Finished-Butcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

576

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-17 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-404

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$903	513	513	+0	open	—	05-04 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$651	361	361	+0	Up	+$11	05-09 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$541	344	344	+0	open	—	05-01 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$515	811	0	+811	open	—	05-04 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$500	528	0	+528	open	—	05-04 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$370	328	328	+0	Up	$-30	05-09 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$354	301	301	+0	Up	$-66	05-07 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$300	522	0	+522	open	—	05-04 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$300	248	248	+0	Down	$-60	05-09 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$298	198	198	+0	open	—	04-29 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$288	192	192	+0	Up	+$68	05-07 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$288	162	162	+0	open	—	04-29 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$272	183	182	+0	Down	+$52	05-07 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$257	154	154	+0	open	—	05-04 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$257	263	250	+13	Up	+$17	05-07 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$255	169	137	+32	open	—	04-29 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$246	134	134	+0	open	—	04-29 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$243	308	0	+308	open	—	05-02 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$240	167	167	+0	open	—	04-29 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$240	305	0	+305	open	—	05-04 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$235	148	148	+0	open	—	05-02 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$233	135	135	+0	Down	+$33	05-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$232	292	68	+225	open	—	04-28 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$216	159	159	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$215	135	135	+0	Up	+$15	05-07 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$213	120	120	+0	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$204	106	106	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$203	263	14	+249	open	—	04-29 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$202	213	213	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$200	525	0	+525	open	—	05-01 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xbec037…
05-17 09:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf5c621…
05-17 08:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	117	42¢	$49	0x6958e3…
05-17 08:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc315bc…
05-17 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x70fe05…
05-09 07:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	168	29¢	$48	0x69352c…
05-09 07:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x294811…
05-09 07:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	117	83¢	$97	0xf7cdc6…
05-09 07:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	117	77¢	$90	0x2a3aff…
05-09 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x0e499c…
05-09 07:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0xdd72e9…
05-09 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x1f872e…
05-09 07:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	162	22¢	$36	0xf22c80…
05-09 07:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x997028…
05-09 07:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0xb797db…
05-09 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x800991…
05-09 07:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	109	93¢	$101	0xd17dc1…
05-09 07:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x31f74f…
05-09 07:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	146	86¢	$126	0x143d84…
05-09 07:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	146	82¢	$120	0xdf2726…
05-09 07:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x03e2f6…
05-09 07:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xbeb4bc…
05-09 07:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	91	15¢	$13	0x59e103…
05-09 07:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xbb6998…
05-09 07:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	130	39¢	$50	0xf53175…
05-09 07:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0x8d52ef…
05-09 07:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x5ec9d1…
05-09 07:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xbc27b6…
05-09 07:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0xf718d8…
05-09 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe1ec39…
05-09 06:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x796ae4…
05-09 06:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xd55338…
05-09 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xce0928…
05-09 06:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9d30cc…
05-09 06:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xf4acda…
05-07 18:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x87e942…
05-07 18:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x523915…
05-07 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x9aeb7f…
05-07 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x07bc8c…
05-07 18:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf91060…
05-07 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x103443…
05-07 18:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	136	10¢	$13	0xcb790e…
05-07 18:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x4a8bcd…
05-07 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	165	80¢	$131	0x4df1f8…
05-07 18:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x3d9b82…
05-07 18:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x870b6d…
05-07 18:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc687d8…
05-07 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd0277…
05-07 18:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x3178f5…
05-07 18:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x87fe48…
05-07 18:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xca9921…
05-07 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	135	85¢	$115	0x0d0f2a…
05-07 18:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x33ecea…
05-07 18:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0xc24af3…
05-07 18:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x4f8e50…
05-07 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd573e6…
05-07 18:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	213	48¢	$102	0x1f1e6f…
05-07 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x6ef7f4…
05-07 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	166	94¢	$156	0xaef29a…
05-07 18:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xdeea46…
05-07 18:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x68c91d…
05-07 18:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcb9c1f…
05-07 18:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x720331…
05-07 18:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5e0499…
05-07 17:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x98b61c…
05-07 17:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x01793c…
05-07 17:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xebbf8a…
05-07 17:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbc6888…
05-07 17:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2ca7a7…
05-07 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3b86b1…
05-07 15:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	78	45¢	$35	0xf01a38…
05-07 15:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x07a261…
05-07 15:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0xa0a60c…
05-07 15:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x552f1a…
05-07 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xe0ada1…
05-07 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2ee26e…
05-07 15:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x47ce0a…
05-07 15:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	250	55¢	$137	0x1a09c5…
05-07 15:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xcebb8f…
05-07 15:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x262aca…
05-07 15:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8a6247…
05-07 15:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x03dc16…
05-07 15:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	159	73¢	$116	0x660c9d…
05-07 15:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x7e77da…
05-07 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd5837e…
05-07 15:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6820a6…
05-07 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7ca67f…
05-07 15:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x430325…
05-07 15:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xdef7f9…
05-07 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x114c96…
05-07 14:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc2d0b9…
05-07 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x35c3f0…
05-07 14:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3ba637…
05-07 14:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x9f53ab…
05-07 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf9b138…
05-07 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xc9f62b…
05-07 14:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x24b279…
05-07 14:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x70cce9…
05-07 14:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x650d2e…
05-07 14:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1a7ae5…