Hairy-Belief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

1,211

Trades

2,866

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 09-09 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

100% 89% -$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 3?	3	$55	35	35	+0	No	+$15	09-03 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	7	$45	25	20	+5	Yes	+$0	06-06 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?	3	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-11 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5?	3	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-05 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?	3	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-06 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?	3	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	06-11 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12?	5	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?	3	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10?	4	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?	3	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$1	06-05 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9?	4	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 22:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?	3	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	06-09 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10?	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	06-10 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-11 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	3	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?	3	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12?	6	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-09 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 14?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-14 20:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 5?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-05 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	3	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 16:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on August 6?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-07 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-04 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12?	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-10 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-10 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on June 14?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-14 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?	3	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-09 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 23:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd48bce…
09-09 22:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xed78d7…
09-09 22:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdd0640…
09-06 08:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x411fe6…
09-06 08:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0f001a…
09-06 04:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc6d1a1…
09-06 03:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x70e2d9…
09-06 03:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2378ae…
09-05 21:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8a0683…
09-05 21:02:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb624b6…
09-05 21:02:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 5?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe3a71f…
09-05 21:02:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 5?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8374f0…
09-05 21:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe290a7…
09-05 20:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc2c534…
09-05 19:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb9bf4e…
09-05 19:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeae19d…
09-05 19:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0b7cde…
09-05 19:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x563f26…
09-05 19:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21a095…
09-05 19:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0f434…
09-05 19:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa7a69…
09-05 19:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9d85f0…
09-05 19:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9228a5…
09-05 19:05:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56d30a…
09-05 19:05:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc16185…
09-05 19:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe79398…
09-05 19:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa21e41…
09-05 19:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2359c…
09-05 19:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeb5791…
09-05 18:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbacb8b…
09-05 18:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d4d7e…
09-04 23:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0b4772…
09-04 23:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeca424…
09-04 23:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x384d10…
09-03 19:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x85cfab…
09-03 19:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 3?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x99b93e…
09-03 19:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc01cb0…
09-03 19:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x15098a…
09-03 19:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 3?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7217a9…
09-03 19:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 3?	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x6e3e0f…
09-03 16:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7874a5…
09-03 15:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x547440…
09-03 15:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3f8f3e…
09-03 14:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x644863…
09-03 14:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa723a9…
09-03 14:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eac94…
09-02 16:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2332c0…
09-02 16:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9889da…
09-02 16:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd71da1…
09-02 08:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x134731…
09-02 07:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd97d5…
09-02 07:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2ac417…
09-01 17:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc16461…
09-01 17:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xacb2a3…
09-01 17:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a3368…
09-01 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcc50d7…
09-01 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e9675…
09-01 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2838a2…
08-10 14:39:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcd295e…
08-10 14:24:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa2286…
08-10 14:24:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7140d3…
08-10 05:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x06605b…
08-10 05:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b882c…
08-10 05:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xec061c…
08-09 17:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcb35d6…
08-09 17:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c7260…
08-09 17:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x782b79…
08-09 09:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf2516b…
08-09 09:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcddf58…
08-09 09:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa94323…
08-09 07:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd420c0…
08-09 07:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf9ec72…
08-09 07:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55ffb4…
08-09 02:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9c8e86…
08-09 01:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c4238…
08-09 01:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6e0a2e…
08-08 23:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x291562…
08-08 22:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedf040…
08-08 22:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4d1a65…
08-08 16:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe56d83…
08-08 16:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04e9e1…
08-07 04:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 7?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe536f5…
08-07 03:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x602c14…
08-07 03:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6e877…
08-07 02:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 7?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2da4c1…
08-07 01:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x27b393…
08-07 01:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xac1923…
08-07 01:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ec184…
08-07 01:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1f320…
08-07 01:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xca3f0f…
08-07 01:25:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on August 6?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3b16fb…
08-07 01:10:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xacab8e…
08-07 01:10:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xedb6bf…
08-05 23:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x37b361…
08-05 23:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9beecd…
08-05 23:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16f450…
08-05 22:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc6f65e…
08-05 22:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x07e797…
08-05 22:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa6e1b…
08-05 22:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0a350…