Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$76.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 03-12 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

57% 34% -$3,617

Other

43% 22% -$980

Crypto

0% 0% -$85

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	22	$7.7K	5,146	5,146	+0	No	+$355	01-25 20:09
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	14	$7.0K	6,656	6,656	+0	No	-$409	02-28 22:21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$5.5K	1,416,555	2,558	+1,413,996	Yes	-$1,494	03-12 15:55
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$5.5K	2,915	2,915	+0	Yes	+$154	02-27 20:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	5	$4.8K	3,781	3,781	+0	No	+$64	03-12 07:18
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	10	$3.5K	691	3,166	-2,475	Yes	-$216	01-09 08:38
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	3	$3.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$166	02-02 20:51
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	3	$3.2K	2,293	2,293	+0	No	+$551	02-02 07:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	19	$2.7K	4,837	4,837	+0	No	-$1,867	01-14 20:00
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	9	$2.6K	1,871	1,911	-40	No	-$44	01-10 21:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$2.6K	1,816	1,816	+0	No	+$187	03-01 16:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$1.7K	3,070	3,070	+0	Yes	-$290	03-09 20:02
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	7	$1.6K	2,956	592	+2,364	No	+$1,173	01-14 21:28
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	8	$1.3K	1,351	1,351	+0	No	-$340	01-14 19:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	4	$1.3K	797	797	+0	No	-$6	03-01 16:36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	3	$1.3K	898	898	+0	Yes	+$101	03-03 15:41
will company b be accused of insider trading	3	$1.3K	1,312	864	+448	No	+$500	02-26 13:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$1.2K	1,243	1,243	+0	No	+$9	03-01 16:40
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	6	$1.2K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	-$235	01-14 19:58
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	5	$1.1K	377	1,026	-649	Yes	-$113	01-09 16:18
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$1.1K	1,306	1,306	+0	No	-$342	03-10 05:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,257	0	+1,257	No	+$188	01-10 21:49
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$1.1K	0	3,646	-3,646	No	+$1,058	01-03 17:27
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.0K	10,198	10,198	+0	No	-$198	03-12 15:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	6	$891	506	506	+0	No	+$20	01-10 21:39
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	6	$792	516	516	+0	No	-$38	01-14 19:58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$739	2,401	2,401	+0	Yes	-$257	02-25 17:20
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	2	$727	1,595	1,595	+0	Yes	-$394	02-28 22:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$720	796	796	+0	No	-$338	01-14 17:18
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$718	1,277	1,276	+0	No	-$281	01-14 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-12 15:55:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	412,590	0¢	$413	0x956093…
03-12 15:53:57	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,198	4¢	$408	0xa08051…
03-12 07:24:41	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	574	5¢	$29	0x5503b0…
03-12 07:23:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	700,000	0¢	$700	0x48492b…
03-12 07:18:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	985	74¢	$729	0x55c226…
03-12 07:14:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	286,100	0¢	$286	0xad0b02…
03-10 13:55:55	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,958	6¢	$177	0x6fe304…
03-10 13:43:29	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	SELL	296	60¢	$177	0x2bdcf2…
03-10 05:29:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	270	70¢	$189	0x333fff…
03-10 05:29:11	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	296	68¢	$200	0xe161e9…
03-10 05:28:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	1,306	30¢	$389	0xb2c2cd…
03-10 04:55:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	1,306	56¢	$731	0x200c47…
03-10 04:23:19	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,667	6¢	$400	0x70bda6…
03-10 04:19:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xa09d0a…
03-09 20:14:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2,854	4¢	$100	0x717380…
03-09 20:06:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	5,771	3¢	$200	0x415181…
03-09 20:03:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	6,681	3¢	$200	0xec4473…
03-09 20:02:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	1,363	21¢	$290	0x2e2881…
03-09 20:01:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	2,796	62¢	$1,721	0x5e3aee…
03-09 20:00:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	1,707	25¢	$420	0x92868e…
03-03 15:44:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	2,796	61¢	$1,696	0xa01548…
03-03 15:43:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	3,070	33¢	$1,000	0x07269c…
03-03 15:41:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	898	79¢	$711	0x097492…
03-03 15:41:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2,558	78¢	$1,986	0x4e8e92…
03-01 16:42:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	132	62¢	$81	0x9d4998…
03-01 16:41:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2,427	62¢	$1,500	0x85a348…
03-01 16:40:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x12d54d…
03-01 16:40:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1,043	48¢	$502	0x1837fd…
03-01 16:40:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	1,416	78¢	$1,099	0xf0bf69…
03-01 16:39:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	870	68¢	$590	0x7226ef…
03-01 16:38:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	200	54¢	$107	0x8200b5…
03-01 16:37:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	400	74¢	$295	0x665de0…
03-01 16:36:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	201	93¢	$187	0xfee364…
