Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved

518

Trades

2,784

lifetime

Volume

$240.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-02

last 09-24 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

63% 12% -$4,839

Politics

16% 14% -$1,290

Crypto

15% 83% -$3,087

Sports

4% 25% -$215

Tech

2% 0% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+0	$14	100¢	$0	-$14	09-16 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	6	$9.0K	12,708	1,866	+10,842	Yes	-$1,613	09-17 23:59
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	19	$7.0K	6,116	6,116	+0	No	-$96	08-20 11:47
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	8	$6.0K	3,671	3,671	+0	open	—	08-03 12:55
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	7	$5.2K	7,296	7,296	+0	Yes	-$84	09-15 16:59
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	9	$4.6K	4,278	4,278	+0	No	-$444	08-03 01:07
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	10	$4.6K	3,221	3,221	+0	No	-$36	08-20 09:19
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	14	$4.5K	4,468	4,468	+0	Yes	-$120	08-12 13:36
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	30	$4.4K	4,303	4,303	+0	Yes	-$223	07-09 12:26
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	12	$4.3K	4,141	4,141	+0	Yes	-$499	08-18 11:17
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	26	$4.1K	4,073	4,073	+0	Yes	-$116	07-21 20:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	18	$3.5K	3,190	3,190	+0	open	—	07-16 12:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	26	$3.5K	3,410	3,410	+0	open	—	09-16 18:00
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	39	$3.3K	3,235	3,235	+0	open	—	07-23 04:17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	46	$3.2K	3,978	3,977	+0	No	+$1	08-01 00:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$2.9K	3,754	3,754	+0	Yes	-$50	07-23 13:45
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	287	$2.6K	2,466	2,466	+0	No	+$2	07-12 15:49
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	17	$2.5K	4,693	4,693	+0	open	—	09-24 23:36
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	24	$2.3K	2,542	2,542	+0	No	+$12	07-06 13:12
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	11	$2.3K	2,224	2,224	+0	No	-$125	07-20 22:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	38	$2.2K	2,080	2,080	+0	open	—	07-29 05:39
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	5	$2.2K	1,589	1,589	+0	No	-$25	07-01 12:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	5	$2.1K	2,226	2,226	+0	Yes	-$46	07-24 15:19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	18	$2.1K	2,243	2,243	+0	No	-$339	07-19 04:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	22	$2.1K	1,795	1,795	+0	No	-$160	07-08 12:02
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	11	$2.0K	2,232	2,232	+0	open	—	08-20 13:35
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	27	$1.9K	1,789	1,789	+0	No	+$47	07-20 01:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	28	$1.9K	2,336	2,336	+0	No	-$33	08-11 19:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	10	$1.8K	1,304	1,304	+0	open	—	09-21 08:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$1.8K	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	-$11	09-10 06:23
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	36	$1.7K	2,211	2,211	+0	Yes	-$33	07-10 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 23:36:17	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,141	3¢	$141	0x96f1c8…
09-24 22:30:30	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x132267…
09-24 22:30:27	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	161	36¢	$58	0x96c27c…
09-24 22:30:24	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xd19bda…
09-24 22:30:21	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	85	38¢	$32	0x5f3680…
09-24 22:30:15	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x2147d5…
09-24 22:30:09	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	39¢	$14	0xc6dfaf…
09-24 22:30:03	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x7a3e6e…
09-24 22:29:57	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	40¢	$60	0xfad650…
09-24 21:49:56	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8e5e90…
09-24 21:49:54	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	542	45¢	$243	0xe3361b…
09-24 21:49:54	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	45¢	$112	0xb76e49…
09-24 21:49:54	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	219	45¢	$98	0xa20960…
09-24 21:49:54	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x33a032…
09-24 21:49:54	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x178e8c…
09-24 21:49:53	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,698	45¢	$1,217	0x5b19e1…
09-23 07:41:07	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	35¢	$99	0xee4b2e…
09-23 07:41:04	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	37¢	$12	0xc80e21…
09-23 07:40:59	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	37¢	$95	0xcb0b4d…
09-23 07:40:59	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x6fbe7c…
09-23 07:40:58	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xbb533b…
09-23 05:42:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	118	42¢	$49	0x6e0fee…
09-23 05:41:52	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xe19e49…
09-22 17:09:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x851e9a…
09-22 17:09:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc6677c…
09-22 11:43:42	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	55¢	$74	0x54e857…
09-22 11:33:39	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0x9a7b9d…
09-22 11:01:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	146	32¢	$47	0x3a089f…
09-22 11:01:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	516	38¢	$194	0xecda50…
09-22 10:53:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9d6a42…
