Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$124

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-23 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% -$10

Politics

43% 100% +$14

Crypto

4% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+16	$10	88¢	$14	+$4	10-06 13:46
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	+7	$5	96¢	$7	+$2	10-06 13:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+53	$10	12¢	$6	-$4	10-06 13:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+11	$5	39¢	$4	-$1	10-23 17:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	37¢	$4	-$1	10-06 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 17:21:09	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4a1596…
10-08 20:25:41	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9f15f5…
10-07 14:29:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xbf8ad9…
10-06 18:35:00	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6b005c…
10-06 18:34:53	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x712bdb…
10-06 18:23:20	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x871958…
10-06 13:51:13	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8281f9…
10-06 13:50:42	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x973f3f…
10-06 13:49:57	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc4408c…
10-06 13:47:57	Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xe7428f…
10-06 13:46:10	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1d9379…
10-06 13:44:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc9e9d8…
10-06 13:43:36	Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xc674b0…
10-06 12:41:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kamala Harris by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9176f0…
10-06 12:34:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb7cb6e…
10-06 12:30:58	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x052ed7…
10-06 12:26:40	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1a5c1d…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?	2	$29	19	19	+0	No	+$9	10-08 20:25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	2	$10	14	14	+0	No	-$10	10-07 14:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	10-06 13:44
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	10-06 13:49
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	10-06 13:46
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	1	$9	31	0	+31	open	—	10-06 13:47
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	10-06 12:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	10-23 17:21
Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	10-06 13:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-06 18:23
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	10-06 18:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kamala Harris by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	10-06 12:41
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	10-06 13:50
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	10-06 18:35
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	10-06 13:51