Agonizing-Fellow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$167

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

384

Trades

1,011

lifetime

Volume

$6.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-15 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-167

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$174	137	51	+86	Down	+$10	05-12 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$153	79	79	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$111	57	57	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$103	53	53	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$102	54	54	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	13	$85	73	26	+47	Down	$-21	05-09 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	8	$75	41	41	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$75	76	0	+76	Down	+$1	05-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	8	$73	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	8	$71	36	36	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$61	36	36	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	05-15 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	11	$55	57	0	+57	Up	+$2	05-09 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$54	31	31	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	6	$52	33	28	+5	Up	+$7	05-10 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-15 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	6	$51	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	7	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	6	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-15 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	6	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-15 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x7f4176…
05-15 08:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x0a9df2…
05-15 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x90d777…
05-15 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x8cb5e5…
05-15 08:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd17375…
05-15 08:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x383421…
05-15 07:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x23dd9d…
05-15 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x19c006…
05-15 07:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0dda92…
05-15 06:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xb0a096…
05-15 06:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x76f19c…
05-15 06:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xb0990a…
05-15 06:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf0d8b2…
05-15 06:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xf792b8…
05-15 06:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x0a39aa…
05-15 06:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe9cc9a…
05-15 06:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf7698a…
05-15 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf643a4…
05-15 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xec6cc6…
05-15 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb86114…
05-15 06:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb4ee79…
05-15 06:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x1c9de0…
05-15 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x87d28f…
05-15 06:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x50267c…
05-15 06:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4e3cf2…
05-15 06:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xb45bc1…
05-15 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xcd90e2…
05-15 05:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe05a81…
05-15 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xd02105…
05-15 05:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xbbad77…
05-15 05:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xad67d5…
05-15 05:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xe3e169…
05-15 05:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x53a879…
05-14 15:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x8f506c…
05-14 15:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x650fc3…
05-14 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe92906…
05-14 13:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7dc7e1…
05-14 13:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x5d2b73…
05-14 13:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x296e56…
05-14 13:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0ded83…
05-14 13:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0xe04851…
05-14 13:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x235774…
05-14 12:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x805a0c…
05-14 12:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x8f92bc…
05-14 12:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x339b67…
05-14 10:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x22bd88…
05-14 10:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xc527d7…
05-14 08:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc6b18f…
05-14 08:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x802837…
05-14 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4c9b2f…
05-14 08:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x14b6f0…
05-14 07:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4ed511…
05-14 07:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe5f93f…
05-13 19:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x95c9f4…
05-13 19:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd6db2c…
05-13 19:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x789073…
05-13 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x68e5c5…
05-13 19:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xca0ce6…
05-13 18:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x6a2fda…
05-13 18:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x4be7ba…
05-13 18:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x9531ee…
05-13 18:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x25e010…
05-13 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5a02f8…
05-13 17:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc29ccc…
05-13 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc8a2eb…
05-13 17:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x41fb36…
05-13 17:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcc8cd3…
05-13 17:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x85380a…
05-13 17:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x178236…
05-13 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x3e970d…
05-13 17:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x273665…
05-13 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd71f87…
05-13 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x18905e…
05-13 14:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7a07f1…
05-13 14:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x43450a…
05-13 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x21fc8d…
05-13 09:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1bbbc1…
05-13 09:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc0a605…
05-13 09:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x973066…
05-13 09:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7efe98…
05-13 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeb9721…
05-13 08:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x09f6f8…
05-13 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0x7d10ef…
05-13 08:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9830a1…
05-13 07:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x32139f…
05-13 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x59f74b…
05-13 07:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8cced6…
05-13 07:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x565493…
05-12 13:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x053534…
05-12 13:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x544aba…
05-12 13:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbdfbbd…
05-12 13:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbb5443…
05-12 13:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xe167bc…
05-12 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x73e191…
05-12 13:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x6f4504…
05-12 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x0083aa…
05-12 13:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xb20d51…
05-12 13:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8f6b85…
05-12 13:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x79db4b…
05-12 13:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xfc03c6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	456	$117.4K	34,858	05-15 08:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	456	$105.6K	31,915	05-15 08:43
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	456	$94.8K	31,222	05-15 08:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	455	$105.7K	19,381	05-15 08:43
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	455	$95.4K	16,937	05-15 08:43
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	454	$110.8K	7,585	05-15 08:43
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	454	$80.3K	13,645	05-15 08:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	453	$554.3K	21,801	05-15 08:45