Offbeat-Antecedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$207

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-21 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	7	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$10	9	5	+4	Down	+$0	05-09 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$9	12	4	+8	Up	+$3	05-09 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$6	11	4	+7	Down	+$0	05-09 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$6	10	4	+6	Up	+$6	05-09 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$6	7	4	+3	Up	$-0	05-10 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$5	10	2	+8	Up	$-3	05-10 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-09 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$4	4	1	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	05-10 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	Up	$-1	05-08 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	5	1	+4	Down	$-1	05-09 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$3	26	1	+25	Up	$-1	05-08 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-10 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-09 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 07:55
btc updown 5m 1782023400	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	06-21 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$2	102	0	+102	Up	$-2	05-09 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 06:30:59	btc updown 5m 1782023400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaab407…
06-21 06:30:16	btc updown 5m 1782023400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x70368f…
06-21 06:28:20	btc updown 5m 1782023100	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa563f6…
06-21 06:25:19	btc updown 5m 1782023100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x49a668…
06-21 06:20:16	btc updown 5m 1782022800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe4e1c0…
05-10 05:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2b13b1…
05-10 05:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb9ffc5…
05-10 05:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5a0871…
05-10 05:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x302ac6…
05-10 05:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x682572…
05-10 05:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeab4b2…
05-10 05:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0b76d4…
05-10 05:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x6a0505…
05-10 05:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8b38f9…
05-10 05:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5c4d5d…
05-10 05:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xdceae0…
05-10 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x870eed…
05-10 05:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x88ef6f…
05-10 05:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x8dd956…
05-10 05:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2d61f8…
05-10 05:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9b69c6…
05-10 04:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7471db…
05-10 04:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd11039…
05-10 04:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x7190c1…
05-10 04:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x73e545…
05-10 04:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xba89ce…
05-10 04:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5faaed…
05-10 04:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x119b34…
05-10 04:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xded1d6…
05-10 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5f4bbf…
05-10 04:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb211bf…
05-10 04:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x60bdf9…
05-10 04:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0c2862…
05-10 04:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfa8e61…
05-10 04:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd2bb02…
05-10 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x31fbf6…
05-10 04:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6bfaa6…
05-10 04:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x42dc57…
05-09 08:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x27ec45…
05-09 08:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x185d52…
05-09 08:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd3ec96…
05-09 08:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x9d296c…
05-09 08:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x40cc01…
05-09 08:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x954bd4…
05-09 08:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0af71a…
05-09 08:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3170f3…
05-09 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6d1b5a…
05-09 08:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb27c47…
05-09 08:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xaf5dcc…
05-09 08:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xbc0013…
05-09 08:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1ac5cb…
05-09 08:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xee15a1…
05-09 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xc2809f…
05-09 08:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x152d6a…
05-09 08:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbab10e…
05-09 08:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x772bf5…
05-09 08:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x230bac…
05-09 08:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x41ee63…
05-09 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x04b567…
05-09 08:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfbdad5…
05-09 08:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x854163…
05-09 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x74826b…
05-09 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf11313…
05-09 08:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc9dcf2…
05-09 08:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7a413c…
05-09 08:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd7241f…
05-09 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfead9d…
05-09 08:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa07acb…
05-09 08:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x33ff2a…
05-09 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x8d6d74…
05-09 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x040646…
05-09 08:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x117633…
05-09 08:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb7f9a7…
05-09 08:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba8497…
05-09 08:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x53306f…
05-09 08:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbecf7b…
05-09 08:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xac6176…
05-09 08:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d96ef…
05-09 08:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xabc080…
05-09 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6c15a5…
05-09 08:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2e7af5…
05-09 08:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x227c83…
05-09 08:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2e24c0…
05-09 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xae8995…
05-09 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb8700f…
05-09 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xadcc08…
05-09 07:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f92bb…
05-09 07:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf1f834…
05-09 07:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xb9a99e…
05-09 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce042f…
05-09 07:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3fce2e…
05-09 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x361762…
05-09 07:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd72879…
05-09 07:31:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x190a99…
05-09 07:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3d18c7…
05-09 07:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6d2662…
05-09 07:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xda4fbe…
05-09 07:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d9f80…
05-09 07:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd9524c…
05-09 07:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe75b29…