Noxious-Rib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$475

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.7%

Resolved

572

Trades

1,573

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-21 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

63% 27% -$104

Sports

15% 3% -$67

Politics

14% 23% -$283

Tech

7% 50% +$27

Crypto

1% 33% -$47

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will joey chestnut eat 78 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035704	9	$438	230	230	+0	No	$0	07-04 10:53
will anyone say mustard 10 times during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701048	8	$414	260	260	+0	No	-$1	07-05 02:40
will joey chestnut eat 85 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035707	4	$388	200	200	+0	No	-$1	07-03 21:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	5	$300	300	300	+0	No	-$3	05-21 08:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$287	360	0	+360	Yes	+$73	07-26 09:06
will joey chestnut eat 60 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035698	5	$277	150	150	+0	Yes	-$6	07-04 14:51
will joey chestnut eat 80 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035705	6	$275	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-03 22:01
will joey chestnut eat 82 or more hot dogs at nathans famous hot dog eating contest 2026mens 20260703210035706	4	$271	140	140	+0	No	$0	07-03 21:53
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	3	$253	150	150	+0	No	-$14	06-15 16:44
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?	2	$250	150	150	+0	No	-$2	05-19 23:21
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	3	$243	130	130	+0	No	+$15	06-26 15:37
will liudmila samsonova advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807020	2	$229	120	120	+0	No	-$1	06-30 05:35
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 8?	7	$226	141	141	+0	No	$0	07-08 02:38
over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	3	$224	150	112	+38	No	+$0	07-14 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?	5	$208	110	110	+0	No	+$9	06-23 14:39
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	2	$203	110	110	+0	open	—	08-08 04:40
will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	5	$197	120	120	+0	No	+$6	07-03 11:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-21 08:54
will iva jovic advance to the final in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629194614394	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-30 00:17
will elina svitolina advance to the final in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629194614411	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-30 00:19
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	4	$192	130	130	+0	Yes	+$13	07-01 12:33
will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in september	6	$192	136	136	+0	No	+$0	08-28 14:41
will simona waltert advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807014	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-30 03:58
will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	2	$181	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-02 01:27
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	3	$181	200	0	+200	No	+$19	06-23 12:26
will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	44	$177	175	115	+60	Yes	-$56	06-17 16:16
will marco rubio have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	2	$175	100	100	+0	No	-$9	06-17 12:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$174	200	0	+200	No	+$26	06-27 10:44
will polina kudermetova advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807019	2	$174	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-30 04:57
will shea langeliers hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210914320	4	$173	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-03 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 01:57:51	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 22?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xe208dc…
10-04 02:06:47	Will it rain in New York, NY on October 4?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x5bc9c2…
10-04 02:05:52	Will it rain in New York, NY on October 4?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x5533ec…
09-22 14:44:52	which cities face tornado risk on september 22 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x8992b1…
09-22 14:44:43	which cities face tornado risk on september 22 2026 minneapolis mn	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x7947fa…
09-22 14:44:36	which cities face tornado risk on september 22 2026 little rock ar	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x14072c…
09-20 05:08:07	where will it rain on september 20 2026 chicago il	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x1a2c65…
09-20 05:07:33	where will it rain on september 20 2026 los angeles ca	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x13e998…
09-20 05:06:25	where will it rain on september 20 2026 seattle wa	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xdfbf5a…
09-20 05:06:00	where will it rain on september 20 2026 los angeles ca	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x66a86f…
09-20 05:05:54	where will it rain on september 20 2026 phoenix az	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x2e8d13…
09-20 05:05:10	where will it rain on september 20 2026 seattle wa	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x529186…
09-20 05:03:12	where will it rain on september 20 2026 phoenix az	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x9902a2…
09-20 05:02:54	where will it rain on september 20 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x8299c4…
09-06 09:34:10	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $62.5B by September 30?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x96df40…
09-05 10:28:15	Will Trump say "King" this week?	No	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x95d464…
09-05 01:38:31	will trump say monopoly this week 20260913	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xcc41a6…
09-05 01:38:10	will trump say king this week 20260913	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x1da998…
09-01 15:48:33	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x2ab982…
09-01 13:47:42	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x416f50…
09-01 12:34:51	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by September 30?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xa58862…
09-01 11:50:10	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by September 30?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x6e2d25…
09-01 09:56:19	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2e14a0…
09-01 06:34:39	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $62.5B by September 30?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xd13a02…
09-01 06:33:42	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $72.5B by September 30?	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x0fd53a…
08-31 15:55:49	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 nashville tn	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x82b79d…
08-31 15:55:33	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 memphis tn	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xb4cebc…
08-31 15:55:15	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 louisville ky	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xa516bf…
08-31 15:54:57	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xd545a1…
08-31 15:37:51	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 denver co	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x714711…
08-31 15:26:40	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 indianapolis in	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xe31568…
08-31 15:26:40	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 nashville tn	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x1bc869…
08-31 15:26:39	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xb7754e…
08-31 15:26:34	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 memphis tn	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xd17937…
08-31 15:26:34	which cities face tornado risk on august 31 2026 louisville ky	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x04b2e5…
