Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

31.5%

Resolved

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-11 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 0% $-3

Politics

36% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes		-158	$-23	12¢	$-19	+$4	06-07 17:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	4	$641	300	400	-100	open	—	03-07 12:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	15	$531	400	400	+0	open	—	01-21 16:26
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	4	$519	300	400	-100	open	—	01-21 14:00
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	6	$450	485	560	-76	open	—	01-10 16:25
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	5	$424	500	500	+0	open	—	01-09 11:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$407	300	370	-70	open	—	05-27 02:09
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$407	400	300	+100	open	—	01-10 17:18
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 16:24
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	4	$373	180	200	-20	open	—	03-20 14:09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	6	$364	350	350	+0	open	—	05-29 15:57
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 16:43
will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	4	$348	150	250	-100	open	—	02-27 17:45
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	5	$340	300	500	-200	open	—	01-21 12:42
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	21	$320	250	300	-50	open	—	04-20 13:53
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	8	$319	150	250	-100	open	—	04-05 15:05
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	3	$305	185	185	+0	open	—	01-28 14:41
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	8	$305	295	689	-394	open	—	01-21 12:32
googl up or down on february 20 2026	6	$303	220	180	+40	open	—	02-20 09:02
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	5	$293	150	200	-50	open	—	03-02 12:52
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?	5	$289	300	300	+0	open	—	01-03 11:51
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?	2	$289	200	200	+0	open	—	01-03 11:51
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	17	$282	545	359	+186	open	—	03-07 12:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	14	$273	150	150	+0	open	—	05-28 10:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	14	$273	200	120	+80	open	—	02-15 12:20
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	9	$266	320	120	+200	open	—	02-27 09:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$251	215	185	+30	open	—	03-20 14:13
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 24c	16	$240	204	96	+107	open	—	04-02 10:04
will france strike iran by march 31	3	$239	100	200	-100	open	—	03-02 07:52
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	4	$238	154	350	-196	open	—	03-23 06:06
bun ein koe 2026 04 05 koe	17	$219	1,015	77	+938	open	—	04-05 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:19:46	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x12127c…
06-11 14:11:54	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xa4db20…
06-11 12:46:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x468d44…
06-11 12:30:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x9a8647…
06-11 09:05:09	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x5149b6…
06-10 23:04:36	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x8f5b15…
06-10 09:38:43	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8c7edd…
06-10 08:50:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4f06ae…
06-10 08:48:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x202fb2…
06-10 08:38:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x73f739…
06-07 17:20:51	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	151	15¢	$22	0xe1b45d…
06-06 00:20:51	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0e9fc6…
06-03 10:39:51	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5367dc…
06-03 10:28:25	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6e5814…
06-03 10:28:14	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x3df736…
05-29 16:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x0dd632…
05-29 15:57:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x12581a…
05-29 15:55:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	49	49¢	$24	0xb872de…
05-29 15:55:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x50f94d…
05-29 15:55:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x059d5b…
05-29 15:45:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x187281…
05-29 15:43:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	300	46¢	$138	0x685637…
05-29 14:53:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x484f55…
05-29 14:53:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x712bd9…
05-29 14:52:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xc77139…
05-29 14:52:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x4eb804…
05-29 14:48:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc51582…
05-29 14:43:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	52¢	$9	0xa56f3c…
05-29 14:42:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdc95b7…
05-29 14:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc3966b…
05-29 14:42:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xac1b20…
05-29 14:39:25	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3fb01a…
05-29 14:38:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x076cc3…
05-29 14:32:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc9430c…
05-28 10:17:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x014ead…
05-28 10:15:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x94898c…
05-28 09:36:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xd1e4c6…
05-28 09:36:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xac70aa…
05-28 09:16:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x05ce9e…
05-28 09:12:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	72	92¢	$66	0x09604a…
05-28 08:41:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x20368d…
05-28 08:31:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb073fe…
05-28 07:27:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0xb71620…
05-28 07:01:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	99	90¢	$89	0xab66d0…
05-28 06:35:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe9b6c3…
05-28 06:31:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x6529dc…
05-28 06:29:47	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x2b7cf5…
05-28 06:24:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x5423df…
05-28 06:24:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xb49aea…
05-27 02:09:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x2a9b6c…
05-26 20:02:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x9920a3…
05-26 20:02:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x6ece79…
05-26 20:01:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xcd1a20…
05-26 20:01:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x39e621…
05-26 20:01:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x177590…
05-26 15:13:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd78e29…
05-26 15:08:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xa719e2…
05-26 05:34:19	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x955824…
05-25 16:32:17	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x188517…
05-23 14:55:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	95	16¢	$15	0x9b53e6…
05-23 14:49:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	16¢	$9	0xb262fa…
05-23 12:03:14	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1b9286…
05-23 12:03:07	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc42c9c…
05-23 12:02:52	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6bb2f1…
05-23 11:48:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x43870d…
05-23 11:13:36	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x619fb1…
05-23 11:13:25	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xded154…
05-18 18:20:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x6e1516…
05-18 02:30:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xb34930…
05-18 02:30:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x9ac64d…
05-18 00:57:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xbcae51…
05-16 19:10:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	270	46¢	$124	0x34e778…
05-15 15:22:21	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	75	34¢	$25	0x248d4f…
05-15 15:21:54	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	25	34¢	$9	0x4b4332…
05-15 15:16:57	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbd86e5…
05-15 15:01:57	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x09a6a6…
05-15 14:54:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x803e3b…
05-15 14:51:45	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x50af44…
05-15 14:50:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x2ee485…
05-15 14:38:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1326d6…
05-15 14:16:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0fbc9c…
05-15 14:10:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x057bf1…
05-06 13:05:52	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x055059…
05-06 07:41:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0xac7876…
05-06 07:32:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xaded66…
05-06 07:24:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x98ab90…
05-06 07:02:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0xb62102…
05-06 06:26:54	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xf74046…
05-06 06:19:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x0d9532…
05-06 06:02:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x329219…
05-06 05:04:08	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x67e168…
05-05 16:41:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x8e155f…
05-05 15:16:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in May?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xd1fc52…
05-05 14:29:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb8a0f2…
05-05 14:15:02	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0x02d604…
05-05 14:06:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x3d37ed…
05-05 14:05:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x4259ee…
05-05 14:05:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xd4b2a9…
04-25 17:17:32	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x7b786f…
04-25 14:21:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x3c17c7…