Vain-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$465

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

31.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

423 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.97K

$78.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

$302

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

95% 44% -$5,040

Sports

4% 40% -$290

Politics

1% 80% +$695

Crypto

0% 33% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+398	$200	39¢	$155	-$45	09-08 00:13
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+130	$3	70¢	$91	+$89	10-25 13:49
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+407	$110	14¢	$55	-$55	08-16 00:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 mad	3	$1.7K	1,078	1,078	+0	Yes	+$477	03-01 01:33
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$1.1K	484	806	-323	Yes	+$183	03-18 22:52
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	3	$1000	1,819	0	+1,819	No	-$1,000	06-25 18:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$810	844	0	+844	Yes	+$34	04-28 20:25
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	2	$800	1,309	0	+1,309	Yes	+$509	03-14 13:16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	3	$800	1,353	0	+1,353	No	-$800	04-30 17:40
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	2	$754	1,180	0	+1,180	No	-$754	03-11 01:34
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$700	1,066	0	+1,066	Yes	+$366	06-23 11:50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	2	$700	1,628	0	+1,628	Yes	+$928	07-01 00:42
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$700	1,154	0	+1,154	Yes	+$454	03-10 10:58
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	4	$700	1,757	0	+1,757	No	-$700	07-03 12:10
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	1	$600	952	0	+952	No	-$600	04-04 12:52
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$600	1,277	0	+1,277	Yes	+$677	06-30 11:24
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$600	1,091	0	+1,091	Yes	+$491	07-04 15:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$600	857	0	+857	Yes	+$257	06-16 12:08
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	3	$600	983	0	+983	Yes	+$383	02-06 03:13
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	4	$552	917	0	+917	Yes	+$365	03-10 10:58
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	2	$510	921	0	+921	France	+$411	06-22 11:17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$500	1,282	0	+1,282	No	-$500	05-30 16:02
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	1	$500	725	0	+725	No	-$500	03-04 17:58
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$500	862	0	+862	Yes	+$362	05-07 01:14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$500	1,042	0	+1,042	Yes	+$542	06-19 00:29
Broncos vs. Chiefs	1	$500	909	0	+909	Chiefs	+$409	09-15 00:00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$500	847	0	+847	Yes	+$347	06-27 15:48
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	1	$500	962	0	+962	Yes	+$462	04-07 17:42
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	2	$500	866	0	+866	Yes	+$366	06-28 13:00
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 atm1	2	$500	933	0	+933	No	-$500	02-17 14:49
lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	2	$500	1,438	0	+1,438	No	-$500	04-22 15:58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$500	826	0	+826	Yes	+$326	04-21 18:14
lal lev mad 2026 01 31 mad	2	$500	810	0	+810	No	-$500	01-31 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:46:38	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x962197…
10-28 15:46:26	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x2a3006…
10-28 15:45:41	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x019d50…
10-28 15:45:26	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	556	54¢	$300	0xcc88b7…
10-25 22:52:33	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Chiefs	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x7bea02…
10-25 22:52:24	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	833	42¢	$350	0xe511c8…
10-25 19:49:36	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6e7bf8…
10-25 13:51:00	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xd6041c…
10-25 13:50:44	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xa2258a…
10-25 13:50:11	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x9322c8…
10-25 13:49:35	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	241	82¢	$197	0x4aaf22…
10-21 23:33:59	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x9add3d…
10-21 13:44:35	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0xc6150f…
10-21 13:43:57	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xf245c6…
10-20 12:56:29	Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)	Club Brugge KV	BUY	256	27¢	$69	0xca27cd…
10-20 12:56:11	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x794dec…
10-20 12:55:45	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	440	25¢	$110	0x5c35e0…
10-20 12:55:17	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	608	51¢	$310	0x2e334b…
10-20 12:55:03	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	333	63¢	$210	0xf67e74…
10-14 00:50:13	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	389	54¢	$210	0xbbf8a0…
10-13 01:00:14	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x91b96b…
10-13 00:59:56	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xb7ae22…
10-13 00:59:09	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	690	58¢	$400	0x46ee56…
10-13 00:58:47	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x6824b7…
10-13 00:57:57	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x90a96b…
10-13 00:57:41	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x3b8443…
10-13 00:57:02	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xa73cc2…
10-11 18:24:48	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x0382e1…
