Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,014

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-15 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-3

Politics

38% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	4	$641	300	400	-100	open	—	03-07 12:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	15	$531	400	400	+0	open	—	01-21 16:26
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	4	$519	300	400	-100	open	—	01-21 14:00
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	6	$450	485	560	-76	open	—	01-10 16:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	8	$429	250	250	+0	open	—	06-30 18:00
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	5	$424	500	500	+0	open	—	01-09 11:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$407	300	370	-70	open	—	05-27 02:09
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$407	400	300	+100	open	—	01-10 17:18
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 16:24
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	06-29 14:40
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	4	$373	180	200	-20	open	—	03-20 14:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	6	$364	350	350	+0	open	—	05-29 15:57
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 16:43
will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	4	$348	150	250	-100	open	—	02-27 17:45
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	5	$340	300	500	-200	open	—	01-21 12:42
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	21	$320	250	300	-50	open	—	04-20 13:53
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	8	$319	150	250	-100	open	—	04-05 15:05
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	3	$305	185	185	+0	open	—	01-28 14:41
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	8	$305	295	689	-394	open	—	01-21 12:32
googl up or down on february 20 2026	6	$303	220	180	+40	open	—	02-20 09:02
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	5	$293	150	200	-50	open	—	03-02 12:52
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?	5	$289	300	300	+0	open	—	01-03 11:51
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?	2	$289	200	200	+0	open	—	01-03 11:51
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	17	$282	545	359	+186	open	—	03-07 12:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	14	$273	150	150	+0	open	—	05-28 10:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	14	$273	200	120	+80	open	—	02-15 12:20
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	9	$266	320	120	+200	open	—	02-27 09:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$251	215	185	+30	open	—	03-20 14:13
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 24c	16	$240	204	96	+107	open	—	04-02 10:04
will france strike iran by march 31	3	$239	100	200	-100	open	—	03-02 07:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 14:19:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	150	65¢	$97	0x4ab4b4…
07-13 07:54:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x649cfd…
07-13 07:38:08	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0xb36865…
07-13 07:23:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x049d21…
07-13 03:12:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xaaf15e…
07-13 02:56:11	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xce50fb…
07-12 21:35:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	87	66¢	$57	0xd54cf9…
07-12 21:29:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0xab4e85…
07-12 21:14:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x946450…
07-12 16:25:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xdd8c48…
07-12 16:25:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x01ba7f…
07-12 13:58:14	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x97bb70…
07-12 13:44:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x4dd599…
07-12 13:44:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	78	43¢	$33	0x46c61a…
07-12 09:51:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x978b17…
07-12 08:55:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xf9fdbb…
07-12 08:39:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	43	52¢	$22	0x53edc9…
07-12 07:32:37	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb8b416…
07-12 06:03:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x07801e…
07-12 05:25:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x7e4bd6…
07-12 05:15:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xaa0242…
07-12 05:11:20	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x600770…
07-12 05:11:19	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x599b0f…
07-12 05:11:17	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x877234…
07-08 15:26:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	150	53¢	$80	0xa31f40…
07-07 20:17:46	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x256499…
07-07 19:40:20	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x92a4e3…
07-07 19:29:53	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xabb43b…
07-07 19:29:52	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb6cd84…
07-07 19:28:43	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xf971d4…
07-07 15:12:55	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x499225…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xed6c15…
07-07 14:24:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xd537e5…
07-07 13:14:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xa9c7ef…
07-07 13:13:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x331186…
07-07 00:36:34	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x8646bf…
07-06 23:27:25	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	47	87¢	$40	0x6afbf3…
07-06 22:01:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xb182f1…
07-06 10:58:49	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x31340c…
07-06 09:49:22	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5a7f64…
07-06 09:29:41	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xd03a9d…
07-06 05:07:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xcaa3b5…
07-02 12:50:14	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by december 31 20260602182956656	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x0a04c4…
06-30 18:00:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	67	85¢	$57	0x005b19…
06-30 17:28:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x6b20fe…
06-30 17:21:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	SELL	121	85¢	$103	0xd53a47…
06-30 16:32:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x614da1…
06-30 11:54:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$43	0x394a16…
06-30 10:24:16	will the announcers say enthusiasm during brazil vs japan 20260628222111472	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x2ed96b…
06-30 10:22:32	will the announcers say enthusiasm during brazil vs japan 20260628222111472	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc1a0a2…
06-30 10:10:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xd7a898…
06-30 09:47:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x7dfe91…
06-30 09:47:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0xc2f023…
06-30 09:47:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0xb36a97…
06-30 09:47:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x80e7f2…
06-30 09:46:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x080ed4…
06-30 09:46:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x113232…
06-29 14:40:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x5eacd1…
06-27 19:09:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$17	0xd051f8…
06-27 19:07:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x9ee1e7…
06-27 18:48:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$19	0xe631b2…
06-27 18:39:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x719795…
06-26 13:18:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xb6babe…
06-26 12:44:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x33bd95…
06-26 12:34:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd1ad2f…
06-25 10:42:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x622e14…
06-25 01:21:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x19ecfc…
06-25 00:48:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xebd7cc…
06-25 00:47:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4dc01…
06-25 00:47:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb439b7…
06-25 00:47:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x52869f…
06-25 00:47:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdfd603…
06-25 00:47:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc526eb…
06-25 00:47:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00a0b5…
06-25 00:47:02	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0cd23a…
06-25 00:34:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf244b0…
06-16 09:56:48	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0x5f1320…
06-16 09:54:06	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x492e00…
06-16 09:53:37	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x910a7a…
06-16 09:53:33	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x829c38…
06-11 14:19:46	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x12127c…
06-11 14:11:54	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xa4db20…
06-11 12:46:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x468d44…
06-11 12:30:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x9a8647…
06-11 09:05:09	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x5149b6…
06-10 23:04:36	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x8f5b15…
06-10 09:38:43	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8c7edd…
06-10 08:50:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4f06ae…
06-10 08:48:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x202fb2…
06-10 08:38:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x73f739…
06-07 17:20:51	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	151	15¢	$22	0xe1b45d…
06-06 00:20:51	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0e9fc6…
06-03 10:39:51	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5367dc…
06-03 10:28:25	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6e5814…
06-03 10:28:14	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x3df736…
05-29 16:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x0dd632…
05-29 15:57:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x12581a…
05-29 15:55:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	49	49¢	$24	0xb872de…
05-29 15:55:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x50f94d…
05-29 15:55:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x059d5b…