Critical-Anywhere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$845

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-07 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 40% $-13

Sports

13% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes		+25	$14	58¢	$15	+$1	06-07 11:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	4	$57	40	40	+0	open	—	05-24 16:49
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	13	$48	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 21:27
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	10	$47	160	160	+0	open	—	03-31 07:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	12	$36	100	100	+0	open	—	04-02 14:30
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	11	$32	150	150	+0	open	—	04-07 06:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	4	$32	150	150	+0	open	—	04-02 14:27
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	05-24 21:47
atp molcan bublik 2026 04 14	2	$29	65	0	+65	open	—	04-14 14:21
Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	4	$29	18	20	-2	open	—	05-22 11:19
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	5	$29	90	90	+0	open	—	03-28 23:22
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 17c	4	$25	25	25	+0	open	—	03-31 11:53
highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 34c	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 09:15
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	5	$20	40	24	+16	open	—	03-27 12:46
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-24 19:41
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5	1	$18	25	0	+25	Under	$-18	05-10 12:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 28 2026 26c	8	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	03-28 17:47
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$16	35	0	+35	open	—	05-30 13:50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	05-30 13:49
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	1	$16	20	0	+20	Over	+$4	05-09 11:41
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 19:42
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	2	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	06-07 11:50
Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 11:20
will elena rybakina win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$13	45	0	+45	open	—	03-25 22:03
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 28 2026 28c	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-28 08:50
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 total 3pt5	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	03-26 20:28
ted cruz of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 60 79	4	$10	30	30	+0	open	—	04-02 08:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	$-1	04-02 08:40
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	1	$9	15	0	+15	Yes	+$6	05-10 14:10
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	1	$8	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 16:00
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-24 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 11:50:30	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd605c1…
06-04 21:51:16	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x99961b…
06-04 21:47:54	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x10367e…
06-04 21:46:48	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf011f7…
06-04 21:45:36	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x003941…
06-04 21:42:01	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x91e186…
06-04 21:39:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5bc987…
06-04 21:38:45	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x320060…
06-04 21:35:33	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x535f9b…
06-04 21:23:52	Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x391bb9…
05-30 13:50:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x10f3e5…
05-30 13:50:02	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x60d3ef…
05-30 13:49:15	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x8cbd19…
05-24 21:47:03	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x585193…
05-24 19:42:12	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf47a42…
05-24 19:41:58	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf2ff0c…
05-24 17:00:30	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0ddd1c…
05-24 16:56:53	Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x7803fa…
05-24 16:52:27	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa005e6…
05-24 16:49:00	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xbb44b8…
05-24 10:12:17	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x371a97…
05-24 10:09:13	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0xbbb3d8…
05-24 10:08:26	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa01aa1…
05-23 22:55:52	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0b30f6…
05-23 21:10:24	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd2d664…
05-22 11:20:23	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8d56a5…
05-22 11:20:02	Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x80c9fc…
05-22 11:19:55	Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x01b079…
05-21 03:28:16	Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x3f487b…
05-21 01:20:01	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x30e574…
05-20 22:24:56	Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf447c9…
05-20 21:35:05	English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xffed78…
05-20 21:27:09	Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa8e38e…
05-20 21:25:58	Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5a34e8…
05-20 21:20:46	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x313823…
05-10 14:10:41	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xde00b2…
05-10 12:12:56	ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x75de94…
05-10 12:12:06	ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x111ea3…
05-09 11:41:38	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1a483e…
04-14 14:21:47	atp molcan bublik 2026 04 14	Alexander Bublik	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x3f8a07…
04-14 14:20:41	atp molcan bublik 2026 04 14	Alexander Bublik	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xf81758…
04-07 06:31:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0xdf4a0e…
04-02 21:27:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0xcb969b…
04-02 17:52:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x161516…
04-02 17:39:43	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0x0e719d…
04-02 14:30:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x3b70ff…
04-02 14:28:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x2f3dbc…
04-02 14:28:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x489d18…
04-02 14:27:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x1d96e3…
04-02 11:03:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x41b23d…
04-02 10:59:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	39	32¢	$12	0xaa85d1…
04-02 10:57:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xe2194f…
04-02 08:40:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x24d50a…
04-02 08:39:55	ted cruz of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 60 79	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x075ac0…
04-02 03:39:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xbfeab6…
04-02 03:33:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xad4676…
04-02 01:38:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4f5320…
04-02 01:30:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xd865c1…
04-01 21:56:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xc7f205…
04-01 20:15:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0e361a…
04-01 20:14:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x69877d…
04-01 20:11:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3e3a6e…
04-01 20:08:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc655a4…
04-01 20:05:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4c8c62…
04-01 20:05:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x995736…
04-01 20:04:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2114cd…
04-01 20:01:15	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3c3939…
04-01 19:50:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8de71d…
04-01 19:49:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xb2a283…
04-01 19:46:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x485a33…
04-01 19:41:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc63b02…
04-01 19:41:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x449b05…
04-01 19:35:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x862ccf…
04-01 19:33:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x145699…
04-01 19:27:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x381aa3…
04-01 19:16:59	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x32222f…
04-01 19:15:45	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d3bac…
04-01 18:59:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa009d2…
04-01 18:47:49	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xa4b4d3…
04-01 18:46:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xef3721…
04-01 18:46:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7641ce…
04-01 17:30:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8aee40…
04-01 17:30:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x68c594…
04-01 17:29:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x58d7ae…
04-01 17:29:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1495d9…
04-01 17:29:03	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x39030f…
04-01 17:29:03	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x08239a…
04-01 17:28:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xef02b3…
04-01 17:28:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa1e08f…
04-01 17:28:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca0f7b…
04-01 17:28:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x413386…
04-01 17:26:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8efab4…
04-01 17:26:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0049cf…
04-01 17:26:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba108c…
04-01 17:26:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x40110b…
04-01 17:25:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7866b0…
04-01 17:25:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1825db…
04-01 17:20:53	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 140 159	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb31f5f…
04-01 17:20:53	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x23c787…
04-01 17:20:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x33f2c3…