Pricey-Pleat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$872

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

1,030

Trades

5,796

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-01 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 61% -$767

Politics

10% 62% -$92

Other

1% 33% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-11	-$4	36¢	$-4	+$0	06-29 21:47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-73	-$7	2¢	$-2	+$6	06-25 17:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	-19	-$3	6¢	$-1	+$2	06-27 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 01:00 UTC	44	$783	644	529	+115	Up	-$10	02-20 01:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$666	560	342	+218	No	+$76	01-20 15:25
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	5	$516	339	339	+0	Yes	+$17	01-20 04:33
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	16	$342	200	233	-33	Yes	+$31	02-18 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	79	$254	530	0	+530	Up	-$30	05-23 00:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 01:15 UTC	9	$201	174	100	+74	Down	-$21	02-20 01:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 23:15 UTC	26	$199	122	122	+0	Up	+$6	02-17 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	107	$194	662	0	+662	Down	-$46	05-22 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	45	$193	342	0	+342	Down	-$29	05-23 12:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	73	$179	505	0	+505	Up	-$16	05-23 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	73	$177	480	0	+480	Up	+$7	05-23 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	78	$171	658	0	+658	Down	+$14	05-23 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	15	$168	111	92	+19	Up	+$4	05-23 13:12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$167	0	299	-299	Yes	-$131	05-22 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	51	$163	297	0	+297	Down	-$29	05-22 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	18	$163	210	121	+89	Up	-$49	05-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	34	$161	252	77	+175	Down	-$36	05-23 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	14	$161	143	143	+0	Up	+$10	05-15 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	21	$157	299	222	+77	Down	-$30	05-16 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	16	$155	145	145	+0	Up	+$6	05-15 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	20	$154	143	143	+0	Up	-$2	05-15 19:19
Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	6	$153	171	171	+0	Up	$0	05-01 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	45	$139	333	0	+333	Down	-$55	05-23 16:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	54	$135	316	0	+316	Up	+$39	05-23 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$135	125	92	+33	Down	+$21	05-15 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	15	$134	88	88	+0	Up	+$29	05-15 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	28	$133	132	120	+11	Up	+$16	05-15 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	60	$133	731	0	+731	Down	-$19	05-23 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	11	$130	132	132	+0	Down	+$14	05-15 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	81	$130	439	0	+439	Up	+$208	05-22 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 11:32:41	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcec635…
10-01 11:12:00	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x5859b6…
10-01 11:01:35	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcb20de…
10-01 10:51:44	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xecd102…
10-01 10:42:15	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5c5df3…
10-01 10:28:30	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xcdbbc4…
10-01 10:21:39	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd62692…
10-01 09:01:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc025cd…
10-01 09:01:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb3ce39…
10-01 08:51:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x4bf8d3…
10-01 08:51:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2a55f4…
10-01 08:46:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x2c478a…
10-01 08:36:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe606d6…
10-01 08:32:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa85308…
10-01 08:21:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xa4c250…
10-01 08:17:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x766405…
10-01 08:11:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0xc7075c…
10-01 08:06:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x6b8eee…
10-01 07:55:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4ac710…
10-01 07:41:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	13¢	$3	0x4ed396…
10-01 07:30:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xeaf215…
10-01 07:30:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xcf94fa…
10-01 07:26:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x97c9e2…
10-01 07:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x096295…
10-01 07:20:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x4ebe28…
10-01 07:05:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x57bac8…
10-01 06:52:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x58d699…
10-01 06:17:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x52b1f7…
10-01 06:17:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x29bf7a…
10-01 05:29:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5398f6…
10-01 05:19:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2e71e6…
10-01 05:07:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0df646…
10-01 05:07:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3e4371…
10-01 04:46:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf522e6…
10-01 04:05:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xffa7ec…
10-01 02:31:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2ee3c5…
10-01 01:27:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd85b23…
10-01 01:05:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2d024d…
10-01 01:02:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xbde12c…
10-01 01:02:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x214092…
10-01 00:48:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x1366d6…
09-30 23:33:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x15d06a…
09-30 23:16:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xeb0ba2…
09-30 23:16:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x834466…
09-30 23:06:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x20abe3…
09-30 23:02:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb29d7b…
09-30 22:50:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x87ba71…
09-30 21:05:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x8602c5…
09-30 20:35:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x1c05a0…
09-30 20:02:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x6f5aed…
09-30 20:00:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x7716ee…
09-30 19:51:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x493d8c…
09-30 19:47:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0bebf4…
09-30 19:26:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfa774e…
09-30 19:17:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x976195…
09-30 18:34:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcfaaf9…
09-30 18:18:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0x2ba842…
09-30 18:18:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xb954dd…
09-30 18:06:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x66464a…
09-30 17:48:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7d1f8d…
09-30 17:36:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xb2ec28…
09-30 17:13:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xd272d0…
09-30 17:13:17	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xaa89f7…
09-30 17:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x6329c4…
09-30 17:13:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x23a7d1…
09-30 16:41:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x70f90c…
09-30 16:22:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xd35604…
09-30 16:16:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa27e3b…
09-30 15:35:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x7beed0…
09-30 15:34:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x379270…
09-30 15:31:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xbe4528…
07-11 00:29:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa501a0…
07-10 23:58:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb78ef3…
07-10 23:54:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc25621…
07-02 22:35:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd1fb21…
07-02 22:35:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7af53…
07-02 22:35:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x5246a0…
07-02 22:35:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x0f1b28…
07-02 22:35:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc264b8…
07-02 22:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00cb9f…
07-02 22:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2a44d0…
07-02 22:30:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0cd1c8…
07-02 22:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0635b7…
07-02 22:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x954bc5…
07-02 22:28:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc0272f…
07-02 22:25:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xec9ec8…
07-02 22:25:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x4b8f92…
07-02 22:21:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa73f5b…
07-02 22:20:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x82fd01…
07-02 22:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x07e859…
07-02 22:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x708b02…
07-02 22:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x4077da…
07-02 22:15:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x863068…
07-02 22:15:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xcee8bf…
07-02 22:15:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6e87af…
07-02 22:14:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x927adf…
07-02 22:14:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x50c28d…
07-02 22:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x72db1d…
07-02 22:12:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x223dc9…
07-02 22:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x20f5ec…