Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$299

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

1 position

First seen

2026-11-03

last 11-11 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 63% -$20

Other

20% — —

Tech

13% — —

Politics

12% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+44	$40	92¢	$41	+$1	11-07 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	11-07 05:38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	11-11 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	11-11 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	11-11 06:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	2	$21	222	222	+0	open	—	11-11 00:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	11-11 08:30
Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	11-07 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$19	33	33	+0	Down	-$1	11-11 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$12	13	1	+12	Up	-$10	11-11 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	11-11 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	11-11 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	11-11 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	11-11 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	11-11 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$10	21	8	+13	Down	-$4	11-11 06:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	11-03 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	11-11 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	11-11 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	11-11 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	11-11 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	11-11 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	-$2	11-11 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	11-11 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	11-11 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	11-11 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 08:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa4844a…
11-11 08:30:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x245c98…
11-11 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe921dc…
11-11 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7e094c…
11-11 06:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93ff97…
11-11 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9c7c1…
11-11 06:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd9ea44…
11-11 06:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x061926…
11-11 06:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7759d8…
11-11 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72b317…
11-11 06:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x194e0a…
11-11 06:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x466f6e…
11-11 06:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x49ffa7…
11-11 06:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcb6a58…
11-11 06:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf017b…
11-11 06:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x275dbf…
11-11 06:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8cf788…
11-11 06:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x86f86d…
11-11 06:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x426b52…
11-11 06:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x56e5ca…
11-11 06:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd42606…
11-11 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfbb82e…
11-11 05:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xadc6b6…
11-11 05:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38d3bd…
11-11 05:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4f4424…
11-11 05:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x503ae0…
11-11 05:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f041d…
11-11 05:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe775d7…
11-11 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x28a81f…
11-11 02:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2aab39…
11-11 02:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x12da19…
11-11 01:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3bed5f…
11-11 01:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xff496f…
11-11 01:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4961e9…
11-11 00:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe6cb31…
11-11 00:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6442d7…
11-11 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0xcbc1b7…
11-11 00:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x295d07…
11-11 00:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xec846f…
11-11 00:49:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x088a16…
11-11 00:43:55	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x3901c0…
11-11 00:40:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	Yes	SELL	222	0¢	$1	0x10d27d…
11-09 06:19:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xb22649…
11-07 05:38:21	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x5beb7f…
11-07 05:27:57	Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xf2472e…
11-06 15:52:30	Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2b08a1…
11-04 12:31:25	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xb1f31d…
11-03 13:06:25	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x7c7173…