Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$733

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 04-06 05:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

82% 61% -$614

Crypto

15% 68% -$160

Other

3% 100% +$40

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$4.1K	2,374	2,374	+0	No	+$156	04-01 07:01
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$2.2K	1,304	1,304	+0	Yes	+$232	03-25 14:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$1.8K	2,705	2,705	+0	Yes	-$38	02-28 06:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$1.8K	1,064	1,064	+0	No	+$122	03-07 16:36
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	2	$1.6K	814	814	+0	Yes	+$16	03-02 00:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.5K	869	869	+0	Yes	+$87	04-03 06:05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,448	868	+581	Yes	+$419	02-23 19:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$1.2K	666	666	+0	Yes	+$164	03-01 08:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	Yes	-$1,093	04-06 05:32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$777	936	936	+0	Yes	-$66	02-05 18:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$701	495	495	+0	Yes	+$1	03-06 20:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$661	1,122	1,122	+0	Yes	+$55	02-18 15:13
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$560	667	0	+667	No	-$560	03-08 11:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$559	288	288	+0	No	+$3	03-04 13:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$552	400	400	+0	Yes	+$48	04-03 11:07
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$509	316	316	+0	Yes	+$9	03-03 20:48
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	7	$433	253	253	+0	Yes	+$28	03-07 21:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$403	267	267	+0	No	+$3	03-01 14:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$355	282	282	+0	Yes	-$37	03-08 09:57
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	6	$347	200	200	+0	Yes	-$6	03-07 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:30 UTC	6	$313	289	285	+4	Up	-$7	02-19 13:35
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	1	$294	306	0	+306	No	+$12	02-28 19:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	3	$291	252	252	+0	No	+$11	03-03 22:29
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$267	429	429	+0	No	-$133	03-07 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:25 UTC	2	$249	153	151	+2	Down	+$51	02-18 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:55 UTC	2	$246	149	148	+2	Down	+$48	02-18 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:35 UTC	2	$227	132	131	+1	Up	+$28	02-24 13:38
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$223	150	150	+0	No	+$23	03-29 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:20 UTC	2	$213	117	117	+0	Down	+$14	02-24 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 08:30 UTC	3	$203	299	134	+165	Down	-$33	02-27 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-06 05:32:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,142	96¢	$1,093	0xfef791…
04-04 15:23:37	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcf31a9…
04-03 12:27:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xf61729…
04-03 12:25:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xdfefcb…
04-03 12:25:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x85464f…
04-03 12:23:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1ac1f7…
04-03 11:07:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0x5748e3…
04-03 06:05:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	869	93¢	$808	0x0d9ac7…
04-01 07:48:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	869	83¢	$721	0x5c1750…
04-01 07:29:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0xcb0670…
04-01 07:01:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	974	100¢	$973	0xe80434…
03-30 09:11:18	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	974	99¢	$963	0xe7849f…
03-29 14:51:36	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	150	82¢	$123	0x18647f…
03-28 21:15:10	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x1781a4…
03-25 14:40:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	925	100¢	$924	0xdd39ad…
03-17 08:59:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	351	74¢	$259	0x7ada44…
03-17 08:54:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x223b2a…
03-17 08:53:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	70	74¢	$52	0x3357af…
03-17 08:03:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	192	74¢	$142	0x8a537d…
03-17 08:02:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x133473…
03-17 07:59:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	262	74¢	$194	0xae429e…
03-16 16:05:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	379	77¢	$292	0x8142ea…
03-16 15:48:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	379	79¢	$300	0xf23adc…
03-16 12:12:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	787	90¢	$708	0x053e6c…
03-08 11:00:31	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	229	86¢	$197	0x966aea…
03-08 11:00:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	262	75¢	$197	0x01e257…
03-08 10:56:19	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	438	83¢	$363	0x9bd416…
03-08 10:55:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	350	75¢	$262	0xb12253…
03-08 09:57:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0x40e05a…
03-08 09:33:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	141	68¢	$96	0xda62d4…
03-07 22:09:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	267	77¢	$205	0x898fc6…
