Instructive-Pick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,391

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-03 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 2am et	2	$276	182	176	+6	open	—	04-01 07:03
btc updown 5m 1774860300	1	$200	417	0	+417	open	—	03-30 08:45
btc updown 5m 1774862100	1	$200	402	0	+402	open	—	03-30 09:17
btc updown 5m 1776832800	4	$182	128	128	+0	open	—	04-22 04:44
btc updown 5m 1775702400	2	$181	256	241	+15	open	—	04-09 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$149	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 20:59
btc updown 5m 1776833400	2	$148	102	98	+4	open	—	04-22 04:55
btc updown 5m 1776831300	2	$139	93	90	+3	open	—	04-22 04:21
btc updown 5m 1775705100	2	$139	93	90	+3	open	—	04-09 03:29
btc updown 5m 1775703600	3	$131	150	123	+27	open	—	04-09 03:04
btc updown 5m 1776832200	2	$130	83	81	+2	open	—	04-22 04:35
btc updown 5m 1775703000	2	$130	119	114	+5	open	—	04-09 02:54
btc updown 5m 1776232200	2	$127	96	93	+3	open	—	04-15 05:52
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10pm et	3	$121	223	0	+223	open	—	03-31 02:49
btc updown 5m 1775022000	2	$110	272	0	+272	open	—	04-01 05:41
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8am et	6	$109	130	40	+90	open	—	03-31 13:04
btc updown 5m 1774861500	2	$106	286	0	+286	open	—	03-30 09:08
btc updown 5m 1774860900	2	$100	1,446	0	+1,446	open	—	03-30 08:57
btc updown 5m 1774861200	1	$100	341	0	+341	open	—	03-30 09:01
btc updown 5m 1774869600	1	$100	248	0	+248	open	—	03-30 11:21
btc updown 5m 1774861800	1	$100	274	0	+274	open	—	03-30 09:14
btc updown 5m 1774868700	1	$100	177	0	+177	open	—	03-30 11:06
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 3am et	1	$100	173	0	+173	open	—	04-01 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	215	0	+215	open	—	04-30 20:47
btc updown 15m 1774865700	2	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	03-30 10:26
btc updown 15m 1774922400	3	$93	90	51	+38	open	—	03-31 02:11
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 1am et	3	$86	59	57	+2	open	—	04-01 07:04
btc updown 5m 1776219600	2	$84	77	74	+3	open	—	04-15 02:24
btc updown 5m 1775704200	2	$83	100	50	+50	open	—	04-09 03:12
btc updown 5m 1774859400	2	$80	153	0	+153	open	—	03-30 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 20:17:00	btc updown 5m 1780517700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x68fbc3…
06-03 15:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3320bd…
06-03 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbe725e…
06-03 02:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3738c0…
06-03 01:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x998759…
06-03 01:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2f75cb…
06-03 01:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf60b09…
06-02 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdf5bad…
06-02 22:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xfbbef1…
06-02 22:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xcd6807…
06-02 22:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x279f4a…
06-02 22:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x74896c…
06-02 22:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x91ea6a…
06-02 21:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7e1013…
06-02 21:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	32	86¢	$28	0xf18c77…
06-02 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd8704b…
06-02 21:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa742ec…
06-02 21:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0xbd00a9…
06-02 21:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x04ec28…
06-02 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x6c1bef…
06-02 20:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6e2dd5…
06-02 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5227af…
06-02 13:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xedf7f2…
06-02 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	35¢	$6	0xa0230c…
06-02 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcaf7f8…
05-29 14:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9a21f4…
05-27 20:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x95d958…
05-27 17:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x9dd03e…
05-27 15:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x39e33e…
05-27 01:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xf2c03d…
05-27 01:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x11708e…
05-27 00:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfe1601…
05-27 00:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x826556…
05-26 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6dc39a…
05-26 21:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc49b32…
05-26 21:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6e3eb2…
05-26 21:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	53¢	$18	0x23c338…
05-26 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc3210f…
05-26 17:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x056ac6…
05-26 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xfddb04…
05-26 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8f94b3…
05-26 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x340169…
05-26 14:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3e1ec9…
05-26 14:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb70ec4…
05-26 14:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x71ba28…
05-26 14:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x170bef…
05-26 14:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x57a439…
05-26 13:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xea5ee8…
05-26 13:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1f2514…
05-26 13:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xff9778…
05-26 13:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb5097f…
05-26 12:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd5b228…
05-22 20:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x80f70e…
05-22 20:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x599036…
05-22 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3b32c1…
05-22 20:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	59¢	$16	0x621687…
05-22 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4d2e80…
05-22 20:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9b8cdb…
05-22 19:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x071891…
05-22 19:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x880560…
05-22 19:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x20dd6e…
05-22 19:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb3e4ac…
05-22 18:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd63aaa…
05-22 15:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4d2b92…
05-22 15:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf6a69b…
05-22 15:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa69d18…
05-22 15:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6ad3f0…
05-22 15:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7fa799…
05-22 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf3a1d3…
05-22 15:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd5aa3f…
05-22 15:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x537b2a…
05-22 15:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd876bb…
05-22 15:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe47a25…
05-22 14:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x97076f…
05-22 14:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x436192…
05-22 14:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3689ee…
05-22 14:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5b0341…
05-22 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd83532…
05-22 14:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0b5000…
05-22 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x862379…
05-22 01:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xa06fbc…
05-22 01:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5505cd…
05-21 22:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x84a9d8…
05-21 18:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3cffd3…
05-21 16:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7c319c…
05-21 15:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x791223…
05-21 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd78d30…
05-21 15:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73d7c6…
05-21 15:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x76c5ff…
05-19 22:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b84d2…
05-19 22:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdbc29f…
05-19 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x25f656…
05-19 20:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x13460e…
05-19 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x559111…
05-18 15:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x707313…
05-18 15:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8261a7…
05-18 15:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x67582c…
05-18 15:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe89d0d…
05-18 14:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xde41e2…
05-18 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfbe8f4…