Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

294

Trades

2,860

lifetime

Volume

$259.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-08 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Politics

63% 55% -$10,021

Other

27% 50% -$2,054

Crypto

9% 39% +$425

Sports

2% 23% -$109

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	-$25	61¢	$0	+$25	10-08 21:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	199	$44.5K	35,688	35,446	+242	No	-$51	01-17 03:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	88	$18.1K	16,442	12,995	+3,448	Yes	-$3,930	02-28 07:08
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	40	$13.9K	7,579	7,579	+0	No	+$426	02-12 10:50
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	27	$9.5K	5,794	4,794	+1,000	No	+$431	01-13 23:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	60	$8.4K	5,338	4,138	+1,200	No	+$498	02-19 16:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	57	$6.9K	3,900	3,840	+60	No	+$449	01-27 20:25
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	86	$5.2K	3,502	3,502	+0	No	+$319	09-01 01:56
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	27	$5.1K	4,290	2,421	+1,869	Yes	-$1,596	02-28 07:04
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	51	$4.4K	2,572	2,572	+0	No	+$400	08-31 20:54
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	14	$4.4K	2,529	2,502	+27	No	+$341	01-31 11:56
iran strike on israel by january 31	16	$4.1K	2,248	2,148	+100	No	+$249	01-31 21:22
will russia enter kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	49	$3.8K	2,104	2,348	-245	Yes	+$451	02-01 21:07
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	56	$3.7K	2,379	2,376	+3	No	+$387	02-27 23:35
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	41	$3.6K	2,119	2,119	+0	No	+$193	08-28 20:48
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	20	$3.4K	2,585	1,685	+900	No	+$45	01-31 13:32
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	51	$3.1K	1,655	1,655	+0	No	+$85	09-01 03:36
iran strike on us military by february 28	43	$2.7K	9,078	997	+8,081	Yes	-$2,339	02-28 18:51
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	12	$2.7K	2,457	1,761	+696	Yes	-$1,001	02-28 06:37
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	44	$2.6K	3,760	3,537	+223	No	-$1,590	03-15 08:31
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	13	$2.5K	1,329	1,329	+0	No	-$2	02-28 06:36
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 26 715	34	$2.4K	1,305	1,276	+30	No	+$184	01-27 06:22
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	17	$2.3K	2,435	1,298	+1,137	Yes	-$1,310	02-28 06:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$2.3K	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	+$117	02-25 20:52
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	41	$2.3K	1,906	1,812	+94	No	-$265	01-28 01:27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	20	$2.2K	1,718	1,718	+0	Yes	+$252	02-28 07:22
will russia strike kyiv on february 26 2026	26	$2.2K	1,138	1,291	-153	No	+$153	02-27 10:31
Will the US strike Somalia next?	31	$2.1K	1,155	1,155	+0	Yes	+$159	02-04 06:24
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	29	$2.1K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	+$157	02-14 02:00
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	14	$2.1K	1,321	1,071	+250	No	+$167	01-30 10:24
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	08-20 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 21:16:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x22be34…
10-07 10:04:24	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	SELL	150	2¢	$4	0x4ca253…
10-07 10:03:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	99	48¢	$47	0xf5d89d…
10-02 06:44:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	185	46¢	$85	0xbede88…
10-02 06:44:08	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x7ae8a1…
09-18 17:57:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0x674abf…
09-18 17:53:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	89¢	$37	0xdc4843…
09-18 17:48:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	92	89¢	$82	0xee5868…
09-15 10:31:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	SELL	95	86¢	$82	0xcc8450…
09-13 15:03:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	63¢	$77	0x1cf1d5…
09-13 13:36:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	63¢	$77	0x315383…
09-13 13:11:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xde2f4c…
09-13 09:18:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	62	91¢	$57	0x901e3d…
09-12 18:58:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x14040b…
09-12 08:40:33	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 25 2026	No	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x315996…
09-12 08:02:04	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 25 2026	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x52aa6c…
09-12 08:01:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7fb401…
09-12 03:49:19	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x4aa0b7…
09-12 01:44:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x69334a…
09-11 23:01:04	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	241	33¢	$80	0x7796fd…
09-11 18:29:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0x5a6f6f…
09-11 18:19:52	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	70	79¢	$55	0x74cdfc…
09-11 18:11:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0x878778…
09-11 17:27:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	115	88¢	$101	0x744a30…
09-11 15:47:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0x4d7ba3…
09-11 15:08:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x573c4f…
09-11 13:33:01	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0x79edc2…
09-11 06:43:54	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x261c30…
09-11 06:41:52	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	80	78¢	$62	0x79c710…
