Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$814

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-08-17

last 10-21 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

72% 76% -$1

Politics

23% 12% -$21

Crypto

5% 40% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+60	$15	19¢	$12	-$3	09-07 01:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	13	$100	123	123	+1	No	-$16	09-10 01:20
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	19	$55	53	40	+13	open	—	09-21 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 24?	2	$54	28	28	+0	No	+$2	08-24 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 24?	2	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$2	08-25 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 27?	3	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	08-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	5	$26	19	19	+0	No	-$7	08-24 14:00
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$24	30	25	+5	No	-$3	09-10 01:57
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 25°C on August 22?	3	$20	17	9	+8	No	-$6	08-22 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 26?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	08-27 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 4?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-07 01:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 25?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	08-26 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 28?	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	08-28 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 24?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	08-24 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 25?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	08-26 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 2?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$2	09-03 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 23?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$3	08-24 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 25?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	08-26 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$1	08-24 11:30
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	2	$15	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	09-18 03:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$15	60	0	+60	open	—	09-07 01:36
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on August 23?	1	$15	19	0	+19	No	+$4	08-22 20:36
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on August 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-22 20:36
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on August 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-22 18:32
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	6	$15	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-01 13:16
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	1	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	09-10 01:53
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on August 22?	2	$14	10	9	+0	No	-$4	08-22 07:28
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 23?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	08-24 05:22
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on August 22?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-22 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 3?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	09-04 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 22:21:18	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x17538e…
09-22 02:05:30	Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0b1e19…
09-21 17:33:22	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x136489…
09-21 17:33:16	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x04a1a1…
09-21 17:33:13	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x54ac40…
09-21 17:33:13	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x397dc3…
09-21 17:33:10	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x865229…
09-21 17:33:09	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdc1a83…
09-21 17:33:03	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x9cead7…
09-21 17:32:57	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x44e101…
09-21 17:32:55	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe14421…
09-21 17:32:55	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x569ecc…
09-21 17:32:52	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x43bd6e…
09-21 17:32:51	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x81cb90…
09-21 17:32:49	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x91e819…
09-21 17:32:48	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd55621…
09-21 17:32:48	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3301dc…
09-21 17:32:45	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x85e66e…
09-21 17:32:43	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xfec6d0…
09-21 17:32:40	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa45b14…
09-21 17:32:40	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x795f42…
09-21 12:24:15	Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x335397…
09-21 12:23:54	Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x91cf47…
09-21 07:03:05	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x56d013…
09-21 05:52:44	Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd274bf…
09-21 05:51:24	Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x99ce3d…
09-21 05:48:21	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xb1a612…
09-21 05:45:12	Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe0d1a2…
09-18 03:21:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x62c258…
09-15 09:08:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x137536…
09-15 09:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6eb769…
09-15 09:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x46b0de…
09-15 07:47:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x006ca8…
09-15 07:46:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xd317dc…
09-15 07:32:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x68a727…
09-15 07:18:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdd3fe2…
09-10 01:57:30	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x891d9d…
09-10 01:53:36	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa95ea2…
09-10 01:53:25	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	No	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xd2c135…
09-10 01:20:58	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0xc9fa68…
09-10 01:11:10	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x52a1f7…
09-09 17:52:07	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x16a41f…
09-09 17:51:42	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x6384b3…
09-09 17:51:16	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x476d47…
09-09 17:50:55	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xa4bdeb…
09-09 16:43:42	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x61d609…
09-09 16:43:27	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb5655a…
09-09 16:33:12	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xd4b8a8…
09-09 16:24:31	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xdac63b…
09-09 15:50:12	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x25fe7b…
09-07 01:36:25	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x8dbc67…
09-07 01:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6bdace…
09-04 06:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1f79b4…
09-04 05:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xdc9a7b…
09-04 05:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7869ea…
09-04 05:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xea028b…
09-04 05:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x68d9b4…
09-04 04:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa245ae…
09-04 04:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x1d6014…
09-04 04:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x858ddd…
09-04 03:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x9276be…
09-04 01:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd50862…
09-04 01:13:51	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2fd84d…
09-04 01:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x98ef47…
09-03 09:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 3?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcdde69…
09-03 04:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x03357a…
09-02 12:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on September 2?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x208803…
09-01 13:16:03	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x154ca4…
09-01 13:16:00	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xad6a1a…
09-01 13:14:55	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x44ac76…
09-01 13:14:54	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x38a8ea…
09-01 13:12:22	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x9d2e8c…
09-01 07:56:22	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc9e28f…
09-01 06:16:25	will bytedances valuation hit high 600b by september 30 20260829014000007	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xbf6459…
09-01 06:12:10	will bytedances valuation hit high 600b by september 30 20260829014000007	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xaeb92b…
08-28 08:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6094f0…
08-28 08:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x26c92b…
08-27 12:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 27?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9e6853…
08-27 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5d8e05…
08-27 02:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1378f2…
08-27 02:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x905cfe…
08-27 01:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbf9d44…
08-26 12:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 26?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x408a30…
08-26 01:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf4d3d5…
08-26 01:09:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x73f4ec…
08-26 01:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6b617c…
08-25 15:15:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 25?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x892ad8…
08-25 11:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 25?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe35463…
08-25 11:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 25?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1a408d…
08-25 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 24?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa4c40a…
08-24 14:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa36f8b…
08-24 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x24739b…
08-24 14:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x9a2d3d…
08-24 14:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x68654d…
08-24 13:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xfd9f8c…
08-24 11:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0ba8c4…
08-24 11:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb845d0…
08-24 11:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x02536e…
08-24 11:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 24?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x3cb021…
08-24 08:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x68580b…