Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-03 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 0% $-36

Other

31% 100% +$0

Tech

19% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	21	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	06-11 17:48
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	13	$1.8K	941	941	+0	open	—	03-14 08:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$1.7K	917	917	+0	open	—	04-27 07:17
will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	6	$642	324	324	+0	open	—	04-01 18:17
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	18	$636	319	319	+0	open	—	03-28 12:19
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	5	$635	319	319	+0	open	—	03-27 09:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$634	329	329	+0	open	—	03-26 06:40
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$633	321	321	+0	open	—	03-23 07:11
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$631	317	317	+0	open	—	03-21 10:01
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	3	$630	318	318	+0	open	—	03-19 06:22
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$614	324	324	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 12:12
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$608	331	331	+0	No	$-36	04-14 00:58
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$606	306	306	+0	open	—	02-27 15:24
will bitcoin dip to 52k february 23 march 1	2	$605	307	307	+0	open	—	02-28 12:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$584	309	309	+0	open	—	05-12 12:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$581	293	293	+0	open	—	05-06 11:05
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	1	$311	314	0	+314	open	—	07-03 19:20
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	1	$308	310	0	+310	open	—	06-28 15:45
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 4	1	$303	303	0	+303	open	—	03-04 14:09
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$302	303	0	+303	open	—	02-28 12:43
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	03-22 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 19:20:53	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	314	99¢	$311	0x4d4347…
06-28 15:45:19	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	310	100¢	$308	0x88a7d9…
06-11 17:48:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	311	98¢	$306	0xfa58f9…
06-10 21:32:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	311	98¢	$304	0xc25d1c…
06-08 11:26:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	224	98¢	$219	0x070cee…
06-07 19:46:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	224	98¢	$219	0xeb7125…
06-06 14:50:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0x92fe9f…
06-06 10:31:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	224	98¢	$220	0x1ff2e5…
06-06 01:59:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x9b1765…
06-06 01:33:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	216	98¢	$211	0xa86eeb…
06-06 01:31:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6c5c9f…
06-06 01:26:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4da515…
06-05 06:43:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	310	98¢	$303	0x9caa89…
06-04 15:25:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	168	97¢	$164	0x051e5f…
06-04 15:24:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x41b218…
06-04 15:24:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x6c0061…
06-04 15:24:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x948c5d…
06-04 15:21:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6534f7…
06-04 15:21:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x962ff3…
06-04 15:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xd13094…
06-04 15:18:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0x2ec684…
06-04 15:17:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xefe9f6…
06-04 15:15:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0a7fc4…
05-12 12:01:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	309	95¢	$294	0x7ebf9c…
05-12 05:50:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	309	94¢	$290	0x04acd3…
05-06 11:05:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	293	99¢	$291	0xe51fef…
05-02 21:22:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	293	99¢	$290	0x1ea7ec…
04-27 07:17:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	95¢	$198	0x50b248…
04-27 07:13:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9293cc…
04-27 07:12:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x89139b…
04-27 07:12:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x55d2e8…
04-27 07:11:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x2ea27f…
04-18 14:03:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$98	0xa96467…
04-18 14:03:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x68657b…
04-18 14:03:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x30404f…
04-18 14:03:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x0c6c7c…
04-18 13:58:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x8ccd23…
04-18 13:57:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x5d7d15…
04-18 10:22:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	96¢	$292	0x5d0044…
04-18 07:52:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	95¢	$217	0x8722b9…
04-18 07:52:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x2f012d…
04-17 19:49:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	95¢	$289	0x0de644…
04-17 10:56:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	93¢	$283	0x344312…
04-14 00:58:37	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	331	86¢	$286	0x932f02…
04-10 13:37:01	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	331	97¢	$322	0x947c07…
04-01 18:17:39	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	51	100¢	$50	0x69882b…
04-01 17:33:47	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	120	99¢	$120	0xea7e9d…
04-01 16:04:51	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x81e011…
04-01 14:38:07	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	113	100¢	$112	0xa17e0d…
04-01 06:51:49	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	320	99¢	$316	0xb23cfa…
04-01 06:51:47	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc2c20b…
03-28 12:19:05	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x42c0e1…
03-28 12:04:13	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f5993…
03-28 12:03:51	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcd3f13…
03-28 12:03:05	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x42275c…
03-28 11:57:59	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0a9756…
03-28 11:57:37	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6f7b30…
03-28 11:57:23	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8db095…
03-28 11:57:01	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe2529a…
03-28 11:56:37	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1b963c…
03-28 11:56:19	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x64f7a9…
03-28 11:56:01	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1c59ae…
03-28 11:55:33	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6e674a…
03-28 11:54:57	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc6c9b0…
03-28 11:54:37	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbeb094…
03-28 11:54:13	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc5c7e3…
03-28 09:15:33	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xda8eee…
03-28 09:15:07	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x917110…
03-28 09:13:37	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x75b20a…
03-27 09:49:07	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0xdb0246…
03-27 08:33:51	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4598d…
03-27 07:12:25	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x463e5e…
03-27 06:55:17	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x87143e…
03-27 06:29:23	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x50289f…
03-26 06:40:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	329	96¢	$317	0x168338…
03-25 18:22:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	329	96¢	$317	0xc2b0c4…
03-23 07:11:51	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	321	99¢	$317	0xd426c8…
03-23 05:34:53	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	321	98¢	$316	0x15dd27…
03-22 11:11:07	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xfb9ac8…
03-22 11:06:47	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc730cf…
03-22 11:02:57	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa5223…
03-22 10:58:39	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xceb9de…
03-22 10:33:07	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x50d1d2…
03-21 10:01:35	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	317	100¢	$316	0x65ba09…
03-20 12:02:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	317	100¢	$316	0x997053…
03-19 06:22:25	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	SELL	318	99¢	$316	0xf43738…
03-18 21:32:53	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	317	99¢	$314	0x723ff9…
03-18 16:58:49	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe055f0…
03-15 12:12:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0xa0faea…
03-15 12:09:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	178	95¢	$169	0x671917…
03-15 12:05:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0xfde1be…
03-15 11:23:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0xe20503…
03-15 11:23:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x1fd130…
03-15 11:21:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x252161…
03-15 11:20:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	112	95¢	$107	0xcda610…
03-14 08:57:11	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xaffb74…
03-14 08:57:01	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0xef68f0…
03-14 08:56:33	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x934f14…
03-13 19:47:59	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	309	99¢	$306	0xcee950…
03-10 13:02:11	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	317	97¢	$306	0x75129a…