09-11 02:29:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	86¢	$58	0x29b89b…
09-11 02:18:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x2f68f2…
09-10 23:56:51	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xe9e237…
09-10 20:29:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xc78b78…
09-10 20:17:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0x2dba42…
09-10 20:16:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x99e4fc…
09-10 18:40:45	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x0612ef…
09-10 17:55:00	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbba01e…
09-10 17:01:55	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb0e633…
09-09 16:21:27	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0xbc5f8f…
09-09 16:21:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x34a3c6…
09-09 16:20:31	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x55846c…
09-09 16:18:49	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4e5177…
09-09 04:40:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	284	67¢	$190	0xb2d189…
09-05 14:38:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	323	93¢	$300	0x7af7ee…
09-05 10:33:01	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x9da801…
09-05 10:32:33	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x62fb7f…
09-04 15:19:19	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	No	SELL	104	96¢	$99	0x757f7a…
09-03 00:33:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xdfa452…
09-02 21:56:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x401193…
09-02 20:20:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x24f41c…
09-02 17:50:54	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x72c85a…
09-02 17:50:43	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7dcc64…
09-01 17:01:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x871f20…
09-01 16:13:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xe63c81…
09-01 16:02:34	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	56	51¢	$28	0xba0a24…
09-01 16:01:54	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x05572d…
09-01 16:00:42	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	266	49¢	$130	0x089b7a…
09-01 16:00:27	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	264	51¢	$135	0xd35e40…
09-01 14:53:12	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0xb582c5…
09-01 14:45:16	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	83	65¢	$54	0x60c21a…
09-01 14:44:31	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x405eae…
09-01 14:44:22	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	SELL	190	31¢	$59	0xcc6c44…
09-01 14:44:16	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x9fa7db…
09-01 12:45:15	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0xb582fc…
09-01 11:44:43	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc46ad1…
09-01 10:48:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x7ec45c…
09-01 10:48:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x45a65e…
09-01 10:34:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x45ea15…
09-01 06:45:15	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x54aea3…
09-01 06:15:34	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xee8ccd…
09-01 05:47:03	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe15f8d…
09-01 04:14:40	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x9abda1…
09-01 04:14:27	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x20edd4…
09-01 04:14:10	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xf3eb12…
09-01 04:14:01	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xf59c06…
09-01 03:56:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xcbc826…
09-01 03:55:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x3403bc…
09-01 03:55:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x0a37fd…
09-01 03:53:54	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xfdfeb4…
09-01 03:49:22	us imposes new sanctions on china by september 30	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x2d5975…
09-01 03:49:13	us imposes new sanctions on china by september 30	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xb498d1…
09-01 03:48:42	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 15 2026 159 758	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf373e3…
09-01 03:48:34	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 15 2026 159 758	No	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0x772148…
09-01 03:48:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x3cbdc5…
09-01 03:47:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xd74cd6…
09-01 03:45:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x725395…
09-01 03:36:40	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	608	100¢	$606	0x5d333e…
09-01 03:36:25	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x410ca3…
09-01 03:36:03	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x034267…
09-01 03:35:40	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x767046…
09-01 03:35:13	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7fd60b…
09-01 03:34:54	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf0895e…
09-01 03:34:33	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbae96f…
09-01 03:33:52	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2c665d…
09-01 03:33:48	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc1bc84…
09-01 03:30:39	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa34804…
09-01 03:30:25	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x733b27…
09-01 02:29:57	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	85	91¢	$77	0x7fa471…
09-01 02:22:12	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	SELL	150	93¢	$139	0xe3555f…
09-01 02:15:55	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026 from august 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x47e665…