Realized P&L
-$6.00K
Unrealized P&L
-$392
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
166
Trades
1,816
lifetime
Volume
$161.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$4.38K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 14:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Politics
75% 42% -$6,212
Other
21% 41% +$752
Sports
3% 83% +$418
Crypto
1% 20% -$970
Tech
1% 50% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +1,645 $1,340 92¢ $1.5K +$173 10-11 23:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,150 $748 68¢ $776 +$29 10-21 16:00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -781 -$609 99¢ $-770 -$161 04-29 18:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +862 $458 87¢ $750 +$292 10-14 19:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +618 $322 40¢ $250 -$73 10-01 16:11
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,645 -$143 5¢ $-136 +$7 05-28 14:19
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,955 $79 2¢ $72 -$7 08-25 21:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +1,163 $201 6¢ $64 -$137 10-21 16:59
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +919 $190 3¢ $29 -$161 08-12 08:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +612 $369 2¢ $15 -$354 08-25 20:11
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -217 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-31 14:22