02-28 22:57:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	201	83¢	$167	0xcde358…
02-28 22:57:31	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	SELL	1,595	10¢	$167	0x0ba739…
02-28 22:38:53	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	1,595	35¢	$561	0x8b2c93…
02-28 22:37:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	272	32¢	$87	0xb0b41f…
02-28 22:36:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	596	80¢	$474	0x9b80e2…
02-28 22:25:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	600	68¢	$408	0x3468a6…
02-28 22:25:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	596	84¢	$500	0x565c5a…
02-28 22:24:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	272	37¢	$100	0xda7105…
02-28 22:23:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,243	48¢	$600	0x5c6069…
02-28 22:22:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1,215	66¢	$800	0x54962a…
02-28 22:21:39	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	4,777	50¢	$2,408	0xe23050…
02-28 20:12:39	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	5,195	5¢	$255	0x042b12…
02-28 20:11:45	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	501	51¢	$255	0xe87768…
02-27 20:50:47	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	1,382	81¢	$1,124	0xc420af…
02-27 20:49:57	will solana dip to 60 february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	1,913	0¢	$4	0x6b4f13…
02-27 20:49:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,058	97¢	$1,029	0xca20bd…
02-27 20:49:25	will solana dip to 70 february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	3,979	2¢	$91	0x962ce4…
02-27 06:46:04	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	504	89¢	$448	0x008c10…
02-26 13:25:38	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	448	74¢	$330	0x417538…
02-26 13:25:08	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	465	72¢	$333	0x84bf65…
02-26 05:58:48	will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	956	2¢	$20	0xaa8b68…
02-26 05:57:40	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	864	79¢	$683	0xeaa43a…
02-25 20:10:20	will solana dip to 70 february 23 march 1	Yes	BUY	3,979	4¢	$150	0x373c66…
02-25 20:09:52	will solana dip to 60 february 23 march 1	Yes	BUY	1,913	2¢	$30	0x241283…
02-25 17:35:16	will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	6,518	3¢	$200	0x424885…
02-25 17:23:32	will another company be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	6,468	8¢	$500	0x5270f6…
02-25 17:22:02	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	864	35¢	$300	0x886a65…
02-25 17:21:22	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	831	97¢	$803	0x293e44…
02-25 17:20:38	will nvda reach 236 in february	Yes	SELL	604	0¢	$2	0xdf5e3d…
02-25 17:20:32	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,401	10¢	$241	0x564c59…
02-23 18:59:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	9,000	2¢	$135	0x50bb2b…
02-21 08:42:24	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,401	21¢	$498	0xcaa38d…
02-21 08:41:42	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	9,000	5¢	$450	0x50a342…
02-21 08:41:16	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$948	0x4647e0…
02-07 18:47:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x60cc84…
02-07 18:47:13	will nvda reach 220 in february	Yes	SELL	871	4¢	$32	0xb5f124…
02-07 08:01:43	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	212	76¢	$160	0xf72a90…
02-07 08:00:09	will nvda reach 208 in february	Yes	SELL	943	17¢	$160	0x413c07…
02-04 20:38:53	will nvda reach 208 in february	Yes	BUY	213	11¢	$24	0xdc06cd…
02-04 20:36:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0xe5c017…
02-04 07:31:24	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,876	91¢	$2,617	0x9dcd5e…
02-03 16:59:34	will nvda reach 236 in february	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x30da34…
02-03 16:59:04	will nvda reach 220 in february	Yes	BUY	113	12¢	$14	0x94da06…
02-03 16:58:42	will nvda reach 208 in february	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc9b866…
02-03 08:46:08	will nvda reach 208 in february	Yes	BUY	166	35¢	$58	0x4eada8…
02-03 08:44:42	will nvda reach 208 in february	Yes	BUY	297	34¢	$100	0x31a9fa…
02-03 08:44:08	will nvda reach 220 in february	Yes	BUY	265	20¢	$53	0x5b55e9…
02-03 08:43:36	will nvda reach 208 in february	Yes	BUY	226	31¢	$70	0x7eaf96…
02-03 08:43:10	will nvda reach 236 in february	Yes	BUY	215	13¢	$28	0x1a85c1…
02-03 08:42:42	will nvda reach 220 in february	Yes	BUY	353	17¢	$60	0x56d437…
02-03 08:42:14	will nvda reach 220 in february	Yes	BUY	141	14¢	$20	0x8e2b8c…
02-03 08:41:38	will nvda reach 236 in february	Yes	BUY	358	8¢	$30	0x43eebb…
02-02 20:51:32	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	SELL	2,600	59¢	$1,534	0xfdccec…
02-02 20:51:08	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	515	68¢	$350	0xa1e84c…
02-02 07:08:30	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,293	82¢	$1,880	0xfab9a2…
01-31 20:26:44	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	365	56¢	$205	0x3af705…
01-31 20:25:40	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	512	40¢	$205	0x69a60a…
01-26 20:05:05	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	512	38¢	$192	0x18d593…
01-26 20:04:33	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	SELL	400	48¢	$192	0xb6f4d5…
01-26 07:13:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	582	52¢	$302	0x65c49a…
01-26 07:12:12	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	414	73¢	$302	0x9b5eb7…
01-25 20:12:48	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,711	60¢	$1,027	0x26f424…
01-25 20:09:46	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	SELL	1,054	97¢	$1,027	0x817ff3…
01-19 07:32:10	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	1,054	85¢	$894	0x7cb5db…
01-19 07:29:22	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	BUY	3,000	52¢	$1,560	0x64f1bb…
01-14 21:28:58	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	BUY	2,455	45¢	$1,116	0x1f7e8e…
01-14 21:28:28	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	SELL	1,572	71¢	$1,116	0x10ecf8…