Firsthand-Format — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$556

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,800

lifetime

Volume

$117.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-05 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% $-556

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	10	$587	599	+599	Down	$-288	05-05 05:45
eth updown 15m 1775556900	6	$568	600	+600	open	—	04-07 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	8	$537	592	+592	open	—	05-04 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	5	$537	586	+586	open	—	04-29 09:14
xrp updown 15m 1774889100	3	$381	394	+394	open	—	03-30 16:59
eth updown 15m 1773927000	15	$380	400	+400	open	—	03-19 13:43
sol updown 15m 1774231200	2	$357	392	+392	open	—	03-23 02:15
btc updown 15m 1774604700	4	$356	393	+393	open	—	03-27 09:58
eth updown 15m 1775834100	5	$356	398	+398	open	—	04-10 15:27
sol updown 15m 1774623600	8	$352	394	+394	open	—	03-27 15:15
eth updown 15m 1774179000	2	$352	395	+395	open	—	03-22 11:41
eth updown 15m 1775377800	16	$350	398	+398	open	—	04-05 08:43
btc updown 15m 1774464300	11	$350	393	+393	open	—	03-25 18:56
sol updown 15m 1774803600	10	$348	379	+379	open	—	03-29 17:13
btc updown 15m 1775834100	7	$346	400	+400	open	—	04-10 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$299	300	+300	open	—	05-04 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$299	300	+300	open	—	05-03 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$299	300	+300	open	—	05-04 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$299	300	+300	open	—	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$299	300	+300	open	—	05-01 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$298	300	+300	open	—	04-28 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$298	300	+300	Up	+$2	05-05 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$298	300	+300	Down	+$2	05-04 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$298	300	+300	open	—	04-30 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$297	300	+300	open	—	05-01 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$297	300	+300	open	—	04-30 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$296	300	+300	open	—	05-01 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$296	300	+300	Up	+$4	05-04 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$296	300	+300	open	—	05-04 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$296	300	+300	open	—	05-01 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 10:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x35a14b…
05-05 10:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x2ffaf0…
05-05 10:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xdfb346…
05-05 10:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x5c3550…
05-05 10:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x9dd325…
05-05 10:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x476e5c…
05-05 10:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x3439ff…
05-05 10:55:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xcc1574…
05-05 09:41:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe9a7ce…
05-05 07:42:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0xcca6c6…
05-05 07:41:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x166f7b…
05-05 07:10:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x368e51…
05-05 06:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x758b21…
05-05 06:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0xf4bba6…
05-05 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x48f933…
05-05 05:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	299	99¢	$296	0x2f1a45…
05-05 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xfc0435…
05-05 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xef967b…
05-05 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xef9272…
05-05 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xca7c78…
05-05 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x416789…
05-05 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x2607b5…
05-05 05:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8bba12…
05-05 05:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x56e555…
05-05 05:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x020a1f…
05-05 05:26:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x44e87b…
05-05 04:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0bf582…
05-05 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x58dc28…
05-05 03:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeeeef7…
05-05 02:42:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x41f36f…
05-05 00:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc3bb93…
05-05 00:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x97d20a…
05-05 00:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x237a69…
05-05 00:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xeed75b…
05-04 23:55:22	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x93e00b…
05-04 23:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x83f7e0…
05-04 21:40:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x65b1fa…
05-04 21:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x88637f…
05-04 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x528c7f…
05-04 20:41:42	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xaedbc5…
05-04 19:25:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x57af33…
05-04 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0x2ad158…
05-04 18:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x237702…
05-04 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x3f1b86…
05-04 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xae84e4…
05-04 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x9b5ae6…
05-04 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x8632c4…
05-04 18:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x62cd91…
05-04 18:27:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8d61fb…
05-04 18:26:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x28c238…
05-04 16:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc7b056…
05-04 16:27:18	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94a446…
05-04 16:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0x1062d5…
05-04 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x8c056f…
05-04 15:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xad78fd…
05-04 15:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x1f313e…
05-04 14:55:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x9f0740…
05-04 14:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xa8f5b6…
05-04 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7e2f7c…
05-04 14:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3f4e51…
05-04 14:40:24	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x66709b…
05-04 14:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	292	88¢	$258	0x8e9010…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe2c08e…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x7a4b51…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x48b8ff…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4009b3…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x3b1cbd…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x3798fe…
05-04 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x2f71c5…
05-04 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3d122d…
05-04 11:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb09ae5…
05-04 11:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xb29035…
05-04 11:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xaf6e9e…
05-04 11:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x9c44aa…
05-04 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x57cde8…
05-04 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa4471e…
05-04 11:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x582ebd…
05-04 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc58546…
05-04 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0xb91603…
05-04 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb2a1b8…
05-04 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x968300…
05-04 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x718f20…
05-04 08:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa00ee6…
05-04 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0254a6…
05-04 07:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa8d379…
05-04 07:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x963f3e…
05-04 07:27:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x058480…
05-04 06:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xbf4927…
05-04 05:26:24	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x7c6836…
05-04 05:26:22	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xebcf4b…
05-04 05:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$24	0xdfc4bd…
05-04 05:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x508cb9…
05-04 05:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	96¢	$240	0x09e9ea…
05-04 05:25:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5f2224…
05-04 04:10:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x6caa25…
05-04 02:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x597330…
05-04 01:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x8fdd29…
05-03 23:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xc2be90…
05-03 23:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x8f5c1c…
05-03 22:30:12	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x94147e…