Immense-Tie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$914

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

954

Trades

1,523

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-08 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

70% 60% +$738

Sports

16% 56% +$255

Crypto

9% 54% -$238

Politics

5% 49% +$178

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$14

Tech

0% 67% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No		+12	$10	98¢	$12	+$2	07-04 20:43
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+136	$15	2¢	$2	-$13	09-14 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mls mim phi 2026 04 11 phi	6	$200	90	168	-78	Yes	+$58	04-11 21:59
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	13	$130	250	0	+250	GIANTX	+$120	05-31 17:18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$130	169	0	+169	Yes	+$39	05-05 19:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$124	113	113	+0	Yes	+$41	04-09 18:12
fl1 sbr ren 2026 04 04 ren	2	$100	233	0	+233	Yes	+$133	04-04 16:48
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	2	$97	58	57	+1	Yes	+$17	04-09 18:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$93	90	90	+0	Yes	+$88	04-23 23:27
spl nsr ett 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	6	$92	104	31	+73	Under	-$30	04-15 21:26
nor aal ffk 2026 04 07 spread home 2pt5	4	$87	30	59	-30	Fredrikstad FK	+$2	04-07 22:20
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	4	$85	169	0	+169	Cavaliers	-$85	05-03 22:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$80	99	58	+42	No	+$20	05-22 21:46
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	16	$69	494	0	+494	No	-$69	04-09 05:10
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$69	144	0	+144	Michigan Wolverines	-$69	04-04 18:31
nor tro lil 2026 04 15 tro	3	$65	41	41	+0	No	+$16	04-15 19:19
wta swiatek siegemu 2026 04 15	3	$63	33	33	+0	Iga Swiatek	+$3	04-15 20:34
nhl wsh nj 2026 04 02 total 6pt5	9	$62	131	0	+131	Over	+$70	04-02 22:58
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$60	131	0	+131	No	-$60	05-09 23:29
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 halftime result away	2	$59	76	0	+76	Yes	-$59	04-15 18:14
atp kingsle mmoh 2026 04 15	5	$58	40	39	+0	Michael Mmoh	+$21	04-15 20:34
nba was mia 2026 04 04 spread home 17pt5	18	$56	105	0	+105	Wizards	-$56	04-04 18:53
bun hsv aug 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	1	$54	99	0	+99	Under	-$54	04-04 12:51
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	2	$54	107	0	+107	Pistons	+$54	05-03 18:58
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	4	$53	45	29	+15	Yes	+$6	04-15 22:35
cbb okl bayl 2026 04 04	2	$53	101	0	+101	Oklahoma Sooners	-$53	04-04 17:33
wta boulter cristia 2026 04 15	6	$52	35	33	+2	Katie Boulter	+$15	04-15 22:35
atp jodar machac 2026 04 01	12	$51	64	30	+34	Rafael Jodar	+$14	04-02 13:40
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$50	199	199	+0	No	-$34	03-23 14:57
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	2	$49	150	0	+150	Yes	-$49	05-07 21:04
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	1	$49	66	0	+66	Michigan Wolverines	+$17	04-06 18:52
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	2	$49	96	0	+96	Under	+$47	04-04 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xc7d7aa…
10-08 06:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x66ddef…
10-08 05:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 8?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x02b655…
10-08 05:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0xd3de1e…
10-08 05:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 8?	No	BUY	43	59¢	$26	0x01d41d…
10-08 02:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0x6a39ee…
10-08 00:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x59dfa7…
10-07 22:11:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xe411df…
10-07 16:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x50a20e…
10-07 16:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xaf7e4d…
10-07 14:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 9?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x244dd6…
10-07 12:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x5ad9cd…
10-07 10:18:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8?	No	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0xcdd2c8…
10-07 10:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x48c067…
10-07 09:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x597ae1…
10-07 07:06:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xad230e…
10-07 04:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xcf479b…
10-07 04:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6d6a45…
10-07 04:17:18	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x07aae6…
10-07 04:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x58dbbc…
10-07 04:10:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x77f717…
10-07 03:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x8cc880…
10-06 23:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xbca728…
10-06 23:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	82	22¢	$18	0xefba0d…
10-06 22:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x931775…
10-06 21:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x099ef9…
10-06 21:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0xc35861…
10-06 18:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 7?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x435a69…
10-06 18:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf4ff14…
10-06 16:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5b4aa2…
10-06 16:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0x509900…
10-06 06:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x2157e0…
10-06 06:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7986f6…
10-06 05:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xfc156d…
10-06 02:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xd07e4b…
10-05 22:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x246f53…
10-05 22:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5b1686…
10-05 22:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x450c35…
10-05 22:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x451512…
10-05 18:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xe535a0…
10-05 16:43:49	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on October 6?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd7aacd…
10-05 15:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x9c6df8…
10-05 13:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x2b5323…
10-05 12:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x16cf2f…
10-05 10:30:47	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xec42da…
10-05 09:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xbac570…
10-05 06:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8bc3c7…
10-05 04:10:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xdba5c8…
10-05 02:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x71227d…
10-05 00:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x22fafc…
10-04 23:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf0a2a0…
10-04 22:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x8fe3a2…
10-04 22:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x080d17…
10-04 22:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb3cbe8…
10-04 21:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x8adb6c…
10-04 18:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0x9cc23d…
10-04 18:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0x548778…
10-04 17:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x6e45a1…
10-04 16:16:55	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 5?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd0d067…
10-04 15:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xabb28d…
10-04 09:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x446c31…
10-04 08:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x2ca81a…
10-04 07:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xd6cb2c…
10-04 05:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 4?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xec75a6…
10-04 00:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 5?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x2d0303…
10-03 22:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xad8e86…
10-03 20:11:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4e745d…
10-03 19:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x79cd44…
10-03 16:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x91c610…
10-03 16:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdc8499…
10-03 15:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0x14b8f5…
10-03 15:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x088484…
10-03 15:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x831e3d…
10-03 14:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x001a22…
10-03 12:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x89a495…
10-03 12:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xd15a27…
10-03 09:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	46	27¢	$12	0x728caa…
10-03 09:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x78362e…
10-03 09:44:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x1c4c1c…
10-03 09:11:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xc05fcb…
10-03 09:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x63534f…
10-03 06:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x95f3d2…
10-03 05:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 3?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4addaa…
10-03 05:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x6087d8…
10-03 04:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xcf603d…
10-03 03:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xc99f7e…
10-03 00:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x6d3c8a…
10-02 22:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	63	23¢	$14	0xb51413…
10-02 22:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x63502c…
10-02 22:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x8ba4ec…
10-02 20:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbd1d29…
10-02 20:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x04c31b…
10-02 19:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xde8bc1…
10-02 17:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x533684…
10-02 17:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb29876…
10-02 16:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x66ece8…
10-02 16:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc2b98e…
10-02 16:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 3?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x5843a9…
10-02 10:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x3cda55…
10-02 10:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	46	34¢	$16	0x37ff11…