Known-Swordfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$515

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

1,224

Trades

7,040

lifetime

Volume

$92.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 09-10 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

96% 41% +$289

Sports

3% 63% +$208

Politics

1% 50% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to mark carney in february	7	$732	573	573	+0	No	+$22	02-20 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?	15	$576	375	375	+0	No	+$77	06-17 17:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?	5	$560	321	321	+0	No	+$82	06-18 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 6?	13	$559	397	397	+0	No	+$187	06-06 05:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?	2	$512	300	300	+0	No	+$88	06-19 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?	10	$479	452	452	+0	No	-$66	06-21 14:00
highest temperature in chongqing on april 14 2026 20c	4	$472	268	262	+7	No	+$53	04-14 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?	10	$465	322	322	+0	No	+$166	05-01 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?	131	$464	320	320	+0	No	+$80	06-14 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	11	$461	750	750	+0	Yes	+$386	05-12 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	6	$458	295	295	+0	No	+$132	06-04 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 17?	29	$429	507	507	+0	Yes	-$132	06-17 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	18	$423	436	436	+0	Yes	+$353	06-06 05:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	21	$419	760	749	+11	Yes	-$225	04-15 08:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	17	$416	323	321	+2	Yes	+$226	04-14 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?	7	$400	254	254	+0	No	+$107	06-19 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 9?	29	$398	257	257	+0	No	+$110	05-09 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 29?	19	$392	306	306	+0	No	+$84	05-29 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 16?	4	$375	204	204	+0	No	+$32	06-16 18:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 21c	3	$369	200	199	+1	No	+$25	04-12 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 19?	2	$359	200	200	+0	No	+$41	06-19 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14?	11	$355	245	245	+0	No	+$51	06-14 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?	17	$354	995	275	+720	Yes	-$74	06-17 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 22?	6	$349	200	200	+0	No	+$50	06-22 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12?	13	$341	202	202	+0	No	+$19	06-12 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?	24	$337	405	405	+0	Yes	+$271	06-10 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?	8	$335	278	278	+0	No	+$48	06-20 15:05
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 36c	5	$321	205	202	+3	No	+$15	04-11 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?	14	$320	311	311	+0	Yes	-$69	07-17 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?	8	$320	200	200	+0	No	+$60	07-16 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 07:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	73	5¢	$3	0xadabe0…
09-10 07:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x7638ab…
09-10 07:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	59	11¢	$6	0xdb305d…
09-10 07:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x2417f0…
09-10 07:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xa7d7e2…
09-10 07:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x1388a5…
09-10 07:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xe31729…
09-10 07:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xb4e951…
09-10 01:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc81658…
09-10 01:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xd63d6b…
09-10 01:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xaa47b0…
09-09 16:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd12a27…
09-09 16:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x065cc8…
09-09 14:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xd06494…
09-09 14:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x237d02…
09-09 14:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0x242d01…
09-09 12:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x8f09dc…
09-09 05:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x567203…
09-09 05:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x3c001e…
09-09 04:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0x9447a7…
09-09 04:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xbbbf19…
09-09 04:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0xadc45c…
09-09 04:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x775281…
09-09 04:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	72	37¢	$27	0xed8a60…
09-09 04:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x578ee3…
09-09 04:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0x6a8564…
09-09 04:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0x8b265c…
09-08 15:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x95cb52…
09-08 15:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x93004a…
09-08 15:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xbc1046…
09-08 15:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	67	32¢	$22	0x23e100…
09-08 15:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	80	39¢	$31	0x87fe1d…
09-08 10:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 8?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$41	0xea3798…
09-08 08:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 8?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x4b6a53…
09-08 01:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x6235b0…
09-07 15:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x174c7a…
09-07 15:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe9219a…
09-07 08:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd8b533…
09-06 17:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x30fd51…
09-06 17:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xb39cb8…
09-06 17:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xadd559…
09-06 17:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x38d8ba…
09-06 16:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x516828…
09-06 09:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xdc9289…
09-06 09:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xf72c1b…
09-06 09:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x65da9c…
09-06 08:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xe57c94…
09-06 08:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3bac6c…
09-06 08:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x4470eb…
09-06 08:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xb9e01a…
09-06 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xf8685d…
09-06 06:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0xf00a49…
09-06 05:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	46	8¢	$4	0x2a9a4d…
09-06 03:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x201ff6…
09-06 03:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x52e933…
09-06 03:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xe5639b…
08-24 09:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x26816e…
08-24 09:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x503259…
08-24 07:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5e6a91…
08-24 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	51	44¢	$23	0xa8fadc…
08-24 07:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x1919b5…
08-24 07:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$2	0x8525dd…
08-20 09:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?	No	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xa3e85b…
08-20 09:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?	No	SELL	85	60¢	$51	0x6b9b8b…
08-19 17:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xf64500…
08-18 14:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x7538d3…
08-18 14:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x4221d7…
08-18 14:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x5f6372…
08-18 14:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xa7b027…
08-18 14:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0x0abe83…
08-18 14:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xeed857…
08-18 14:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	SELL	415	0¢	$0	0x6a38f1…
08-18 14:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xc6c445…
08-18 14:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xa84b50…
08-18 14:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	157	3¢	$5	0xc14eb1…
08-18 14:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe4da4d…
08-18 14:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x5546dd…
08-18 14:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x8c335e…
08-18 13:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xec48cf…
08-18 13:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0x62b633…
08-18 13:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x9b4fc5…
08-18 13:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x98b9aa…
08-18 13:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xaf006e…
08-18 10:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	188	2¢	$4	0x703647…
08-18 10:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0xc1f284…
08-18 10:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x72f604…
08-18 10:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	55	36¢	$20	0xbf5bad…
08-18 09:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0x92b7e2…
08-18 09:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0xf171b0…
08-18 08:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x76cc0c…
08-18 07:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfeb18a…
08-18 07:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x15eb16…
08-18 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x90971d…
08-18 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3a73d1…
08-18 06:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9e5d5b…
08-18 06:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2c2503…
08-18 04:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd7a70c…
08-18 03:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	227	0¢	$0	0x02db6b…
08-18 03:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xafd75f…
08-18 03:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1f870f…