Grandiose-Bail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

4,186

Trades

16,374

lifetime

Volume

$88.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-29 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% -$8

Other

0% 33% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 1214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:10 UTC	3	$361	444	121	+323	Up	-$28	02-13 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 15:50 UTC	179	$345	786	0	+786	Down	-$7	02-24 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:40 UTC	4	$289	216	110	+106	Up	+$35	02-13 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:15 UTC	1	$283	349	0	+349	Down	+$66	02-13 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:00 UTC	1	$279	283	0	+283	Up	+$3	02-13 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:25 UTC	1	$269	274	0	+274	Up	+$5	02-13 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	138	$244	623	0	+623	Up	-$134	02-24 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 19:40 UTC	122	$229	598	0	+598	Up	-$103	02-24 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:25 UTC	96	$196	419	0	+419	Up	-$41	02-24 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 15:25 UTC	82	$166	358	0	+358	Up	+$46	02-24 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:25 UTC	4	$165	174	0	+174	Down	+$9	02-13 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:15 UTC	1	$164	166	0	+166	Up	+$2	02-13 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	13	$157	174	0	+174	Up	+$17	10-06 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	10	$153	169	0	+169	Down	+$16	10-10 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	51	$144	85	82	+3	Up	+$17	10-23 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	1	$142	222	0	+222	Up	-$142	02-12 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:55 UTC	1	$140	142	0	+142	Up	+$3	02-12 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:50 UTC	1	$138	140	0	+140	Down	+$1	02-12 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$125	128	0	+128	Up	+$3	10-10 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:10 UTC	1	$125	139	0	+139	Up	+$14	02-12 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:05 UTC	1	$124	125	0	+125	Down	+$1	02-12 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:00 UTC	5	$120	186	0	+186	Down	+$66	02-13 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:25 UTC	1	$118	119	0	+119	Up	+$1	02-12 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:40 UTC	1	$118	123	0	+123	Up	+$5	02-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	8	$116	124	0	+124	Down	+$8	10-19 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	8	$116	125	0	+125	Down	-$116	10-19 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	8	$116	128	0	+128	Down	+$12	10-19 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	8	$116	128	0	+128	Down	+$12	10-19 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	8	$116	129	0	+129	Up	-$116	10-19 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	8	$116	137	0	+137	Down	+$21	10-10 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x149b7a…
10-29 20:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x57fd73…
10-29 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xc621a2…
10-29 20:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xac26eb…
10-29 20:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x60a41f…
10-29 20:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x49db87…
10-29 19:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8bf90a…
10-29 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcd7b88…
10-29 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x60adb8…
10-29 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x103442…
10-29 19:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd06c48…
10-29 19:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xad85ff…
10-29 19:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x4ba0bd…
10-29 19:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xd4a1ea…
10-29 19:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0xb0ddee…
10-29 19:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x90a126…
10-29 19:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0ac2f9…
10-29 19:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0xb7c178…
10-29 19:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4e046e…
10-29 19:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xdfb212…
10-29 19:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3dfe8d…
10-29 19:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xdfbf8c…
10-29 19:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcbd096…
10-29 19:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x37eb06…
10-29 19:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5a1ac5…
10-29 17:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x21e9f4…
10-29 16:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8ac246…
10-29 16:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb92620…
10-29 16:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe7aae3…
10-29 16:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5eaed5…
10-29 16:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x2ed3ad…
10-29 16:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xca70ab…
10-29 16:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xee69c4…
10-29 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb83736…
10-29 15:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x985e1e…
10-29 15:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf7d8a0…
10-29 15:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x05f1f3…
10-29 14:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x85d30f…
10-29 14:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x64bf83…
10-29 14:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x636cf3…
10-29 14:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd7abe5…
10-29 14:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf92610…
10-29 14:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x90c6d8…
10-29 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe28235…
10-29 14:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x80a1c8…
10-29 14:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x002c11…
10-29 14:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb42ae7…
10-29 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$4	0x281898…
10-29 14:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8658d3…
10-29 14:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x0a82eb…
10-29 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xd19287…
10-29 13:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0xaeab52…
10-29 13:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x317743…
10-29 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x861250…
10-29 13:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe553fa…
10-29 13:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x0a1391…
10-29 13:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9145cc…
10-29 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x408e96…
10-29 13:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf37366…
10-29 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x41f219…
10-29 13:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x8f80a7…
10-29 13:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc9da7b…
10-29 13:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x15e030…
10-29 13:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xbf0ee8…
10-29 13:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdd9202…
10-29 13:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x31cc45…
10-29 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2f6d3d…
10-29 13:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x963245…
10-29 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeb355e…
10-29 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x452032…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x821aa1…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x298f1c…
10-29 13:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xec1563…
10-29 13:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x714c76…
10-29 13:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x87d10b…
10-29 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xb1e78e…
10-29 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcc7477…
10-29 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x022fc8…
10-29 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xdba587…
10-29 13:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf6e0a2…
10-29 13:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x57cd90…
10-29 13:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6bf3b3…
10-29 12:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x808a84…
10-29 12:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x45eaf0…
10-29 12:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6ebe4d…
10-29 12:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x644f43…
10-29 12:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xf324fb…
10-29 12:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x391dc6…
10-29 12:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa7c2a2…
10-29 12:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xc88c4d…
10-29 12:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x471853…
10-29 12:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xd96a6d…
10-29 12:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x73e9e6…
10-29 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x2fe675…
10-29 10:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6a5589…
10-29 10:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xdb52fb…
10-29 10:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa6c132…
10-29 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8bbe58…
10-29 10:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xbee87a…
10-29 10:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xfc7c3a…