Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

+$68

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

271

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$789

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 94% -$20

Other

36% 69% -$158

Politics

15% 91% +$64

Sports

1% 50% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+324	$283	98¢	$317	+$34	10-27 21:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+278	$238	94¢	$262	+$25	10-27 22:27
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+90	$79	98¢	$89	+$9	10-27 22:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	+70	$70	100¢	$70	$0	10-27 21:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+62	$51	82¢	$50	$0	10-25 10:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	31	$1.1K	657	657	+0	Yes	+$47	10-22 20:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	6	$620	498	174	+324	open	—	10-27 21:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	10	$568	299	299	+0	Yes	+$28	10-24 20:50
Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?	4	$522	415	112	+303	Yes	+$5	10-19 18:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$506	318	318	+0	Yes	+$99	03-08 22:05
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-10-22?	5	$501	252	252	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 21:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	3	$441	231	211	+20	Yes	+$1	10-24 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	1	$370	370	0	+370	Yes	+$0	10-08 15:23
Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-19?	3	$355	355	0	+355	Yes	+$0	10-19 20:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	1	$350	351	0	+351	Yes	+$1	10-06 11:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?	1	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	10-04 16:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 3	2	$312	157	157	+0	No	+$1	01-03 16:39
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$303	383	0	+383	No	-$303	03-08 22:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$302	312	34	+278	open	—	10-27 22:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?	1	$300	301	0	+301	Yes	+$1	10-11 12:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?	1	$300	301	0	+301	Yes	+$1	10-25 10:25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 24?	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	10-24 21:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7?	1	$300	301	0	+301	Yes	+$1	10-06 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	10-13 15:37
ethereum above 2800 on january 25	1	$274	276	0	+276	Yes	+$2	01-24 22:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 5?	2	$265	265	0	+265	Yes	+$0	10-05 15:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?	1	$250	250	0	+250	Yes	+$0	10-21 15:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 25?	2	$250	200	50	+150	No	$0	10-25 21:57
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	4	$241	256	256	+0	Yes	+$167	02-06 16:12
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$241	188	98	+90	open	—	10-27 22:27
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-10-19?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	10-19 20:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 18?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	10-18 11:57
Niners Chemnitz vs. Slask Wroclaw	2	$200	100	100	+0	Niners Chemnitz	+$0	10-21 19:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	10-24 20:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	10-14 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xd04144…
10-27 22:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x504661…
10-27 22:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa9d0cc…
10-27 22:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb61f40…
10-27 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xb042ea…
10-27 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x42e4a9…
10-27 22:29:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xef5e95…
10-27 22:28:57	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x530820…
10-27 22:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x23bbf2…
10-27 22:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa44745…
10-27 22:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x049863…
10-27 22:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4b0ae6…
10-27 22:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2517de…
10-27 22:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9f4c5d…
10-27 22:27:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe81fdb…
10-27 22:27:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x9041ed…
10-27 22:26:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x0b384e…
10-27 21:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x4c68e1…
10-27 21:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2f75c7…
10-27 21:53:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfca8fb…
10-27 21:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x9ffbae…
10-27 21:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4395c0…
10-27 21:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x48bc80…
10-27 21:52:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4fa7ce…
10-27 21:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xbc7f79…
10-27 21:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdf1460…
10-27 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x62ba34…
10-27 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0850c0…
10-27 21:50:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	86	82¢	$71	0xf49c48…
10-27 21:50:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xab20c7…
10-27 21:50:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5d135a…
10-27 21:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xc052cb…
10-27 21:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8fb47e…
10-27 21:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xee7e28…
10-27 21:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6b1074…
10-27 21:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5cb851…
10-27 21:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x8396d3…
10-27 21:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2b9829…
10-27 21:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2ce8ed…
10-27 21:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x5c518a…
10-27 21:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xefa18e…
10-27 21:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbbd993…
10-27 21:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9ea748…
10-27 21:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3747e3…
10-27 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x29300b…
10-27 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9f5136…
10-27 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x517b75…
10-27 21:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	86	77¢	$66	0x110a26…
10-27 21:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x66118f…
10-27 21:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2b8a3f…
10-27 21:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3067dc…
10-27 21:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc239fd…
10-27 21:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3d007d…
10-27 21:36:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0x365135…
10-27 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x34e579…
10-27 21:35:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	107	84¢	$90	0xeaf970…
10-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x46583d…
10-27 21:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5c15c2…
10-27 21:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x063030…
10-27 21:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x26502e…
10-27 21:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb0a104…
10-27 21:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x17e165…
10-27 21:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1c21f2…
10-27 21:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1a78ea…
10-27 21:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe3743f…
10-27 21:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x7e41ae…
10-27 21:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x10e90a…
10-27 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5332bb…
10-27 21:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd239e1…
10-27 21:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x895c08…
10-27 21:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaf8be3…
10-27 21:21:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0xeece4a…
10-27 21:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb7d266…
10-27 21:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x8f4ab3…
10-27 21:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x577cb2…
10-27 21:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xef3b15…
10-27 21:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0503b9…
10-27 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0x19d050…
10-27 21:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb7e670…
10-27 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1872df…
10-27 21:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa87bdd…
10-27 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xce43c3…
10-27 21:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x94bb3f…
10-27 21:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xaf2eab…
10-27 21:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xccd8dc…
10-27 21:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd1fac8…
10-27 21:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	87¢	$28	0x30da31…
10-27 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5e2cb2…
10-27 21:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1c5d89…
10-27 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcd64b1…
10-27 21:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb1b162…
10-27 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd53b82…
10-27 20:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf8ed4b…
10-27 20:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x39af3e…
10-27 20:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x817120…
10-27 20:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xf83e46…
10-27 20:52:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x62de1b…
10-27 20:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x764095…
10-27 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45b7c4…
10-27 20:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe22653…