Glaring-Branch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

138

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-17 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 23% -$808

Politics

7% 0% -$416

Sports

3% 0% -$205

Other

2% 0% -$100

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$370	425	397	+28	Up	+$338	04-26 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$201	195	183	+13	Up	+$173	04-27 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$184	194	182	+13	Up	+$157	04-26 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$151	153	143	+10	Down	+$120	04-26 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$150	119	113	+6	Down	+$75	04-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	15	$138	1,979	68	+1,912	Down	-$22	04-27 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$125	209	118	+91	Up	+$45	04-29 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$123	99	94	+5	Down	+$68	04-28 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$120	1,645	0	+1,645	Down	-$120	04-26 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$117	112	107	+6	Up	+$63	04-28 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	9	$109	148	142	+6	Down	+$27	04-28 01:59
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	1	$103	568	0	+568	Yes	-$103	07-17 18:39
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$103	489	0	+489	No	-$103	06-14 18:52
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$102	1,362	0	+1,362	No	-$102	05-27 12:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$102	102,000	0	+102,000	Yes	-$102	04-19 21:49
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$101	365	0	+365	No	-$101	06-08 21:36
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$100	1,113	0	+1,113	Yes	-$100	04-26 18:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$100	1,546	0	+1,546	No	-$100	04-22 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$91	127	119	+8	Up	+$51	04-26 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$88	73	69	+4	Up	+$52	04-27 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$85	133	61	+72	Down	+$8	04-28 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$84	69	66	+4	Up	+$47	04-26 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	8	$80	3,124	0	+3,124	Down	-$80	04-28 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$78	1,180	36	+1,144	Up	-$20	04-28 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$76	71	67	+4	Down	+$61	04-26 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$71	757	0	+757	Down	-$71	04-28 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$68	225	45	+180	Up	+$10	04-26 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$67	366	31	+335	Up	-$11	04-26 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$64	245	47	+198	Down	+$17	04-26 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$62	56	52	+3	Up	+$45	04-26 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 18:39:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	568	18¢	$103	0xa76331…
06-14 18:52:46	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	489	21¢	$103	0x6d935b…
06-08 21:36:37	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	27¢	$72	0x114961…
06-08 21:33:13	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x7c5d86…
05-27 12:30:21	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,362	8¢	$102	0xd58ced…
04-29 03:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	468	6¢	$30	0x382693…
04-29 03:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x1abbed…
04-29 03:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x2c7395…
04-29 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x907c34…
04-29 01:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x01d90b…
04-29 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0xa465a6…
04-29 01:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc81aa5…
04-29 01:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd9d7ce…
04-29 01:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x03f854…
04-29 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x28302c…
04-29 01:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x45b466…
04-29 01:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0xcb9226…
04-29 01:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xfca1e4…
04-29 01:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xd0d3a6…
04-29 01:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xeb2ce9…
04-29 01:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xf71b6a…
04-29 01:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	118	73¢	$85	0x6b0811…
04-29 01:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xafd5ee…
04-28 20:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x93d3e5…
04-28 20:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x071a74…
04-28 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x9b996d…
04-28 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc7b08f…
04-28 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0xadddd6…
04-28 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x78cf98…
04-28 19:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0xcc59c0…
04-28 19:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x37c3cf…
04-28 19:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x48c8ed…
04-28 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x78f258…
04-28 19:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0x50e84d…
04-28 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x5caa57…
04-28 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	507	2¢	$10	0x94e247…
04-28 19:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	131	15¢	$20	0x87da2f…
04-28 13:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xd60bec…
04-28 12:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	218	9¢	$20	0x143357…
04-28 12:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xeab9b9…
04-28 12:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x52a17e…
04-28 02:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x7c0dda…
04-28 02:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4f26df…
04-28 02:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x442466…
04-28 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa916d9…
04-28 02:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xb36883…
04-28 02:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xafa0b1…
04-28 02:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0x2c1913…
04-28 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	113	97¢	$110	0x814c65…
04-28 02:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xa3c87e…
04-28 02:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x6af418…
04-28 02:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4fdc09…
04-28 02:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8795a7…
04-28 02:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x7c694a…
04-28 02:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x7cdbd1…
04-28 02:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x366032…
04-28 02:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x6110c9…
04-28 02:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x73e2d0…
04-28 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xdccb58…
04-28 02:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x8378b0…
04-28 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xc42f56…
04-28 02:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0xe2fef5…
04-28 02:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7a282d…
04-28 02:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x0f49b4…
04-28 02:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	320	3¢	$10	0xb87751…
04-28 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x215dd4…
04-28 02:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6050e8…
04-28 02:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	17¢	$11	0x088d0f…
04-28 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xffc0d7…
04-28 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x07a254…
04-28 02:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x68f34b…
04-28 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x71b2b4…
04-28 02:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	79¢	$28	0x307743…
04-28 02:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb0cc18…
04-28 01:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	142	48¢	$68	0x54a31b…
04-28 01:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf27a19…
04-28 01:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x627e2d…
04-28 01:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x473f83…
04-28 01:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x0a9876…
04-28 01:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xe4be33…
04-28 01:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x8d05cd…
04-28 01:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6bd167…
04-28 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x883a22…
04-28 01:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x796d6c…
04-28 01:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	107	82¢	$87	0x782175…
04-28 01:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x97c832…
04-28 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xbca516…
04-28 01:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	215	5¢	$10	0x5da706…
04-28 01:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	148	7¢	$10	0x6ecca2…
04-28 01:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x7a6615…
04-28 01:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x81e662…
04-28 01:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x1fe0aa…
04-28 01:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xb14bea…
04-28 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7ccb95…
04-28 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9661fc…
04-28 01:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc2feb2…
04-28 01:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x1f19c5…
04-28 01:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	61	74¢	$45	0xc13c04…
04-28 01:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd269fd…
04-28 01:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xd8f6a5…