Aware-Mesenchyme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$582

Unrealized P&L

+$107

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

3,560

Trades

4,839

lifetime

Volume

$39.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$209

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-03 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 48% -$532

Other

1% 43% -$49

Politics

1% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+2,000	$102	10¢	$209	+$107	10-27 08:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$285	290	0	+290	No	+$5	02-22 08:30
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	2	$198	400	0	+400	Down	+$2	04-07 07:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:15 UTC	5	$139	250	0	+250	Up	-$39	01-20 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:00 UTC	3	$139	100	100	+0	Up	+$61	03-15 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:30 UTC	3	$138	100	100	+0	Up	+$60	03-15 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:50 UTC	3	$134	100	100	+0	Down	+$56	03-13 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 12:30 UTC	4	$130	100	100	+0	Down	+$52	03-13 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:45 UTC	13	$127	100	100	+0	Up	+$49	03-12 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 12:20 UTC	4	$125	100	100	+0	Down	+$47	03-12 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 13:40 UTC	2	$109	100	100	+0	Up	+$31	03-13 13:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:15 UTC	4	$108	200	0	+200	Down	-$8	01-20 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:20 UTC	4	$106	100	100	+0	Up	+$28	03-12 14:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	3	$102	150	0	+150	Up	+$48	02-03 10:03
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	13	$102	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-27 08:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:20 UTC	8	$101	100	100	+0	Down	+$23	03-13 05:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:00 UTC	6	$94	100	100	+0	Up	+$16	03-14 09:01
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:00 UTC	2	$93	100	0	+100	Down	+$7	02-03 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:15 UTC	5	$92	100	100	+0	Up	+$14	03-13 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC	3	$92	100	100	+0	Down	+$14	03-15 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:45 UTC	4	$91	100	100	+0	Down	+$13	03-12 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:05 UTC	5	$91	100	100	+0	Down	+$13	03-12 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:45 UTC	21	$91	100	100	+0	Down	+$13	03-14 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 14:00 UTC	7	$90	100	100	+0	Down	+$12	03-13 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:15 UTC	2	$89	100	100	+0	Up	+$11	03-16 11:17
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:15 UTC	2	$88	100	0	+100	Up	+$12	01-23 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:10 UTC	7	$88	100	100	+0	Down	+$10	03-14 14:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 23:30 UTC	2	$87	100	0	+100	Down	-$87	01-22 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:25 UTC	2	$87	100	99	+1	Down	+$15	03-15 03:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:15 UTC	2	$87	100	0	+100	Down	+$13	02-02 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:20 UTC	7	$86	100	100	+0	Down	+$8	03-14 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:50:25	Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x61d44f…
10-30 15:02:51	Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	4¢	$27	0xca2cd8…
10-30 07:35:07	Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$11	0x63eea0…
10-27 08:02:45	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	5¢	$6	0xf49a10…
10-27 07:55:02	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xea1e6a…
10-27 07:51:41	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$16	0xc03315…
10-27 07:51:00	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0xfb5666…
10-27 07:51:00	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0xf23101…
10-27 07:51:00	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0xc39b13…
10-27 07:51:00	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x2d79cb…
10-27 07:51:00	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0x259e79…
10-27 07:30:59	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	5¢	$15	0x6f1b59…
10-27 07:16:08	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x381694…
10-27 06:48:12	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x7535db…
10-27 06:26:03	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$16	0xe99d03…
10-27 05:03:51	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$14	0x3bb08d…
08-14 05:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6bf26a…
08-14 05:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x23ce2b…
08-14 05:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x65ecf6…
08-14 05:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3f3e77…
08-14 05:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2616ca…
08-14 05:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc135b0…
08-14 05:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x25f9c4…
08-14 05:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb5aa95…
08-14 05:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1fdd60…
08-14 05:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5a22ca…
08-14 04:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf55144…
08-14 04:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3d8aa7…
08-14 04:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x86827b…
08-14 04:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xea4f05…
08-14 04:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d2fbe…
08-14 04:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6de1fa…
08-14 04:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x22be7c…
08-14 04:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc2dcda…
08-14 04:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf3b64…
08-14 04:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x15bd15…
08-14 04:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8141aa…
08-13 21:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb2c638…
08-13 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x97035a…
08-13 21:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3b0957…
08-13 21:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x933b7a…
08-13 21:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x14c88c…
08-13 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc16d16…
08-13 20:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8a521c…
08-13 20:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0ed0a9…
08-13 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xefcdc6…
08-13 20:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4813f5…
08-13 20:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6bb04d…
08-13 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9aa62e…
08-13 20:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x6fc8a2…
08-13 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa7a06e…
08-13 20:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1aadff…
08-13 20:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x2af40a…
08-13 20:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xef0b18…
08-13 20:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa53c3…
08-13 20:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x9118c9…
08-13 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x10388a…
08-13 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x164bb1…
08-13 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1674e0…
08-13 19:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe0c950…
08-13 19:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x33526a…
08-13 19:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe20505…
08-13 19:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8ceaef…
08-13 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb5e620…
08-13 19:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x498863…
08-13 19:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8d8d78…
08-13 19:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x82caaa…
08-13 19:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe1a215…
08-13 19:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbf8af8…
08-13 19:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ef235…
08-13 19:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x262fb9…
08-13 19:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x42536c…
08-13 18:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbf4302…
08-13 18:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5a6057…
08-13 18:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2892fd…
08-13 18:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1cbad3…
08-13 18:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9383be…
08-13 18:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5ef20a…
08-13 18:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2820c1…
08-13 17:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1c92e2…
08-13 17:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfe58fb…
08-13 17:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x743b6a…
08-13 17:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9aeb52…
08-13 16:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15fd84…
08-13 16:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4a37e…
08-13 16:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xce1705…
08-13 16:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3e606d…
08-13 16:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe88b49…
08-13 16:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xca0936…
08-13 16:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x151096…
08-13 16:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a067d…
08-13 16:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3857fa…
08-13 16:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd61622…
08-13 16:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf8d8e1…
08-13 16:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe5ed77…
08-13 16:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x371f77…
08-13 15:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3f1c93…
08-13 15:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x73fbaf…
08-13 15:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8031db…
08-13 15:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa1c3ef…