Sweaty-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-09 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 97% +$1

Other

7% 80% $-48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$1	05-11 20:53
solana up or down june 8 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-08 10:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-30 19:53
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-11 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-26 02:56
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	$-50	05-07 20:36
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	1	$50	54	+54	Down	+$4	05-10 11:57
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-08 03:55
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-07 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-10 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-11 19:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 7?	1	$50	50	+50	Yes	+$0	05-07 20:36
solana up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-05 22:55
xrp up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-06 03:59
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-08 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-11 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-29 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	1	$49	51	+51	open	—	05-30 18:58
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	06-04 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-29 00:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$49	52	+52	open	—	05-29 20:35
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	1	$49	52	+52	Up	+$3	05-11 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-29 07:57
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	open	—	05-29 07:56
Bitcoin above 74,800 on May 27, 10AM ET?	1	$30	33	+33	open	—	05-27 13:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-25 15:34
bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	1	$29	32	+32	open	—	06-05 15:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	1	$29	30	+30	open	—	05-26 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-04 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:24:30	sol updown 5m 1781029200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc40038…
06-09 17:58:18	doge updown 15m 1781027100	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x92ce19…
06-09 15:28:10	sol updown 15m 1781018100	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb096a…
06-09 15:28:07	eth updown 15m 1781018100	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc051cc…
06-09 08:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x35481c…
06-09 08:54:27	sol updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd17d35…
06-09 08:54:24	xrp updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x48c6e1…
06-09 01:49:30	hype updown 5m 1780969500	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8dc2d8…
06-09 01:49:27	xrp updown 5m 1780969500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4f48a9…
06-08 22:39:48	sol updown 5m 1780958100	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x604eb0…
06-08 10:55:24	solana up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf44963…
06-08 04:59:30	xrp updown 5m 1780894500	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3c40d7…
06-08 04:59:27	btc updown 15m 1780893900	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0d562c…
06-08 03:44:24	bnb updown 15m 1780889400	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x014d30…
06-07 20:28:34	eth updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x789291…
06-07 20:28:30	sol updown 15m 1780863300	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa04ff3…
06-07 07:24:13	xrp updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3dbbdd…
06-07 07:24:09	sol updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xba9577…
06-07 03:43:13	btc updown 15m 1780803000	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xa1f45e…
06-06 21:24:07	doge updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabead0…
06-06 03:59:51	xrp up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x60eff8…
06-05 22:55:37	solana up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4d1975…
06-05 20:44:33	hype updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd193a8…
06-05 18:09:57	doge updown 5m 1780682700	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa9be72…
06-05 18:09:54	sol updown 5m 1780682700	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x40a492…
06-05 15:36:22	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x699356…
06-05 14:29:19	sol updown 15m 1780668900	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7510e5…
06-05 01:24:31	sol updown 5m 1780622400	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdfad95…
06-05 01:24:27	btc updown 5m 1780622400	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa50ea6…
06-05 00:09:07	xrp updown 5m 1780617900	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6b2ddf…
06-04 20:44:24	sol updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9cf68f…
06-04 20:44:19	xrp updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0de644…
06-04 20:44:16	eth updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64897d…
06-04 20:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc52240…
06-04 19:54:49	doge updown 5m 1780602600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3d4d3…
06-04 06:59:13	solana up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x8ced85…
06-04 06:59:09	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xe44f36…
06-03 02:13:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x174ca5…
06-02 15:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6c3413…
06-01 19:43:39	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4f2c94…
06-01 19:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73e663…
06-01 19:39:32	hype updown 5m 1780342500	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xda3a89…
06-01 19:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xdfa302…
06-01 19:13:45	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc79517…
06-01 18:44:37	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x692fbf…
06-01 15:58:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8ca683…
06-01 08:13:59	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0d121c…
06-01 05:58:46	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7eb954…
06-01 05:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x005fe5…
05-31 15:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4eb319…
05-31 15:36:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8d7f7a…
05-31 14:54:16	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe853ec…
05-31 14:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x336a91…
05-31 14:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5cf7ad…
05-31 09:28:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xcc4fcf…
05-30 23:43:29	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7b6798…
05-30 23:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x1ab4d9…
05-30 23:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xd97159…
05-30 19:58:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x198d47…
05-30 19:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x032057…
05-30 18:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x721b07…
05-30 18:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x8c6253…
05-30 11:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdac1c6…
05-30 10:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x55d743…
05-30 07:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x7f2618…
05-30 07:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x161ad2…
05-30 05:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9258c0…
05-30 02:24:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd5726…
05-29 23:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x741703…
05-29 20:35:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x8cd8a1…
05-29 07:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x575a17…
05-29 07:56:57	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x21cf58…
05-29 03:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x293b73…
05-29 03:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x68a75b…
05-29 00:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8f6243…
05-28 20:09:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8f99a…
05-28 12:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xce22b8…
05-28 12:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xa0b41d…
05-28 09:19:55	hype updown 5m 1779959700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x384417…
05-28 09:19:50	BNB Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe69eb4…
05-28 06:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x2eca06…
05-28 02:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xea3320…
05-27 13:31:28	Bitcoin above 74,800 on May 27, 10AM ET?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x54528b…
05-27 02:29:21	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa4bea3…
05-27 02:09:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbfe481…
05-26 21:34:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x10e84f…
05-26 15:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9899c9…
05-26 13:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x504fbc…
05-26 13:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcc9807…
05-26 13:43:37	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x6b0fbd…
05-26 02:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd9be6e…
05-25 21:29:31	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd88db1…
05-25 21:29:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa64893…
05-25 19:28:35	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf2a04c…
05-25 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xc32280…
05-25 16:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x30211a…
05-25 15:34:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x581485…
05-11 20:53:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x62a59b…
05-11 19:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55a004…
05-11 18:56:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xeb4dcc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	112	$19.6K	1,754	06-02 15:23
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	104	$5.20K	204	06-09 15:25
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	99	$22.5K	1,105	06-08 04:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	98	$20.3K	850	06-09 15:24
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	97	$24.3K	1,410	06-09 15:27
Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387	96	$1.78K	431	06-09 08:53
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	93	$9.06K	771	06-09 15:23
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	93	$3.69K	658	06-09 18:23