Carefree-Quarter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

487

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$214.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 11-05 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Sports

68% 60% +$6,298

Other

32% 55% -$2,917

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	19	$6.3K	3,727	3,727	+0	Yes	-$20	07-09 06:55
ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	12	$5.5K	6,079	0	+6,079	Gable Steveson	+$561	07-11 23:54
ufc eri16 fhasan 2026 06 27	6	$3.9K	2,266	2,266	+0	Farman Hasanov	+$597	06-27 16:11
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	4	$3.5K	2,763	1,099	+1,664	Yes	+$139	06-21 01:43
ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20	4	$3.4K	1,852	1,852	+0	Bia Mesquita	+$258	06-20 23:41
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	7	$3.4K	2,584	1,421	+1,163	Yes	+$218	07-06 18:01
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$3.3K	2,731	2,731	+0	Yes	+$1,983	07-07 20:35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$3.1K	1,736	1,736	+0	No	+$76	07-02 16:19
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	1	$3.0K	3,484	0	+3,484	Yes	+$488	06-27 20:35
ufc kev15 and26 2026 06 20	6	$2.6K	2,163	2,163	+0	Kevin Borjas	-$965	06-20 23:56
Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)	6	$2.1K	2,939	2,939	+0	Piero Guaylupo	-$1,073	09-23 00:03
ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	5	$2.1K	3,007	0	+3,007	Dricus Du Plessis	+$931	07-18 22:42
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	3	$2.1K	1,083	1,083	+0	Yes	+$53	10-03 20:34
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	14	$2.0K	1,882	1,346	+536	Max Holloway	-$115	07-11 22:26
ufc ota scolli 2026 06 20	4	$2.0K	1,181	1,181	+0	Shane Collins	+$392	06-20 21:43
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$2.0K	3,736	0	+3,736	England	+$1,771	07-05 23:37
UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero (Featherweight, Prelims)	2	$1.8K	999	999	+0	Marcus McGhee	+$169	10-03 22:47
ufc mag11 drzepe 2026 07 25	4	$1.8K	2,457	0	+2,457	Magomed Zaynukov	+$657	07-25 15:43
Dana White's Contender Series: Antonio Monteiro vs. Tyshawn Williams (Featherweight, Main Card)	6	$1.7K	2,387	0	+2,387	Tyshawn Williams	+$693	09-15 23:00
ufc mar12 ale15 2026 08 01	4	$1.7K	936	936	+0	Aleksandar Rakic	+$215	08-01 19:05
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	8	$1.6K	1,789	0	+1,789	Yes	-$1,597	06-28 10:19
ufc kai4 nfazil 2026 08 18	2	$1.5K	2,450	0	+2,450	Kaik Brito	-$1,543	08-18 23:21
UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	2	$1.5K	837	837	+0	Anthony Wint	+$158	10-03 22:23
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.5K	904	904	+0	Yes	+$3	07-11 22:27
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	8	$1.5K	1,322	1,322	+0	Alexander Hernandez	-$430	10-03 21:16
ufc mel2 mur2 2026 06 20	3	$1.5K	1,810	0	+1,810	Murtazali Magomedov	+$348	06-21 00:40
Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	4	$1.4K	879	879	+0	Preston LaGrange	-$14	10-07 00:10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	3	$1.4K	1,578	0	+1,578	Yes	+$174	06-17 21:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$1.4K	1,576	0	+1,576	No	-$1,356	07-03 21:23
Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)	4	$1.4K	884	884	+0	Tim Elliott	+$9	09-12 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:03:51	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	654	30¢	$196	0xafa36b…
11-05 22:03:22	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	971	34¢	$330	0x433527…
11-05 22:02:57	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	546	100¢	$545	0x9073af…
11-05 21:35:45	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	546	90¢	$491	0xed3436…
11-05 21:35:18	Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x884b3f…
11-05 21:34:52	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	797	3¢	$21	0x186ed7…
11-05 20:25:34	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	797	38¢	$300	0x46d891…
10-30 15:40:58	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	195	47¢	$91	0x44476c…
10-30 15:37:55	Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	216	45¢	$97	0x941c6b…
10-30 15:35:13	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x103661…
10-30 15:34:37	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xce699f…
10-26 11:08:17	Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x25acd9…
10-25 15:06:23	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0x3c6a2c…
10-25 15:06:06	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	172	26¢	$45	0x1a49ad…
10-25 15:05:47	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0xbf73ee…
10-25 15:05:39	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	227	4¢	$9	0xb41027…
10-25 01:35:18	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	481	56¢	$269	0xf456e3…
10-24 23:29:12	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x85bcca…
10-24 23:20:06	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x4bf79a…
10-24 23:19:56	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xa7166e…
10-24 23:19:50	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf7cb53…
10-24 23:19:00	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Tom Nolan	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4df90d…
10-24 16:19:00	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	BUY	290	56¢	$163	0x74d1d3…
10-24 16:18:48	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	291	55¢	$160	0xc175c2…
10-24 16:12:45	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	SELL	508	100¢	$508	0x4ea104…
10-24 13:54:35	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x0d2282…
10-24 13:54:17	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x38ae38…
10-24 13:53:06	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x27a33f…
10-24 13:52:00	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Kody Steele	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x8502e1…
10-24 13:51:54	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x87073b…
10-24 13:51:45	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x9377f3…
10-24 13:51:30	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Bolaji Oki	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0x415ae7…
10-24 13:51:11	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x6932fc…
10-18 15:58:36	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xaef7e4…