10-09 00:12:35	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Augsburg	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x3644bf…
10-09 00:11:33	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xd4638f…
10-08 00:23:04	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x61a181…
10-08 00:22:55	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x35d952…
10-06 22:26:03	Spread: Argentina (-4.5)	Benin	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x09d8c3…
10-04 23:57:59	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x39495f…
10-04 23:57:47	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd92520…
10-04 23:57:26	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	335	60¢	$200	0xc319cc…
10-04 23:57:14	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x49a147…
10-04 23:56:29	Spread: Albania (-3.5)	Albania	BUY	204	54¢	$110	0x074ba9…
10-04 23:56:05	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	485	41¢	$200	0x39925f…
09-25 00:37:20	Spread: Packers (-6.5)	Packers	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x5bc9e8…
09-24 22:25:51	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x31b19d…
09-20 16:28:25	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x985869…
09-19 23:57:43	LSU vs. Ole Miss	LSU	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa94787…
09-18 00:56:01	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x780bcb…
09-18 00:55:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x545f9e…
09-18 00:55:00	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x8e1c79…
09-18 00:54:43	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x18d551…
09-15 18:26:10	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x337b2a…
09-15 18:25:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x2e0436…
09-15 18:25:43	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x878190…
09-15 18:25:25	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xb68f6f…
09-15 00:00:36	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xd6a3e6…
09-11 01:04:25	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	234	47¢	$110	0x3ea1ef…
09-11 01:00:45	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x0a8275…
09-11 01:00:33	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5c5495…
09-11 01:00:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x7ee436…
09-11 00:59:49	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x4c34c8…
09-09 01:17:22	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x50f791…
09-09 01:17:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x7006ae…
09-08 00:13:25	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	398	50¢	$200	0x0ba40e…
09-07 01:16:13	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	424	33¢	$140	0x767808…
09-07 01:16:06	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0xc203b5…
09-07 01:15:03	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x4226c3…
09-07 01:14:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	702	57¢	$400	0x0be7fa…
09-05 00:58:42	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xf89054…
09-05 00:58:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd0681f…
09-05 00:57:43	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xf85753…
09-05 00:57:27	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x002425…
09-01 01:51:04	lal val bar 2026 09 06 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xd74f55…
09-01 01:50:43	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xd50338…
09-01 01:50:15	Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x04edae…
09-01 01:49:51	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x8dcbbb…
09-01 01:49:24	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x184ec5…
09-01 01:49:04	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0xf31b0d…
08-29 13:16:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x317d63…
08-29 13:15:36	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe3e105…
08-27 12:27:27	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x42435f…
08-27 12:27:16	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x8abbb6…
08-25 00:09:37	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xbb7d7f…
08-24 23:53:27	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0xcc62bc…
08-24 15:01:31	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	431	51¢	$220	0x9e5655…
08-24 14:39:54	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x184f2b…
08-24 14:39:33	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xfc6794…
08-24 14:39:07	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x073685…
08-24 14:39:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0x7d0841…
08-23 14:40:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	303	7¢	$22	0x4896d0…
08-22 14:54:33	lal elc bar 2026 08 23 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x64c8ce…
08-22 14:54:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	585	53¢	$310	0x549f46…
08-22 14:53:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xd4c846…
08-22 14:53:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x8d79a8…
08-22 14:52:37	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	379	53¢	$200	0xa759a5…
08-16 00:29:58	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	407	27¢	$110	0x0372f6…
08-16 00:28:45	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x969670…
07-18 18:15:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xa6dd7e…
07-18 18:14:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	988	40¢	$400	0x7e8ce3…
07-16 00:59:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	625	58¢	$362	0x9a06d0…
07-14 12:54:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	1,280	31¢	$400	0x3423c0…
07-14 12:53:59	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	982	41¢	$400	0x6470d1…
07-10 01:25:10	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xf9ac9b…
07-10 01:23:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	529	57¢	$300	0x03743a…