Bowed-Warlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

722

Trades

8,300

lifetime

Volume

$50.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-18 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Other

56% 46% -$1,313

Crypto

44% 77% -$235

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	57	$830	439	439	+0	No	+$47	07-24 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	69	$767	423	423	+0	No	+$2	07-27 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 16?	68	$687	376	376	+0	No	+$54	07-16 06:39
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?	101	$676	879	475	+404	No	-$606	05-31 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 7?	83	$672	957	411	+545	No	-$182	07-07 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 21?	29	$572	315	315	+0	No	+$55	08-21 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?	41	$542	293	293	+0	No	+$44	07-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on August 12?	14	$520	264	264	+0	No	+$5	08-12 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 23?	52	$519	274	274	+0	No	+$27	07-23 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	12	$509	260	260	+0	No	+$9	08-24 05:30
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	49	$491	263	263	+0	Yes	+$30	05-30 06:25
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 10am et	40	$476	315	313	+2	Down	-$40	03-20 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	70	$458	303	303	+0	Yes	+$64	07-05 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 6?	78	$443	307	307	+0	Yes	+$148	07-06 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 17?	18	$440	228	228	+0	No	+$15	08-17 04:44
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9pm et	22	$432	309	227	+81	Up	-$34	03-22 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 25?	36	$424	249	249	+0	Yes	+$22	07-25 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?	51	$375	228	228	+0	No	+$81	07-13 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 22?	20	$365	190	190	-0	No	+$13	07-22 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	33	$347	200	200	+0	No	-$18	08-20 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 27?	32	$337	177	177	+0	No	+$16	07-27 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 15?	28	$333	171	171	+0	No	+$8	07-15 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 25?	10	$317	160	160	+0	No	+$2	07-25 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 10?	31	$317	166	166	+0	No	+$14	07-10 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 18?	29	$313	344	0	+344	Yes	-$313	07-18 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 18?	49	$313	196	196	+0	No	-$26	07-18 03:25
bitcoin up or down march 10 7am et	15	$312	152	172	-20	Down	-$2	03-10 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?	35	$304	170	170	+0	No	+$36	07-10 10:34
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10am et	30	$304	170	170	+0	Up	-$2	03-30 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 17?	13	$283	146	146	+0	No	+$8	08-17 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 04:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x23a2f8…
10-18 04:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x2d67ae…
10-17 07:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc197e0…
10-17 07:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xa4ef84…
10-17 07:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x488c4e…
10-17 07:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6652a9…
10-17 06:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x1607f4…
10-17 06:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x01a20e…
10-17 06:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf6f894…
10-17 06:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xed992b…
10-17 06:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x16d112…
10-17 03:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x77f88c…
10-17 03:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9dc85b…
10-16 07:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6cf7d1…
10-16 06:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x87a655…
10-16 06:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xcde836…
10-16 06:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xe09d4a…
10-16 06:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x197c21…
10-16 06:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xeae660…
10-16 06:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe1f4c8…
10-16 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xdc8e6b…
10-16 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x556146…
10-16 06:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xea13a2…
10-16 05:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x634f5f…
10-16 05:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa3cf3b…
10-16 05:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x02134f…
10-16 05:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x39c009…
10-16 04:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4f0fb1…
10-15 07:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xffd1ad…
10-15 07:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x614342…
10-15 07:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x668426…
10-15 07:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x691da6…
10-15 07:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1aa1e8…
10-15 07:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x9a89dd…
10-15 07:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x505127…
10-15 07:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x472aaf…
10-15 07:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf487ea…
10-15 07:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x178a1c…
10-15 07:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x743147…
10-15 07:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x19a1a5…
10-15 07:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbea9a4…
10-15 07:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x8fc01b…
10-15 07:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7da510…
10-15 07:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0f5cab…
10-15 07:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x734796…
10-15 07:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xa9cb79…
10-15 07:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb7937…
10-15 07:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x8f75a4…
10-15 07:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x19aaf5…
10-15 07:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3f2b54…
10-15 06:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6b5f40…
10-15 06:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x074b3e…
10-15 06:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x655d1e…
10-15 06:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6cf9b5…
10-15 06:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1999b7…
10-15 06:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x61ceb9…
10-15 06:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6290b3…
10-15 06:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x207a4e…
10-15 06:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x07d1b8…
10-15 06:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf44f93…
10-15 06:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xff3090…
10-15 06:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x72e1fc…
10-15 06:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf2db33…
10-15 06:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5cd424…
10-15 06:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa42f4e…
10-15 06:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa00d64…
10-15 06:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9955ae…
10-15 06:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x90eaf9…
10-15 06:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x75cca3…
10-15 06:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x97f7b5…
10-15 06:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x30539c…
10-15 06:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x705ca1…
10-15 06:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbf4f7c…
10-15 06:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe587d3…
10-15 06:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5c151f…
10-15 06:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xac7c3e…
10-15 06:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1a99db…
10-15 06:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x83ee2e…
10-15 06:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x73154f…
10-15 06:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0407c6…
10-15 06:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x13e009…
10-15 06:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x121f8e…
10-15 06:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8d288b…
10-15 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x13d975…
10-15 06:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8d61b9…
10-15 06:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x781dcd…
10-15 06:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x235c04…
10-15 06:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5908bf…
10-15 06:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x632cc0…
10-15 06:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0xab8635…
10-15 06:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d4902…
10-15 06:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9386c5…
10-15 06:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x4b57d3…
10-15 05:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcfad7c…
10-15 05:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xadc5ec…
10-15 05:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf5551f…
10-15 05:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbfef07…
10-15 05:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7f93d6…
10-15 05:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x855fdc…
10-15 05:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf571e…