10-18 13:22:26	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	1,132	66¢	$747	0x820061…
10-18 13:22:05	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x684868…
10-18 13:21:54	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	469	32¢	$150	0xfa07d4…
10-18 13:21:42	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xab610e…
10-18 13:21:32	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	474	32¢	$150	0xb0e59d…
10-18 13:21:21	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	351	37¢	$130	0x86b615…
10-17 21:11:45	UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tanner Boser	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x9ec888…
10-16 11:26:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	689	80¢	$551	0x253776…
10-16 11:20:03	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xccd92c…
10-13 23:16:21	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	361	55¢	$200	0x7d3cc8…
10-13 23:16:07	Dana White's Contender Series: Aline Pereira vs. Smilla Sundell (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Aline Pereira	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xc95abf…
10-11 00:07:10	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	554	49¢	$272	0x7edd41…
10-11 00:06:45	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jai Herbert	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0xcfb9f0…
10-11 00:06:19	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x14b552…
10-11 00:06:03	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0xe923c7…
10-10 21:18:19	UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Felipe Franco	BUY	431	78¢	$336	0xba1427…
10-10 21:17:19	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	358	56¢	$200	0x1a16ec…
10-10 21:16:49	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x43ebcd…
10-07 00:10:53	Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Nell Ariano	SELL	506	80¢	$405	0xaedbb8…
10-06 22:28:39	Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Nell Ariano	BUY	506	82¢	$417	0x8898ac…
10-06 18:42:02	Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Nell Ariano	SELL	372	80¢	$299	0x85721d…
10-05 23:03:26	Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Nell Ariano	BUY	372	81¢	$302	0x0f7f68…
10-05 23:02:34	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x1ac4ea…
10-05 14:43:55	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	413	21¢	$87	0x502816…
10-05 14:43:40	Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x93cb6f…
10-05 14:43:34	Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xcd154c…
10-05 14:43:26	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0xa59586…
10-05 14:43:20	Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x5f5031…
10-05 14:43:11	Will Romania vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xe78171…
10-05 14:43:05	Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x4cb58a…
10-05 14:42:59	Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x0b7de0…
10-04 21:54:40	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	612	100¢	$612	0xaf8c78…
10-04 10:41:59	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x5a7775…
10-04 10:41:47	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0xb96e32…
10-04 10:41:35	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	556	54¢	$300	0x19c9e8…
10-04 10:41:25	Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x2042b6…
10-04 00:11:41	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0xd8e1a8…
10-03 22:49:10	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Imanol Rodriguez	BUY	493	58¢	$286	0x4db2aa…
10-03 22:48:55	UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)	Damian Pinas	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x9f75e8…
10-03 22:48:40	UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)	Damian Pinas	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x251c49…
10-03 22:47:37	UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero (Featherweight, Prelims)	Marcus McGhee	SELL	999	100¢	$998	0x988e3e…
10-03 22:23:46	ufc mar42 antrom 2026 10 03	Marcus McGhee	BUY	999	83¢	$829	0x794655…
10-03 22:23:16	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Anthony Wint	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0x361d58…
10-03 21:58:16	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Anthony Wint	BUY	837	81¢	$678	0xccdb52…
10-03 21:17:46	UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Jacobe Smith	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x15bc4b…
10-03 21:17:26	UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Jacobe Smith	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x2ac65e…
10-03 21:17:14	Will Jacobe Smith win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	368	82¢	$300	0x870c77…
10-03 21:16:40	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	390	100¢	$389	0xa8f05f…
10-03 21:16:32	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x0d0508…
10-03 21:06:37	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	BUY	201	72¢	$145	0x421278…
10-03 21:06:19	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Rafael Dos Anjos	SELL	496	31¢	$152	0xb17f95…
10-03 21:04:56	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Rafael Dos Anjos	BUY	218	74¢	$161	0x3b36a8…
10-03 21:04:35	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Rafael Dos Anjos	BUY	277	73¢	$203	0x478621…
10-03 21:04:26	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	SELL	625	27¢	$170	0x592323…
10-03 20:37:59	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xa95bca…
10-03 20:37:50	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x9bb226…
10-03 20:34:55	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	812	100¢	$811	0xf97a0d…
10-03 20:28:49	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	BUY	344	71¢	$244	0xce0bb2…
10-03 20:28:22	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	271	92¢	$249	0x8e4a90…
10-03 17:48:29	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	1,083	93¢	$1,007	0xd4bfa6…
10-02 19:04:35	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0xe1ab57…
10-02 19:03:35	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	363	55¢	$200	0x9c234d…
10-02 19:03:17	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	845	59¢	$500	0x0a22d9…
09-25 09:51:33	Spread: Brazil (-1.5)	Brazil	BUY	231	58¢	$134	0x690a4b…
09-23 00:04:53	Will Marcos Degli win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0x9ab936…
09-23 00:04:17	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xc49a85…