09-22 10:53:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xc9e448…
09-22 10:53:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x03ee0f…
09-22 10:52:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	532	51¢	$271	0xf1fd38…
09-22 10:17:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	107	49¢	$52	0xbf9013…
09-22 10:17:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	253	50¢	$126	0x4c76b6…
09-22 00:12:12	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x8753ac…
09-22 00:01:40	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe1d24b…
09-21 21:07:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	25¢	$9	0xbf3b5b…
09-21 20:51:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xf27752…
09-21 20:51:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0x2813bc…
09-21 19:06:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	825	69¢	$569	0x4012cf…
09-21 19:06:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xaf076f…
09-21 15:11:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	384	28¢	$109	0xb40fb3…
09-21 15:11:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	384	30¢	$113	0x3d7f7d…
09-21 08:09:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	68¢	$170	0xf90ee0…
09-21 08:09:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x3bcd27…
09-21 08:09:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	289	69¢	$199	0xb65584…
09-21 08:09:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	352	69¢	$243	0x8f3e4f…
09-21 07:35:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9d5b1e…
09-21 07:30:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	398	70¢	$279	0xd9c00e…
09-21 07:29:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	700	72¢	$504	0x6fd896…
09-21 07:29:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x67b262…
09-21 07:29:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	257	72¢	$185	0x8ff670…
09-21 07:29:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	287	73¢	$210	0x941174…
09-20 21:59:47	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$9	0x601d81…
09-20 21:59:41	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	SELL	278	26¢	$72	0x16fe5d…
09-20 21:29:38	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	BUY	316	32¢	$101	0xc24ed4…
09-20 00:41:19	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	559	56¢	$311	0xb3c6b0…
09-19 23:49:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x209c4b…
09-19 23:48:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x58ce80…
09-19 23:30:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	131	77¢	$101	0xec399a…
09-19 23:24:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	131	79¢	$104	0xeeb7bd…
09-19 22:31:42	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	410	77¢	$315	0xa79ac4…
09-19 22:31:42	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x4e56be…
09-19 22:31:09	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	121	78¢	$95	0x7c7df1…
09-19 18:58:51	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0x4d4e45…
09-19 09:16:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xce7f5a…
09-19 09:16:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x696cc3…
09-18 17:25:06	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	742	70¢	$519	0x5f19b9…
09-18 17:15:01	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	742	71¢	$527	0xe4e38b…
09-18 02:23:48	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	105	58¢	$61	0x4dca1d…
09-18 02:13:40	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	105	58¢	$61	0x05d14e…
09-18 00:39:27	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xd39b01…
09-18 00:39:16	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x46deb4…
09-18 00:39:09	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xa81bf1…
09-18 00:39:04	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaaa886…
09-17 23:59:13	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	933	57¢	$535	0x5a6ca4…
09-17 20:17:45	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	933	50¢	$467	0x783d8c…
09-17 19:54:16	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	5,401	52¢	$2,809	0x221a24…
09-17 19:49:21	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	5,401	74¢	$3,997	0xb3fae9…
09-17 02:57:36	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	158	70¢	$111	0xb0d988…
09-17 02:47:33	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	158	71¢	$112	0x0cda8e…
09-16 18:09:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	532	63¢	$335	0x151971…
09-16 18:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0xef3271…
09-16 18:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	209	64¢	$134	0xb30a9b…
09-16 18:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x894551…
09-16 18:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1ffe19…
09-16 18:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1c3997…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7681e7…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5a0d41…
09-16 18:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	266	64¢	$170	0x1aec78…
09-16 18:00:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	233	65¢	$151	0xfbce44…
09-16 18:00:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	86	65¢	$56	0xcb0604…
09-16 18:00:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	319	68¢	$217	0xdef5e5…
09-16 17:57:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0x9eded9…
09-16 17:57:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	282	29¢	$82	0x69c5f3…
09-16 17:57:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	319	29¢	$93	0x1c5f61…
09-15 19:06:16	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	79¢	$47	0xcc9010…
09-15 18:56:16	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x045f8a…
09-15 16:59:12	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	1,028	34¢	$350	0x27db2f…