Self-Assured-Proponent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

168

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-09 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 58% -$48

Other

7% 79% +$5

Sports

2% 58% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$91	83	83	+0	Up	-$9	05-29 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$55	40	30	+10	Up	-$5	05-08 12:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	7	$35	29	22	+7	Up	-$5	05-30 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	6	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 12:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$32	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	05-29 07:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	9	$32	26	23	+3	Up	-$2	05-10 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	5	$27	33	20	+13	Up	-$3	05-10 11:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-29 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-29 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 12:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-29 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	16	$21	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-30 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 13:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-29 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$20	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$20	22	10	+12	Down	-$5	05-08 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$20	24	5	+19	Down	-$10	05-08 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$17	18	8	+11	Down	-$3	05-08 13:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$17	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	05-30 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$15	14	6	+8	Down	-$5	05-08 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$15	18	10	+8	Up	-$3	05-20 06:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$15	20	10	+10	Down	-$5	05-19 22:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	10	$14	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 20:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$13	15	11	+4	Up	-$1	05-10 02:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:20:14	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x788adb…
06-22 10:56:13	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf4b369…
06-22 10:55:37	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe68513…
05-31 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8ce512…
05-31 21:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x80a86b…
05-31 20:56:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x239525…
05-31 20:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9b35cf…
05-31 20:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x7db355…
05-31 20:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x782aaa…
05-31 20:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x9ccf8c…
05-31 20:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xab5878…
05-31 20:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x32ec8b…
05-31 20:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x23271c…
05-31 20:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd4c180…
05-31 20:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7c64f1…
05-31 12:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaa383e…
05-31 12:22:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9001ad…
05-31 12:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd38673…
05-31 12:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x6020c5…
05-31 12:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2d971e…
05-31 12:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xdcf0b6…
05-31 12:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b8efa…
05-31 12:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa683de…
05-31 10:27:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4c8e4a…
05-31 10:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5bec03…
05-31 10:20:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1d06d2…
05-31 10:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x1b0f7c…
05-31 10:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x600f94…
05-31 10:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x99745d…
05-31 10:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfc70c5…
05-31 10:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6ee6cf…
05-31 10:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x78c12c…
05-30 22:07:46	Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x33cbe7…
05-30 21:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x325800…
05-30 21:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x24f725…
05-30 21:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5553ec…
05-30 21:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xfa3be4…
05-30 21:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc6213b…
05-30 21:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x9f61e2…
05-30 21:45:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9467b3…
05-30 21:44:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x5cb3fa…
05-30 21:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2b536…
05-30 21:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf96b99…
05-30 21:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc188c1…
05-30 21:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xc224a6…
05-30 21:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6649fe…
05-30 21:33:49	Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa29dbd…
05-30 21:33:22	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0269b5…
05-30 21:33:08	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf4390e…
05-30 21:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0xc3b0f8…
05-30 21:31:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x927c38…
05-30 21:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xfb8c9d…
05-30 21:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x714deb…
05-30 21:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xa96b29…
05-30 21:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x87cbaa…
05-30 21:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0af07a…
05-30 21:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xdc4209…
05-30 21:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4693de…
05-30 21:20:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x847dfa…
05-30 21:16:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x86e684…
05-29 22:17:52	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcf64de…
05-29 22:17:41	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x560975…
05-29 22:17:10	Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x73c53b…
05-29 22:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x22837a…
05-29 22:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a4288…
05-29 22:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0xd7137b…
05-29 22:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xe46185…
05-29 22:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	46	67¢	$31	0xff3eec…
05-29 22:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0a35c9…
05-29 21:48:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x7f23b5…
05-29 21:46:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x60a314…
05-29 21:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0x6a6d91…
05-29 21:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x62138f…
05-29 21:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xaca4ea…
05-29 21:35:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb17f3a…
05-29 21:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xd03f82…
05-29 21:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe00d69…
05-29 21:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x89018a…
05-29 21:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc5dfcc…
05-29 21:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x6ca418…
05-29 21:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x93fc2b…
05-29 07:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x40a358…
05-29 07:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b14b2…
05-29 07:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x4ee6cc…
05-29 07:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0544ed…
05-29 07:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xb03fae…
05-29 07:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc86565…
05-29 06:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x39245a…
05-29 06:51:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x386315…
05-29 06:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x8d913f…
05-29 06:50:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbee3a1…
05-20 06:13:57	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	NRG	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0081fc…
05-20 06:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd5acac…
05-20 06:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xd24a0a…
05-20 06:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb12fcf…
05-20 05:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x07d12e…
05-20 05:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x198032…
05-19 22:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa8bc29…
05-19 22:19:05	Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x14b39d…
05-19 22:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xf9e6d7…