Neighboring-Thunderstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

288

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-02 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$4

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:46
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-29 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 10:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 64 65f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:55
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 06:43
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 43c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:41
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:04
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:16
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 04:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:53
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9230d0…
10-31 17:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7137ef…
10-31 09:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x51f002…
10-30 09:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x7d8b7c…
10-29 07:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x94fd7a…
10-28 05:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc04539…
10-27 08:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a6d35…
10-26 05:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa604e…
10-24 06:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4666b1…
10-22 09:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bb792…
10-20 04:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8368d7…
10-19 07:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9c1f1…
10-18 07:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93c11…
10-17 07:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1a3bf…
10-16 08:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330205…
10-15 08:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x993646…
10-14 07:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce4831…
10-13 05:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60c60e…
10-12 04:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9cf9c…
10-11 03:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x363acb…
10-08 07:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb76a53…
10-07 08:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0b0d2…
10-06 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc74fd5…
10-04 08:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe64798…
10-03 04:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27977d…
10-02 07:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f5f55…
10-02 03:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x583bd1…
10-01 07:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bbddc…
09-30 09:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0ad99…
09-29 08:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a4c1d…
09-28 08:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc6d20…
09-27 08:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe243af…
09-25 07:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23efcf…
09-24 06:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4411c…
09-23 05:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2919c…
09-22 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7e958…
09-21 08:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d753…
09-20 03:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf89c0d…
09-19 07:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14186c…
09-18 01:13:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaadc1d…
09-17 03:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x216273…
09-16 08:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6445d…
09-15 23:37:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5915d4…
09-15 02:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a10b6…
09-14 02:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81f2b5…
09-12 08:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc5616…
09-11 06:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1676a1…
09-10 01:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa15729…
09-09 01:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e89c9…
09-08 01:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e870…
09-07 01:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0ed5b…
09-06 01:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a12bb…
09-05 09:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcff5b…
09-04 08:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd29b8…
09-03 07:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2df7fc…
09-01 01:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb15ab…
08-30 01:02:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41b902…
08-29 05:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b0611…
08-28 02:02:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc27904…
08-27 01:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x037d14…
08-26 02:05:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf372a…
08-25 08:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c9a63…
08-24 07:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc8095…
08-23 07:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d5723…
08-22 06:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9ef26…
08-21 01:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a153…
08-20 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03ffcc…
08-19 07:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94ca38…
08-18 01:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0df3fe…
08-17 06:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32120e…
08-16 10:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6638c6…
08-15 05:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x839ace…
08-14 06:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee0a7f…
08-13 01:00:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x247f8a…
08-12 06:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe41efb…
08-11 00:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7138e…
08-10 00:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2afed0…
08-09 01:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ea3c0…
08-08 07:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc1a91…
08-07 00:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x247ef5…
08-06 00:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa05b54…
08-05 00:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25d64a…
08-04 03:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x671e9d…
08-03 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x596f10…
08-02 00:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c9dc3…
08-01 00:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc92ab2…
07-31 07:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64a6be…
07-30 00:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e40b9…
07-29 01:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf83578…
07-28 00:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbda8e…
07-27 07:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36a415…
07-26 01:13:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x889a4c…
07-25 00:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd79e15…
07-24 06:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x651807…
07-23 01:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd052a0…
07-22 01:35:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bdc19…
07-20 23:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a895…
07-19 22:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e1a10…
07-18 22:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa987fd…
07-17 23:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2ca8…