Lean-Marxism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$387

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

1,359

Trades

3,444

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-28 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 48% -$370

Other

1% 25% -$15

Sports

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$655	372	372	+0	Up	+$55	05-21 14:04
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	7	$331	310	300	+10	Yes	+$119	03-09 13:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	2	$323	183	182	+0	Yes	-$3	03-09 04:51
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	8	$322	370	270	+100	Yes	+$210	03-11 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$260	174	174	+0	Up	+$84	05-19 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$244	160	160	+0	Down	+$44	05-21 15:33
bitcoin above 72k on march 11	28	$236	2,710	2,710	+0	No	+$108	03-11 15:25
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	3	$235	121	121	+0	No	+$1	03-03 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$218	119	119	+0	Up	+$18	05-09 10:14
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	3	$211	173	173	+0	No	-$11	03-03 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$209	121	121	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 09:43
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9pm et	4	$208	179	179	+1	Up	-$26	04-14 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$207	377	0	+377	Down	-$207	05-22 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$200	101	101	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 06:30
bitcoin above 72k on march 10	24	$195	1,400	1,500	-100	No	+$105	03-10 14:54
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	14	$191	610	610	+0	No	+$114	03-13 13:46
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 3am et	16	$190	250	248	+2	Up	+$9	04-14 07:24
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10pm et	9	$186	260	260	+0	Down	+$12	04-14 02:38
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4am et	23	$182	470	270	+200	Down	+$23	04-13 08:50
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9am et	18	$180	300	200	+100	Up	+$30	04-13 13:41
bitcoin above 76k on march 16	14	$178	1,450	1,350	+100	No	+$92	03-16 13:09
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3am et	34	$163	580	460	+120	Down	+$11	04-13 07:51
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6am et	4	$159	133	128	+5	Down	+$35	04-14 11:24
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 8am et	21	$151	360	359	+1	Up	+$10	04-13 12:44
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	13	$150	760	80	+680	Up	-$62	04-13 14:47
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	2	$149	85	84	+1	Up	+$19	04-14 14:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	23	$148	960	810	+150	No	+$14	03-09 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$147	98	98	+0	Up	+$47	05-06 01:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 3	2	$144	145	145	+0	No	-$4	03-03 12:28
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 7pm et	6	$136	120	60	+60	Down	+$13	04-12 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 10:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfd8a63…
05-28 10:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaf085d…
05-28 10:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc69d55…
05-28 10:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2e79c2…
05-28 10:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa6ff47…
05-28 10:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbcf145…
05-28 10:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe65cf3…
05-28 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb74ee7…
05-28 10:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0adcf2…
05-28 10:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1077ff…
05-28 10:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe6fd3e…
05-28 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x936bc4…
05-28 10:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe805ec…
05-28 10:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x171dc1…
05-28 10:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x87ab68…
05-28 10:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x567f4f…
05-28 05:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2ee9ca…
05-28 05:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2b96f6…
05-28 05:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6391c2…
05-28 05:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1c2f8c…
05-28 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x803519…
05-28 05:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x17c902…
05-28 05:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfaa288…
05-28 05:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaae686…
05-28 05:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc800e…
05-28 05:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39ad33…
05-28 05:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1b23ba…
05-28 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x25b5df…
05-28 05:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x73fe88…
05-28 05:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9b6dc2…
05-28 05:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x47299e…
05-28 04:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1c73e3…
05-28 04:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8f098f…
05-28 04:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1e8618…
05-28 04:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x83279f…
05-27 23:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x633ea6…
05-27 23:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xccc085…
05-27 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fcd8d…
05-27 23:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5fd599…
05-27 23:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7c684e…
05-27 23:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe1613f…
05-27 23:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb98e22…
05-27 23:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3e480f…
05-27 23:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x666331…
05-27 23:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x622861…
05-27 23:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x1bbbf1…
05-27 23:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x540ed8…
05-27 23:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7879c3…
05-27 23:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf452e0…
05-27 23:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x20c3c9…
05-27 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xbbb10a…
05-27 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7ddf6a…
05-27 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6e8dfc…
05-27 23:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xea28d1…
05-27 23:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe67fbf…
05-27 23:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x85f3ee…
05-27 23:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x69b520…
05-27 23:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x650b5d…
05-27 23:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2125c0…
05-27 23:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeb0a87…
05-27 23:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x75017e…
05-27 23:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0e9d3a…
05-27 23:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x71efb0…
05-27 23:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x588795…
05-27 23:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf1cf86…
05-27 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdadccf…
05-27 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x37c8ef…
05-27 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x984181…
05-27 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7513e0…
05-27 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x293c20…
05-27 23:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xba70bc…
05-27 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf8d7b9…
05-27 23:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x893f7e…
05-27 23:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbf5e6a…
05-27 23:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1c1c04…
05-27 23:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb02ab1…
05-27 14:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x27020b…
05-27 14:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaed0ae…
05-27 14:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xef92d2…
05-27 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b4a3e…
05-27 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdbb1eb…
05-27 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x04d715…
05-27 14:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd25375…
05-27 14:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8d25bc…
05-27 14:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71cd81…
05-27 14:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb6ef38…
05-27 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x92f3b3…
05-27 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x78e9ec…
05-27 14:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x4c6475…
05-27 14:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x91a6d2…
05-27 14:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x91420d…
05-27 14:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3bd836…
05-27 14:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x87df66…
05-27 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x062ae6…
05-27 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe05558…
05-27 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9195a6…
05-27 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x43086a…
05-27 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3bffa5…
05-27 14:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8abba2…
05-27 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcafdde…