Sophisticated-Outcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$5.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-23 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

69% 33% $-10

Other

28% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$568	568	568	+0	open	—	03-31 17:21
mls col mia 2026 04 18 mia	2	$300	222	222	+0	open	—	04-18 22:05
nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12	3	$286	196	196	+0	open	—	04-12 23:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$274	351	351	+0	open	—	03-16 18:33
nhl bos mon 2026 03 17	2	$260	180	180	+0	open	—	03-18 01:57
nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	17	$248	191	191	+0	open	—	04-08 01:53
nhl car mon 2026 03 24	3	$209	150	150	+0	open	—	03-25 01:41
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$204	204	204	+0	open	—	05-17 01:47
nhl mon car 2026 03 29	3	$180	145	145	+0	open	—	03-29 23:15
Canadiens vs. Sabres	3	$176	126	126	+0	open	—	05-15 02:05
Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$155	110	110	+0	open	—	05-04 00:53
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	2	$143	105	103	+2	open	—	04-20 01:45
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$140	100	100	+0	Canadiens	+$60	05-11 02:06
nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	5	$135	93	93	+0	open	—	03-22 01:38
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$132	205	205	+0	open	—	03-17 15:15
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$126	182	182	+0	open	—	03-15 12:57
nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	2	$120	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 01:39
nhl tb mon 2026 04 09	2	$120	82	82	+0	open	—	04-10 01:52
nhl ott car 2026 04 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$112	83	82	+2	open	—	04-18 22:04
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 mia	2	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 18:48
nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	2	$106	83	82	+2	open	—	04-13 00:43
Lightning vs. Canadiens	2	$102	211	0	+211	open	—	04-24 23:07
nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$101	76	76	+0	open	—	03-22 01:53
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-01 23:53
nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	3	$88	132	65	+67	open	—	04-03 00:39
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$55	66	66	+0	open	—	03-14 03:34
nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	2	$55	162	0	+162	open	—	04-21 23:40
nhl mon nsh 2026 03 28	1	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	03-28 23:32
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-26 21:43
nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	1	$50	119	0	+119	open	—	04-11 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 16:09:28	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x2fd8b7…
05-18 21:36:15	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x10e2e8…
05-17 01:47:05	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Habs	SELL	204	51¢	$104	0x815fb0…
05-17 01:46:02	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xdb92ba…
05-17 01:41:43	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x084279…
05-17 01:24:22	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x86ee43…
05-17 01:23:48	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0xbfe30f…
05-15 02:05:24	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x2501f5…
05-14 23:32:39	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xcb3cde…
05-14 23:02:24	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc9fd51…
05-13 01:34:09	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xe4d164…
05-11 02:06:52	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9ff288…
05-10 23:15:29	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf7e0cd…
05-08 23:20:14	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Habs	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x270487…
05-06 23:23:26	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x0aff9a…
05-04 00:53:24	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x6decc4…
05-03 22:14:04	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0x5c2bb1…
05-01 23:53:20	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6f6d30…
04-29 23:14:28	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xbd110a…
04-26 21:43:34	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xc3b41e…
04-24 23:07:54	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0xa32149…
04-24 13:18:18	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	156	48¢	$75	0x01d835…
04-21 23:40:10	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x7e27f8…
04-21 23:05:40	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	104	39¢	$40	0x8ee110…
04-20 01:45:06	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x98cf9d…
04-19 20:11:24	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x1cc2b1…
04-18 22:05:18	mls col mia 2026 04 18 mia	Yes	SELL	222	90¢	$200	0x50ec0c…
04-18 22:04:00	nhl ott car 2026 04 18 spread home 1pt5	Hurricanes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xcc6838…
04-18 19:21:52	mls col mia 2026 04 18 mia	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x2345e8…
04-18 19:09:42	nhl ott car 2026 04 18 spread home 1pt5	Hurricanes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xad50c4…
04-15 00:15:42	nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	Canadiens	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x2d6331…
04-13 00:43:15	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	Canadiens	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0x1d80ad…
04-12 23:38:17	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12	Canadiens	SELL	196	95¢	$186	0x62b322…
04-12 15:34:43	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12	Canadiens	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x24840f…
04-12 15:34:13	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x5e4c10…
04-12 01:30:51	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12	Canadiens	BUY	144	52¢	$75	0x3d0132…
04-11 23:19:27	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	Canadiens	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x3f9748…
04-11 22:44:09	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x62f53d…
04-10 01:52:57	nhl tb mon 2026 04 09	Canadiens	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0x519df6…
04-09 21:06:03	nhl tb mon 2026 04 09	Canadiens	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xb35eed…
04-09 21:04:51	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x30c7f2…
04-08 01:53:43	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xadf2dc…
04-08 01:42:29	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xdc9b44…
04-08 01:42:29	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9f3d1a…
04-08 01:42:29	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x73db8d…
04-08 01:42:27	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xbf1075…
04-08 01:42:27	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x539eb5…
04-08 01:42:25	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xea077c…
04-08 01:42:25	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe3ba2b…
04-08 01:42:25	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xbe9b09…
04-08 01:42:25	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x97e7ad…
04-08 01:42:25	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x707ce4…
04-08 01:42:25	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6ba3b4…
04-08 01:42:23	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x187ac2…
04-08 01:42:23	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x0a94be…
04-08 01:42:21	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x47eafa…
04-08 00:48:57	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf67d36…
04-07 23:31:45	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07	Canadiens	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xc351ad…
04-07 22:40:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	104	16¢	$17	0x9ac636…
04-07 21:19:45	will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xb22d0d…
04-07 21:08:27	nhl fla mon 2026 04 07 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xd7f472…
04-07 21:07:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0xe266df…
04-05 23:52:41	nhl nj mon 2026 04 05	Canadiens	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xbfbaa1…
04-03 00:39:51	nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	Canadiens	SELL	65	67¢	$43	0xfc534f…
04-02 22:14:29	nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x1c9f29…
04-02 22:09:07	nhl mon nyr 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa0437d…
04-01 01:39:21	nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	Canadiens	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x4760d4…
03-31 23:04:25	nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	Canadiens	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa49e44…
03-31 17:21:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x8990b0…
03-29 23:15:02	nhl mon car 2026 03 29	Canadiens	SELL	145	89¢	$129	0x098352…
03-29 21:28:56	nhl mon car 2026 03 29	Canadiens	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xfca0e5…
03-29 21:09:34	nhl mon car 2026 03 29	Canadiens	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x6ba85f…
03-28 23:32:02	nhl mon nsh 2026 03 28	Canadiens	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x2fbdea…
03-26 20:17:33	nhl cbj mon 2026 03 26	Canadiens	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x036faf…
03-26 14:23:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	49	23¢	$11	0xfead6a…
03-25 01:41:33	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Canadiens	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x00991c…
03-24 23:16:11	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Canadiens	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x03d5b3…
03-24 21:14:19	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Canadiens	BUY	74	46¢	$34	0x85edc9…
03-22 18:48:13	mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 mia	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xac8858…
03-22 18:27:23	mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 mia	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xd026ba…
03-22 15:02:05	Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?	Yes	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0x74a5f1…
03-22 01:53:17	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xdb7729…
03-22 01:38:33	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x286101…
03-22 01:35:29	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	SELL	83	96¢	$79	0xf89837…
03-22 01:35:11	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdec448…
03-21 23:48:03	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xcb5bca…
03-21 23:34:35	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xfa1124…
03-21 20:22:23	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xf28664…
03-19 15:28:03	nhl mon det 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xd7b80f…
03-18 15:05:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	137	42¢	$58	0x3cb8d1…
03-18 01:57:35	nhl bos mon 2026 03 17	Canadiens	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x86276e…
03-17 23:17:35	nhl bos mon 2026 03 17	Canadiens	BUY	180	45¢	$81	0xead3e5…
03-17 15:16:51	nhl bos mon 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	Canadiens	BUY	75	38¢	$29	0x73db79…
03-17 15:15:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	205	14¢	$29	0x104d7f…
03-16 18:34:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	274	49¢	$133	0xd4a38c…
03-16 18:33:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x47f317…
03-16 18:30:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	332	38¢	$126	0xd73d41…
03-16 18:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	351	40¢	$141	0xf421d5…
03-16 18:28:41	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	294	48¢	$141	0x493405…
03-15 23:29:03	nhl ana mon 2026 03 15	Canadiens	BUY	87	44¢	$38	0xc03d22…