03-07 21:41:53	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xa2b1a2…
03-07 21:41:47	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x5f2d65…
03-07 21:40:13	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x071b99…
03-07 21:39:45	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xe74fe1…
03-07 21:39:25	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x83d772…
03-07 21:38:55	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x4a3834…
03-07 21:38:47	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x779660…
03-07 20:57:41	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xbd9dc6…
03-07 20:54:43	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	333	30¢	$100	0x6474cb…
03-07 20:48:25	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0xff652e…
03-07 20:48:17	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x566f57…
03-07 19:09:27	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	Yes	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x498f43…
03-07 18:05:13	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	666	15¢	$100	0xdc97f1…
03-07 18:05:05	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	429	16¢	$67	0x571fc4…
03-07 17:47:55	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0xf161a3…
03-07 17:46:29	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x55c12c…
03-07 16:37:59	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	253	80¢	$202	0x23245b…
03-07 16:36:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	222	91¢	$202	0xf5d405…
03-06 20:08:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	222	89¢	$198	0xb0240d…
03-06 20:06:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	247	80¢	$198	0x330c69…
03-06 19:35:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	79	74¢	$59	0x678c60…
03-06 19:34:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	141	42¢	$59	0xaf5b8e…
03-05 16:07:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,053	72¢	$758	0xacd19e…
03-05 16:07:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	842	90¢	$758	0xdf1681…
03-04 13:49:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	342	82¢	$280	0xc034f9…
03-04 13:45:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	288	98¢	$281	0xbfb01c…
03-03 23:07:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	288	96¢	$278	0xa722e7…
03-03 22:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x33f27e…
03-03 22:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xd9190d…
03-03 22:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x986057…
03-03 22:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xab55ef…
03-03 22:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb23c12…
03-03 22:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x466ffc…
03-03 22:29:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x817301…
03-03 22:29:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	SELL	252	60¢	$151	0xef7ad1…
03-03 22:01:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xf7a0d1…
03-03 21:06:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	Yes	SELL	91	44¢	$40	0x5a4b46…
03-03 21:06:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	SELL	81	67¢	$54	0xe8cb55…
03-03 20:58:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	52	76¢	$40	0x49c642…
03-03 20:58:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0xc8d48c…
03-03 20:58:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	Yes	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x99717e…
03-03 20:48:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	SELL	316	82¢	$259	0xe60131…
03-03 16:12:29	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	429	47¢	$200	0xfd04b6…
03-03 06:30:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	247	62¢	$153	0x1ca77f…
03-02 22:34:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0xa4cb0c…
03-02 20:33:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf15d54…
03-02 20:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x94b3cf…
03-02 15:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xd09d86…
03-02 11:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x105b6a…
03-02 11:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x490959…
03-02 00:50:35	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	SELL	814	100¢	$813	0xd7ec81…
03-02 00:43:49	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	814	98¢	$797	0x601ba2…
03-01 18:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x5dce82…
03-01 18:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x44da59…
03-01 18:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xcc01b6…
03-01 18:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3c112a…
03-01 18:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0xe349aa…
03-01 18:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbaf5bc…
03-01 18:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x3f3a55…
03-01 15:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe5c3ee…
03-01 14:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc621f9…
03-01 14:25:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	316	79¢	$250	0xb4d3af…
03-01 14:25:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	267	76¢	$203	0x6628fe…
03-01 14:19:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x0ec9ac…
03-01 13:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbc420f…
03-01 08:21:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	666	100¢	$664	0xfa1f48…
02-28 19:05:07	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	306	96¢	$294	0x670cb0…
02-28 16:40:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	333	75¢	$250	0xd2bd84…
02-28 14:44:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	395	76¢	$301	0x6692ca…