Qualified-Cravat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:18
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 06:16
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:44
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:07
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb1448…
10-27 16:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2c615b…
10-27 07:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb3461a…
10-26 05:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x313a9c…
10-24 06:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x68e51a…
10-22 09:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x930c6c…
10-20 04:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd40b24…
10-19 06:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4af93b…
10-18 07:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc014a…
10-17 07:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07b2d7…
10-16 05:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa201be…
10-15 06:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaec00c…
10-14 07:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe82ec4…
10-13 13:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89a634…
10-13 04:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xcb1442…
10-12 01:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6648c7…
10-11 03:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5764ee…
10-08 05:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24fe08…
10-07 08:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x452d2f…
10-06 07:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c0858…
10-04 07:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6535c3…
10-03 03:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6def88…
10-02 07:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9177e8…
10-02 03:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ac3ed…
10-01 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd81ec4…
09-30 09:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078599…
09-29 06:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc528a1…
09-28 08:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21bdca…
09-27 02:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3487…
09-25 07:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb6fdb…
09-24 06:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bb659…
09-23 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe40fa4…
09-22 06:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf0666…
09-21 08:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x616735…
09-20 03:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eb1f1…
09-19 06:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd08823…
09-18 01:09:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x145e0f…
09-17 01:06:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39e21c…
09-16 08:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac7fc5…
09-15 23:33:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x887969…
09-15 02:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87a12c…
09-14 00:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe094a7…
09-13 12:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc90bc…
09-12 07:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbac135…
09-11 01:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x511786…
09-10 01:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3c245…
09-09 00:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3abaa5…
09-08 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64e238…
09-07 01:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87b635…
09-06 07:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb2ed1…
09-06 01:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2957a…
09-05 09:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8524c6…
09-04 08:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18a106…
09-03 01:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48cb69…
09-01 01:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c20a6…
08-30 00:12:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa7cee…
08-29 05:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22f37b…
08-28 01:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe07d0…
08-27 01:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9b7d35…
08-26 02:00:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x690dbe…
08-25 06:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b9fc7…
08-24 07:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2f153…
08-23 07:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x672ead…
08-22 06:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a921a…
08-21 01:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfcc117…
08-20 05:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16e6fa…
08-19 07:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bf283…
08-18 00:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x194a54…
08-17 06:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x457534…
08-16 01:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13223c…
08-15 02:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a49cc…
08-14 01:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6610ec…
08-13 00:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0caf2…
08-12 00:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x753590…
08-11 00:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x695828…
08-10 00:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e68d3…
08-09 00:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x653800…
08-08 00:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcef0a7…
08-07 00:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26bbdf…
08-06 00:21:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabc71f…
08-05 00:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62abc5…
08-04 03:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38b704…
08-03 00:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddce0d…
08-02 00:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe7201…
08-01 00:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512940…
07-31 07:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb35397…
07-30 00:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa95803…
07-29 00:15:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f4c0f…
07-28 00:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x228152…
07-27 01:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e4590…
07-26 08:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78453b…
07-26 01:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee8522…
07-25 00:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ca785…
07-24 01:16:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x785bf1…
07-23 00:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3633f2…
07-22 01:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f4d43…
07-20 23:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x012d9c…
07-19 22:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e7022…
07-18 22:01:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e8404…
07-17 23:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd221b5…