Opulent-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

956

Trades

1,781

lifetime

Volume

$6.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-11 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 89% -$57

Politics

13% 90% -$10

Other

13% 50% +$11

Sports

1% 59% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+1	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	05-22 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	7	$82	75	12	+62	Yes	+$2	04-25 06:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	8	$74	76	12	+64	Down	-$2	08-27 18:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:00 UTC	5	$66	42	32	+10	Down	-$4	08-27 18:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$64	34	34	+0	Yes	+$4	02-01 03:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:15 UTC	6	$60	64	0	+64	Down	+$4	07-27 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$55	56	0	+56	Up	+$1	09-07 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:00 UTC	2	$52	58	0	+58	Down	+$4	04-16 10:04
will trump say too big to rig this week january 25	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$1	01-25 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 02:45 UTC	2	$51	53	0	+53	Down	+$0	04-16 02:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:10 UTC	6	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	07-27 15:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	7	$51	53	0	+53	Down	+$2	07-29 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	09-07 14:53
fif bra hrv 2026 03 31 bra	2	$50	28	28	+0	Yes	+$6	04-01 02:01
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$50	52	0	+52	Up	-$50	09-07 15:18
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-28 22:47
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$49	37	37	+0	No	-$3	01-18 05:55
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	4	$49	51	0	+51	Yes	+$3	04-18 03:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:55 UTC	6	$46	47	0	+47	Down	+$1	07-24 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$46	47	0	+47	Up	+$1	09-07 14:49
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	01-27 23:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:15 UTC	3	$45	46	0	+46	Up	+$1	04-13 22:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	5	$45	49	18	+31	Up	-$4	08-27 18:23
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	3	$42	25	25	+0	No	+$1	01-18 22:11
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$41	45	0	+45	Down	+$4	09-07 13:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:45 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	08-27 23:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC	8	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	07-29 18:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:15 UTC	4	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	08-26 22:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:55 UTC	4	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	08-27 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	09-07 14:33
Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	08-28 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 19:39:46	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5cff58…
09-11 19:39:40	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x6da98f…
09-11 19:39:15	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x79ea40…
09-11 15:16:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xb2933d…
09-07 15:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xca7e33…
09-07 15:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x98864e…
09-07 15:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe5f7db…
09-07 15:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe6a1d7…
09-07 15:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x429296…
09-07 14:57:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x67abb6…
09-07 14:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd70d3…
09-07 14:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8976fa…
09-07 14:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b72d3…
09-07 14:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1ebe9e…
09-07 14:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc76fb5…
09-07 14:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e4e2f…
09-07 14:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b3612…
09-07 14:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16984a…
09-07 14:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1dc39…
09-07 14:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x184642…
09-07 14:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd63a7…
09-07 14:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a748a…
09-07 14:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b44f4…
09-07 14:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd9781c…
09-07 14:33:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x24d5b4…
09-07 14:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x507e1b…
09-07 14:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x147d21…
09-07 13:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6437ac…
09-07 13:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc33c58…
09-07 13:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf6873a…
09-07 13:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x35f164…
09-07 13:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7db119…
09-07 13:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5f7749…
09-07 13:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2645f6…
09-07 13:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0266c6…
09-07 13:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4323f3…
09-07 13:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52648c…
09-07 13:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c7a42…
09-07 13:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93c817…
09-07 13:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04d075…
09-07 13:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfc659a…
09-07 13:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x921df8…
09-07 13:11:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe80b7c…
09-07 13:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2373c5…
09-07 06:53:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4f78ff…
09-07 06:53:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x39df36…
09-07 06:53:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x476cda…
09-07 06:48:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdc11a6…
09-07 06:44:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fca4d…
09-07 06:43:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xda396e…
09-07 06:42:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1508bb…
09-07 06:38:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf97fe8…
09-07 06:38:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3762af…
09-07 06:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1907b…
09-07 06:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x838613…
09-07 06:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd88a9a…
09-07 06:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc050e…
09-07 06:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xec6104…
09-07 06:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x99e4da…
09-07 06:17:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd600de…
08-28 00:18:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x330d9e…
08-28 00:17:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x085719…
08-28 00:16:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc311ec…
08-28 00:13:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x3282c1…
08-28 00:13:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x662b05…
08-28 00:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x300b40…
08-28 00:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43dfeb…
08-28 00:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfeba9e…
08-28 00:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa8510b…
08-27 23:58:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x74c21f…
08-27 23:57:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6ac54…
08-27 23:57:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x64d35b…
08-27 23:57:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbfb694…
08-27 23:53:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7c3057…
08-27 23:53:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x38a38e…
08-27 23:49:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x237e14…
08-27 23:49:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d246b…
08-27 23:49:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47ec84…
08-27 23:49:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x049dc6…
08-27 21:57:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b25c1…
08-27 21:57:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb153a0…
08-27 21:53:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4a9a2e…
08-27 21:53:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe4503f…
08-27 19:13:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6b1743…
08-27 18:28:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x4949df…
08-27 18:27:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9ef1c5…
08-27 18:23:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x13d8a1…
08-27 18:23:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x116116…
08-27 18:23:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf9514f…
08-27 18:22:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x9f3359…
08-27 18:22:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x59a554…
08-27 18:18:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x64c24e…
08-27 18:17:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe48f97…
08-27 18:17:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x734537…
08-27 18:17:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3bbd3a…
08-27 18:17:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7410d8…
08-27 18:17:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5e57c9…
08-27 18:17:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x6be7f0…
08-27 18:16:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9aa9b5…
08-27 18:12:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:10 UTC	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x745e68…