Shimmering-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-14 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 100% +$1

Other

19% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 31	2	$50	49	49	+0	open	—	01-31 17:03
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	02-26 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$2	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 11:12
bitcoin up or down on february 5	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	02-04 18:50
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	2	$2	14	14	+0	open	—	02-26 06:36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-31 09:51
will opensea be accused of insider trading	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	02-25 09:24
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	02-04 19:02
will company h be accused of insider trading	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	02-25 09:24
will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	1	$1	62	0	+62	open	—	01-31 17:07
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	1	$1	63	0	+63	open	—	02-25 08:12
will aave be accused of insider trading	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	02-25 08:06
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	01-31 17:07
will company i be accused of insider trading	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	02-25 08:06
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	1	$1	42	0	+42	open	—	01-31 17:15
will company l be accused of insider trading	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	02-25 08:06
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 17:53
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-04 18:51
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 18:07
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	01-31 17:07
will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	01-31 17:22
will binance be accused of insider trading	1	$1	30	0	+30	open	—	02-25 09:23
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-04 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:07:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x876f95…
05-14 17:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2cdcad…
05-14 17:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x97c602…
05-14 17:53:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8cb32b…
05-13 11:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xa19e91…
05-13 11:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa100f8…
05-12 11:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x13d7ea…
05-12 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdbe951…
05-12 11:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x88dafd…
05-12 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcefb0b…
02-26 13:59:30	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x35d79a…
02-26 06:36:42	will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xc9ed40…
02-25 09:24:32	will opensea be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc82ebb…
02-25 09:24:02	will company h be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe63d9c…
02-25 09:23:08	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6877d6…
02-25 09:22:58	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x74d832…
02-25 08:12:44	will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x7db6e8…
02-25 08:06:52	will aave be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6b8286…
02-25 08:06:30	will company i be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x795dcc…
02-25 08:06:14	will company l be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x5777bc…
02-25 08:05:46	will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf5ef3b…
02-04 19:02:21	Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x44433a…
02-04 18:51:21	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ee705…
02-04 18:50:15	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x16a122…
02-04 18:50:01	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xadb275…
02-04 18:39:43	Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaae682…
01-31 17:22:38	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xcf53e5…
01-31 17:15:48	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1ce0e6…
01-31 17:07:28	will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf1b721…
01-31 17:07:18	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd8ec6a…
01-31 17:07:10	will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x276583…
01-31 17:03:46	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 31	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x7a2e7a…
01-31 11:58:50	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 31	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x4953fd…
01-31 09:51:34	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x224dbe…
01-09 10:22:12	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0f5e71…