-11 03:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xce403f…
08-11 02:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8c9401…
08-11 02:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x79a14f…
08-11 01:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf41fd6…
08-11 00:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x477ea6…
08-11 00:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x932c87…
08-11 00:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe04d41…
08-10 23:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb8af96…
08-10 23:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf76066…
08-10 22:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x78e96a…
08-10 22:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x19d90c…
08-10 21:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x37aaa8…
08-10 21:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7a0965…
08-10 15:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2823dd…
08-10 14:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x467e02…
08-10 14:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbccede…
08-10 11:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x50f1f1…
08-10 11:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xed316d…
08-10 11:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x40c88b…
08-10 10:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x089f58…
08-10 09:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfac8c3…
08-10 09:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0cce2e…
08-10 07:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x326986…
08-10 07:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe219d5…
08-10 07:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5ed6bc…
08-10 07:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc7d143…
08-10 06:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x718506…
08-10 05:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x62724e…
08-10 05:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x58aeba…
08-10 05:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf97f35…
08-10 05:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe868e9…
08-10 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x04ba50…
08-10 03:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x958ae0…
08-10 03:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc12874…
08-10 02:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa61cb3…
08-10 02:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1574d1…
08-10 01:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc334cf…
08-10 01:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3b93e2…
08-10 01:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf45555…
08-10 00:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfbdaff…
08-10 00:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7c9c97…
08-09 23:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc8807e…
08-09 22:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x408505…
08-09 22:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd33c3f…
08-09 21:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xeec225…
08-09 20:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x02dae8…
08-09 20:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc2e933…
08-09 18:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7e34c2…
08-09 18:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xeb2001…
08-09 17:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb866be…
08-09 17:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcb2032…
08-09 16:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xeb680e…
08-09 16:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4430ca…
08-09 16:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62b02f…
08-09 14:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9ea87d…
08-09 13:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5a7725…
08-09 13:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf19960…
08-09 12:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe05e00…
08-09 12:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x61b0da…
08-09 10:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfe335b…
08-09 10:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x38c7fa…
08-09 09:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf82468…
08-09 09:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0653a8…
08-09 08:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc83835…
08-09 07:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6c110c…
08-09 06:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14bb38…
08-09 05:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd8c7e9…
08-09 05:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcce0ab…
08-09 04:53:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4106bf…
08-09 04:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xef602c…
08-09 04:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc66bde…
08-09 03:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbe9851…
08-09 03:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x801836…
08-09 02:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7b272f…
08-09 01:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x82c80b…
08-09 01:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb76b40…
08-09 00:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x878eea…
08-08 22:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc96467…
08-08 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5742eb…
08-08 22:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x625733…
08-08 21:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x377f42…
08-08 21:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd18cf3…
08-08 20:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfe452a…
08-08 20:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x17287a…
08-08 20:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x92d928…
08-08 20:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xed8691…
08-08 19:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x48fee4…
08-08 19:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2d8bc8…
08-08 17:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd55bb5…