Opulent-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

645

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-01 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Politics

31% 100% +$1

Other

27% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	7	$82	75	12	+62	open	—	04-25 06:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	02-01 03:07
btc updown 5m 1776333600	2	$52	58	0	+58	open	—	04-16 10:04
will trump say too big to rig this week january 25	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	01-25 19:52
btc updown 5m 1776307500	2	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	04-16 02:48
fif bra hrv 2026 03 31 bra	2	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	04-01 02:01
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-28 22:47
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$49	37	37	+0	open	—	01-18 05:55
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	4	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	04-18 03:32
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	01-27 23:32
btc updown 5m 1776118500	3	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	04-13 22:17
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	3	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	01-18 22:11
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 26 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-27 02:24
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on march 6 2026	7	$37	28	18	+10	open	—	03-07 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$35	35	0	+35	Down	+$0	05-12 16:48
fif usa prt 2026 03 31 prt	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 01:06
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	01-24 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776109800	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-13 19:53
fif ksa ser 2026 03 30 ser	4	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-31 17:56
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	02-03 02:55
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	01-18 21:07
trump announces new drug boat strike by january 17 2026 855	3	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	01-18 05:56
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	01-16 17:06
btc updown 5m 1776306600	3	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-16 02:34
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	01-15 22:05
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	01-29 23:02
will trump say switzerland this week january 18	2	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	01-19 02:38
will there be seven or eight announced new us armed forces strikes against drug boats by january 31 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-01 03:40
fif ire mac 2026 03 31 draw	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-31 20:43
btc updown 5m 1776307200	3	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-16 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 04:15:06	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3c5b2b…
06-01 04:14:22	Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x10993b…
06-01 02:22:35	Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2b2a38…
05-25 01:54:16	Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xacbeaf…
05-25 01:53:57	Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7c29b7…
05-24 22:12:47	Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cafc0…
05-24 21:56:27	Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebdcba…
05-15 16:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x822b14…
05-13 23:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x420d0e…
05-13 22:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e9d4c…
05-13 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x082fa0…
05-12 20:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff957c…
05-12 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b0f30…
05-12 16:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec22b6…
05-12 16:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd85859…
05-12 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f366a…
05-12 16:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe1212a…
05-12 14:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x233549…
05-12 14:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39f0c4…
05-12 14:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d39a7…
05-11 15:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9fce18…
05-11 03:02:54	Will Trump say "My father" this week?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc74d67…
05-11 03:02:45	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1c733e…
05-11 03:02:37	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x67d1d1…
05-11 03:02:33	Will Trump say "Mob" or "Mafia" this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3e1ef…
05-11 03:02:26	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8a378…
05-11 03:02:21	Will Trump say "Daddy" this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc79dd0…
05-11 03:01:39	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x44c640…
05-11 02:38:43	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaf6199…
05-10 23:24:30	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1db4b6…
05-04 21:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fe91f…
05-04 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7cf4d5…
05-04 04:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x013c78…
05-04 02:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ef5c2…
05-04 02:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x78d53f…
05-04 02:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9f76…
05-04 01:16:08	Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5c638…
05-04 01:14:42	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x88e51c…
05-04 01:03:06	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x691c08…
05-04 01:03:00	Will Trump say "Harry" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac13a1…
04-29 19:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd7b3b…
04-29 14:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeda983…
04-29 14:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x172b8f…
04-29 02:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x225e30…
04-27 08:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe65216…
04-27 06:00:46	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x99b331…
04-27 05:45:24	Will Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4e5c1…
04-27 04:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43f11d…
04-27 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4a8dde…
04-27 01:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a1eda…
04-27 01:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x037cfe…
04-27 01:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x515cb4…
04-27 01:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3ef17…
04-27 01:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x045d96…
04-27 00:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9d0c6…
04-27 00:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x872b36…
04-27 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59b63e…
04-27 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a7526…
04-26 23:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8a9035…
04-26 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc319ee…
04-26 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5f6ec…
04-26 23:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x198205…
04-26 22:56:30	Will Trump say "My Father" or "Fred" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6c208c…
04-26 21:51:22	Will Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd648ea…
04-26 21:05:12	Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x009767…
04-26 20:28:44	Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64c0f2…
04-26 20:28:30	Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3d01f…
04-26 20:27:44	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7a5123…
04-26 20:27:10	Will Trump say "Death to America" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x621f48…
04-25 16:17:58	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x40eb21…
04-25 15:52:04	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x1c6929…
04-25 12:28:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7ae21c…
04-25 08:36:38	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9b40e7…
04-25 08:34:40	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd620af…
04-25 08:13:42	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xb669da…
04-25 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe9e794…
04-25 06:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x85d94f…
04-25 06:11:02	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xac9c4c…
04-25 06:10:30	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0xf72fb2…
04-25 06:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa50b18…
04-25 05:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x82dd85…
04-25 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb8d956…
04-25 03:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa94f53…
04-25 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x297ee1…
04-25 03:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9df87…
04-25 00:13:48	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6ddfd7…
04-24 22:49:18	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfee265…
04-24 06:14:54	btc updown 5m 1777011000	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x17bef1…
04-24 06:10:00	btc updown 5m 1777010700	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0068f9…
04-24 06:04:42	btc updown 5m 1777010400	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdb962e…
04-24 05:58:36	btc updown 5m 1777010100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x373958…
04-24 05:54:50	btc updown 5m 1777009800	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6ee286…
04-24 05:49:14	btc updown 5m 1777009500	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x476382…
04-24 05:44:42	btc updown 5m 1777009200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x886012…
04-24 00:59:20	btc updown 5m 1776992100	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x68a7e8…
04-24 00:54:24	btc updown 5m 1776991800	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x30d6aa…
04-24 00:49:32	btc updown 5m 1776991500	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4c1e2d…
04-24 00:24:18	btc updown 5m 1776990000	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x68d358…
04-24 00:23:52	btc updown 5m 1776990000	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x029a13…
04-23 23:39:26	btc updown 5m 1776987300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b4cee…