08-28 14:56:13	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 minneapolis mn	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x8a0c3f…
08-28 14:56:10	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 memphis tn	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x9356d2…
08-28 14:55:46	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 charlotte nc	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x68ccc8…
08-28 14:55:40	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 memphis tn	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x54b1d0…
08-28 14:55:18	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 san antonio tx	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x34a30b…
08-28 14:55:07	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 charlotte nc	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd7e8d0…
08-28 14:54:58	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 houston tx	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x77d80f…
08-28 14:54:52	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 san antonio tx	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb052e4…
08-28 14:54:36	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 san antonio tx	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xf89f7c…
08-28 14:54:19	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 charlotte nc	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x41c488…
08-28 14:54:18	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xab0e4f…
08-28 14:53:42	which cities face tornado risk on august 28 2026 charlotte nc	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x955fa6…
08-28 14:45:10	will trump say elon or musk during remarks at nasa	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xef2205…
08-28 14:44:30	will trump meet with elon musk in september 2026 20260826	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xbd800a…
08-28 14:43:52	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in september 2026 20260826	No	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x7a96b3…
08-28 14:43:09	will trump meet with miguel diaz canel in september 2026 20260826	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3315d8…
08-28 14:42:18	will trump speak to friedrich merz in september	Yes	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xb6da5c…
08-28 14:41:36	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in september	No	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x75335c…
08-28 07:36:09	state d4 drought 2026 09 01 sd	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x09d1c3…
08-28 02:00:57	where will it rain on august 28 2026 seattle wa	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x3bdffd…
08-28 00:44:46	will trump say flag during remarks at nasa	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x74fc87…
08-28 00:43:24	will trump say flag during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xad235b…
08-28 00:34:36	where will it rain on august 28 2026 miami fl	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa5f770…
08-28 00:34:06	where will it rain on august 28 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x20cc67…
08-28 00:32:28	where will it rain on august 28 2026 new orleans la	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7495da…
08-28 00:31:01	where will it rain on august 28 2026 boston ma	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2bec2b…
08-28 00:30:58	where will it rain on august 28 2026 seattle wa	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2112e9…
08-28 00:30:55	where will it rain on august 28 2026 miami fl	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9d766c…
08-28 00:30:52	where will it rain on august 28 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7e38ae…
08-27 17:18:52	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in september	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xeff6bb…
08-27 17:18:09	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 birmingham al	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xecbab6…
08-27 17:17:34	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x322cc0…
08-27 17:17:10	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 louisville ky	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x94889e…
08-27 17:16:16	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 birmingham al	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6b2207…
08-27 17:16:12	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 memphis tn	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xc7637b…
08-27 17:15:34	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 memphis tn	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6bb756…
08-27 17:15:19	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 louisville ky	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7605a1…
08-27 17:15:12	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 louisville ky	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb665ee…
08-27 17:15:01	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 atlanta ga	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x9f5918…
08-27 17:14:49	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 fort worth tx	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x333f47…
08-27 17:12:45	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 fort worth tx	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x566591…
08-27 16:56:18	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 san antonio tx	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x81105a…
08-27 16:51:51	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 san antonio tx	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1429d4…
08-27 16:48:09	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 oklahoma city ok	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x084bbd…
08-27 16:47:39	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 oklahoma city ok	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4ae4ea…
08-27 16:47:10	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 des moines ia	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x583212…
08-27 16:44:03	state d4 drought 2026 09 01 nd	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xe8545d…
08-27 16:41:45	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 des moines ia	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf72c36…
08-27 16:40:55	which cities face tornado risk on august 27 2026 st louis mo	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5a4aaf…
08-27 16:31:04	state d4 drought 2026 09 01 sd	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x930894…
08-27 16:28:04	state d4 drought 2026 09 01 nc	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x9e3159…
08-27 16:01:12	will trump speak to vladimir putin in september	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xb16875…
08-27 02:45:48	will trump speak to masoud pezeshkian in september	No	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0x94724f…
08-27 02:34:48	will trump speak to vladimir putin in september	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc0a3b2…
08-27 02:22:46	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in september	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x79742d…
08-27 02:22:06	will trump say elon or musk during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd15359…
08-27 02:05:06	will trump speak to maria corina machado in september	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x8c8631…
08-27 02:04:21	will trump speak to maria corina machado in september	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xa0c2f2…
08-27 01:14:42	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in september	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x9abec5…
08-27 01:14:42	will dell say texas during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x017b74…
08-27 01:13:40	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in september	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x579dd8…
08-27 01:12:27	will dell say fiscal 20 times during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x1ae1fb…
08-27 00:57:52	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x67c963…
08-27 00:57:00	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x764c65…
08-27 00:55:09	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xb71384…