Shocking-Colonial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

12,150

Trades

15,522

lifetime

Volume

$128.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-27 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 49% -$1,622

Other

5% 44% -$237

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$78	46	46	+0	Down	+$5	08-24 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 23:45 UTC	6	$78	74	74	+0	Up	+$5	08-17 23:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	2	$77	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	09-25 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 21:00 UTC	4	$76	54	54	+0	Down	$0	07-29 21:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 23:15 UTC	5	$71	75	66	+9	Up	-$3	08-12 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$70	45	45	+0	Up	+$0	10-16 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:00 UTC	3	$65	55	43	+12	Down	+$5	07-31 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 16:15 UTC	2	$64	50	34	+16	Up	+$2	08-27 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 04:30 UTC	2	$62	44	44	+0	Up	+$5	09-15 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 20:30 UTC	3	$62	44	32	+12	Down	+$1	07-31 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:45 UTC	5	$61	57	48	+8	Down	-$9	07-31 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$61	57	44	+13	Down	-$14	10-18 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$60	60	60	+0	Up	-$7	08-28 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 22:15 UTC	5	$60	58	51	+7	Down	$0	08-12 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 22:15 UTC	3	$60	57	44	+13	Down	+$2	08-09 22:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 02:15 UTC	3	$60	61	45	+15	Down	+$8	08-18 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 04:15 UTC	2	$59	44	44	+0	Down	-$8	09-30 04:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:45 UTC	3	$59	58	44	+13	Up	+$2	08-11 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 10:30 UTC	4	$59	43	25	+18	Up	$0	07-23 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 20:15 UTC	3	$59	66	44	+21	Up	+$7	08-19 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$58	65	50	+15	Up	-$9	09-07 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	3	$57	59	40	+19	Down	+$2	08-21 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$57	49	49	+0	Up	-$1	09-03 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$57	73	49	+24	Up	-$19	09-07 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 18:45 UTC	3	$57	63	45	+18	Down	+$11	08-24 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$57	62	34	+28	Down	+$28	09-02 07:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 18:00 UTC	3	$56	45	38	+8	Up	-$4	08-12 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$56	44	43	+1	Up	+$1	10-18 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	2	$56	44	44	+0	Up	+$2	08-27 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$55	66	46	+20	Up	+$7	09-10 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xfe8663…
10-27 11:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x11f533…
10-27 11:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x3e14b2…
10-27 11:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x3d91c2…
10-27 09:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x1ad10f…
10-27 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x0520c0…
10-27 08:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x994825…
10-27 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x904c8a…
10-27 02:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	38¢	$18	0x5454ca…
10-27 02:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x5478ee…
10-27 02:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x49ad44…
10-27 01:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x31784b…
10-27 01:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd6e37b…
10-27 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x01ef3e…
10-27 00:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0xea4bb2…
10-27 00:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0xdda25e…
10-26 23:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xb4bfa2…
10-26 22:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x881d57…
10-26 22:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xa926f2…
10-26 22:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x7f94a0…
10-26 22:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xe2c5a0…
10-26 22:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd2cc54…
10-26 20:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x83d59b…
10-26 12:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	48	35¢	$17	0x8a4b54…
10-26 12:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	32¢	$16	0x751149…
10-26 11:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4c3138…
10-26 09:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x9d3bd3…
10-26 09:14:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0x4122e9…
10-26 07:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x076d2e…
10-26 06:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x2e9269…
10-26 06:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x9cc6e7…
10-26 05:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x3c184d…
10-26 03:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xac0b0a…
10-26 03:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xd6a7ee…
10-26 00:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xda460e…
10-26 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5ac997…
10-26 00:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x494969…
10-26 00:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x9164b6…
10-26 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x37f078…
10-25 22:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$8	0x2d36ff…
10-25 21:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0xadb71f…
10-25 21:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	39¢	$17	0xda564c…
10-25 21:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x8d03d7…
10-25 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x3dfbc8…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xa159af…
10-25 20:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x93116f…
10-25 20:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	65	26¢	$17	0x179af2…
10-25 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x9eb13b…
10-25 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4eb151…
10-25 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0xe14f5c…
10-25 19:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x5dac55…
10-25 19:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$19	0xda7d8a…
10-25 19:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x67a7cb…
10-25 18:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xb376ad…
10-25 18:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x7f041d…
10-25 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0x07be66…
10-25 18:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	40¢	$22	0x91c703…
10-25 17:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x1f3f43…
10-25 17:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	60¢	$28	0x081427…
10-25 16:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0xa48621…
10-25 16:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x2070bc…
10-25 16:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xc3e64d…
10-25 15:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x697c39…
10-25 14:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	83¢	$37	0xd43097…
10-25 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xf1df4a…
10-25 13:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x2bc07a…
10-25 09:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x50d54e…
10-25 09:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x30dd03…
10-25 07:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x56bdb0…
10-25 06:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x54afc3…
10-25 06:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x59896f…
10-25 06:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	32¢	$14	0xd2818d…
10-25 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x11422b…
10-25 05:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x4b7796…
10-25 05:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb54e53…
10-25 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x8c16a2…
10-25 04:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0x02e2ba…
10-25 04:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0xfac684…
10-25 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x5b9381…
10-25 03:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	57¢	$36	0x4785b7…
10-25 03:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x962c0e…
10-25 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xa0fafb…
10-25 02:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x4fcada…
10-25 02:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x7b57b0…
10-25 01:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xea1d67…
10-25 01:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xdb84ec…
10-25 01:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcf9102…
10-25 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xdcf8e6…
10-25 01:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xaf673e…
10-25 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0xf23b06…
10-24 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x413d45…
10-24 23:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x3e10db…
10-24 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x8e40a1…
10-24 13:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x7bdea5…
10-24 13:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc41326…
10-24 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	72¢	$33	0x19b676…
10-24 12:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0xfda560…
10-24 12:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xdebf27…
10-24 11:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xca2870…
10-24 11:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xdfb39b…