Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

104

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$150

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 10-02 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

80% 60% +$19

Politics

16% 62% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	2	$3	6	+6	No	$0	07-23 00:36
will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-26 12:39
will spy reach 755 by july 27 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-27 00:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 09:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-17 02:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-03 20:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 04:06
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-30 18:15
will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-05 04:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 07:50
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-13 17:02
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-04 12:15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-16 10:11
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-11 20:35
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-17 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-04 20:17
will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-13 08:59
spy up or down on august 4 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-04 04:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-14 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 13:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-03 12:06
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 12:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 04:36
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-11 12:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 18:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 12:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 23:14
ups quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 1pt66	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 12:39
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-27 12:43
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 05:18:53	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbfaf7f…
09-29 22:24:59	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x883200…
09-29 04:44:00	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd541f4…
09-28 05:29:36	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x08058d…
09-27 17:14:27	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaac07d…
09-26 04:41:14	Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x33096f…
09-26 04:41:11	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3afada…
09-26 04:41:08	Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2ebc43…
09-23 19:19:17	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3e7f99…
09-23 18:21:26	Will Inter Toronto FC win on 2026-09-23?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x73e048…
09-22 07:22:40	Will Independiente Valle Del Cauca win on 2026-09-22?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x484db7…
09-15 04:49:36	Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb1a5db…
09-15 04:49:31	Will IFK Varnamo win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdd76bc…
09-15 00:28:22	Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6f22cf…
09-14 06:29:52	Spread: Instituto AC Córdoba (-1.5)	Instituto AC Córdoba	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x56e163…
09-14 06:04:22	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf90681…
09-14 02:59:33	Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdae267…
09-14 00:59:58	Djurgardens IF vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a8d24…
09-14 00:59:55	CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeb4614…
09-14 00:24:25	Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xec2ca3…
09-13 21:32:52	CA Independiente vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a2d92…
09-13 21:15:09	CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x44f6d3…
09-13 16:13:58	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1579e2…
09-13 16:13:55	HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x00a906…
09-13 15:11:15	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaf8448…
09-13 13:53:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x440aad…
09-13 13:53:12	Moss FK vs. FK Haugesund: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6b28f9…
09-13 10:40:34	Valur Reykjavik vs. Thor Akureyri: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5f08e4…
09-13 08:28:58	Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)	FK Polissia	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3cd726…
09-13 07:30:06	Wisla Plock vs. KS Cracovia Krakow: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6e5815…
09-13 07:30:03	Wisla Plock vs. KS Cracovia Krakow: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49bb51…
09-12 07:30:58	Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Cardiff City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6d0493…
09-12 06:52:37	Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Cardiff City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4c83b9…
09-12 06:52:36	Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Cardiff City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbb746b…
09-12 05:39:31	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0b11e1…
09-12 04:45:49	Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5603d4…
09-12 04:17:13	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5e1754…
09-12 03:54:48	Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbc135…
09-12 03:27:54	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa929b0…
09-10 18:29:30	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x134642…
09-10 14:41:51	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf3830e…
09-09 21:41:31	CF Montréal vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x714789…
09-09 16:35:36	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc1e494…
09-09 15:44:12	FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd80428…
09-08 01:21:52	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9a8278…
09-07 16:47:01	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x561f76…
09-07 08:33:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x472016…
09-03 16:35:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd2f665…
09-01 17:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5a468…
09-01 08:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3f8251…
08-26 20:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9479a7…
08-23 23:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8ebf0c…
08-23 15:12:22	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x75e27b…
08-23 05:48:16	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe9986c…
08-23 05:43:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc17a0a…
08-22 21:24:09	Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb9f414…
08-21 22:59:55	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x18b580…
08-21 22:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd8965b…
08-21 01:55:33	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x04b540…
08-20 17:54:46	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf0509e…
08-19 05:49:12	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xde0026…
08-17 19:53:10	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x715a6e…
08-17 11:47:51	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xee606b…
08-17 02:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfe9710…
08-16 18:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa64a2b…
08-16 10:11:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xab05ae…
08-15 09:13:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x737e2e…
08-14 01:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdba3e3…
08-13 17:02:03	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd1c567…
08-13 08:59:52	will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x321013…
08-12 12:49:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb960c8…
08-12 04:36:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xec1996…
08-11 20:35:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xdc7b08…
08-11 12:34:43	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfae835…
08-11 12:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x22a13c…
08-05 04:18:20	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xefb486…
08-04 20:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8b19bf…
08-04 12:15:09	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6f1d0d…
08-04 04:14:42	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd25611…
08-03 20:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x968d3a…
08-03 12:06:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2cec7e…
08-03 04:06:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7624fd…
08-02 07:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1de4a6…
08-01 23:14:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3fcfc1…
08-01 13:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5ebfde…
08-01 01:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc0221b…
07-31 17:48:00	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa13ed8…
07-30 18:15:56	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe6a203…
07-30 01:26:09	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x905b6e…
07-29 12:08:20	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb36cc3…
07-28 22:57:55	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3efbbc…
07-28 11:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8993bb…
07-27 21:37:28	will hood reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1313b4…
07-27 12:43:04	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4a194c…
07-27 00:40:13	will spy reach 755 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbb17b7…
07-26 12:39:54	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x70e9c7…
07-26 00:39:24	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x19439f…
07-25 12:39:21	ups quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 1pt66	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7b8f74…
07-25 00:39:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xaef549…
07-24 12:37:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x595ab5…