Sweaty-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

576

Trades

587

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 08-18 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 97% -$84

Other

5% 95% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-21 15:57
solana up or down june 8 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-08 10:55
ethereum up or down july 17 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-17 10:55
bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-12 03:56
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	-$50	05-07 20:36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$1	05-11 20:53
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-11 18:56
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 07:51
xrp up or down july 18 2026 2am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-18 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-23 11:51
ethereum up or down july 5 2026 4am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-26 02:56
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-31 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-30 19:53
solana up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-28 16:56
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 3am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-04 07:57
bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-05 15:50
ethereum up or down june 30 2026 5am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-30 09:55
xrp up or down july 9 2026 4pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	07-09 20:57
solana up or down july 19 2026 8am et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	07-19 12:58
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	08-17 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	1	$50	54	+54	Down	+$4	05-10 11:57
ethereum up or down july 27 2026 9am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 13:57
bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 9am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-25 13:55
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-27 15:46
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-28 16:56
xrp up or down june 14 2026 9pm et	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-15 01:58
ethereum up or down june 21 2026 9am et	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-21 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	2	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-29 03:56
xrp up or down june 5 2026 11pm et	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	06-06 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 04:56:42	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x78c686…
08-17 19:50:58	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x32a368…
08-17 07:57:12	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x728022…
08-16 21:14:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x6443bf…
08-16 15:47:27	bitcoin up or down on august 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa47636…
08-16 12:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x71067f…
08-16 12:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf13f05…
08-16 04:43:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdf5222…
08-15 20:55:06	ethereum up or down august 15 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb49a78…
08-15 19:53:42	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x52efce…
08-15 19:53:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5f243e…
08-15 15:33:46	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x6ff81f…
08-15 15:33:43	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc867ed…
08-15 15:33:40	xrp above 1 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x116138…
08-14 20:52:06	ng up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1bd27f…
08-14 20:52:03	xagusd up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8cccea…
08-13 15:39:01	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x97e445…
08-13 15:38:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x465abc…
08-13 15:38:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x089257…
08-13 15:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad50e7…
08-12 19:55:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xeacfda…
08-12 15:49:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x72fd74…
08-12 15:49:42	ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2db494…
08-12 06:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x837aae…
08-12 03:56:10	ethereum up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55fcbf…
08-12 03:56:06	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe966f3…
08-11 23:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7ed16a…
08-10 18:13:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3d790d…
08-10 15:36:24	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xca2d3b…
08-10 15:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 10?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe49c8b…
08-10 14:04:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b2f87…
08-10 09:34:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29ee3e…
08-10 09:13:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc8e993…
08-09 23:43:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8a7bca…
08-09 20:55:42	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf41239…
08-09 20:28:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe0a050…
08-08 01:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xfee396…
08-08 01:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x479c40…
08-07 15:33:01	solana up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x89aac7…
08-06 10:59:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedc473…
08-06 10:59:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x4aa59e…
08-06 10:29:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcd592e…
08-05 09:56:32	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x86ba6d…
08-04 19:58:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x253637…
08-04 12:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5a564…
08-04 07:57:42	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x32d3b6…
08-04 05:14:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01c296…
08-04 05:14:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x94a7c4…
08-03 23:43:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x52ba80…
08-02 23:13:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7fa6d9…
08-02 15:53:38	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x339c42…
08-02 15:40:18	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xc85180…
08-02 15:40:15	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xecbeac…
08-02 05:59:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcabaae…
08-01 10:13:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x80ed7e…
08-01 10:13:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x25d18a…
07-31 10:56:14	solana up or down july 31 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7d5c14…
07-30 19:55:08	solana up or down july 30 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x79863b…
07-30 01:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x165529…
07-30 01:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4a9800…
07-29 15:47:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xad5455…
07-29 15:47:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x7631cb…
07-29 15:46:54	ethereum above 1900 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xe3cdbe…
07-29 15:40:12	xrp up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd0bfd1…
07-29 15:40:09	ethereum up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x72a6ac…
07-29 07:39:24	Solana Up or Down - July 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x63ec0b…
07-29 01:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4a0d8…
07-28 16:56:28	solana up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc6459f…
07-28 16:56:23	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xa64469…
07-28 02:28:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6e0708…
07-27 13:57:15	ethereum up or down july 27 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x7bbe59…
07-27 07:51:49	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb62b24…
07-27 01:57:45	xrp up or down july 26 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x195ac8…
07-26 20:28:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1daf1e…
07-26 20:28:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf5963c…
07-26 13:39:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x299fe3…
07-26 13:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc2bfb8…
07-26 08:29:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b2c46…
07-26 05:59:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc9dff3…
07-26 05:58:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd45281…
07-25 23:44:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7b4041…
07-25 18:56:43	ethereum up or down july 25 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb74b37…
07-25 13:55:13	solana up or down july 25 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x11bf57…
07-25 13:55:10	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xca9fe5…
07-25 00:24:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb00139…
07-24 18:14:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa74c09…
07-24 00:13:16	XRP Up or Down - July 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x983b78…
07-24 00:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa89d83…
07-23 15:35:33	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 23?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb486c5…
07-23 15:35:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 23?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9fc9aa…
07-23 15:35:22	xrp above 1pt1 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x96d243…
07-23 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdf9f22…
07-23 04:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc300b9…
07-22 18:28:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x091184…
07-22 14:43:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x47341c…
07-21 19:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9dabd5…
07-21 19:34:52	Solana Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x9912e0…
07-21 17:34:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1d5414…
07-21 12:15:00	Solana Up or Down - July 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe34398…
07-21 11:57:03	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xab25c1…