Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$195

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

610

Trades

1,177

lifetime

Volume

$4.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-09 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 36% -$179

Other

32% 22% -$9

Politics

11% 29% -$7

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes		+1	$0	28¢	$0	+$1	10-05 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$132	150	150	+0	open	—	10-08 22:10
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	6	$123	102	102	+1	open	—	10-05 15:11
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	5	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	10-07 13:24
Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	7	$92	70	66	+4	open	—	10-04 02:36
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	3	$85	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	10-02 04:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	2	$82	59	59	+0	open	—	10-04 20:23
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	10-09 00:59
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	2	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	10-01 19:01
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	10-09 00:59
highest temperature in dallas on march 21 2026 90 91f	2	$33	31	31	+0	Yes	+$28	03-22 07:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-08 07:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	2	$25	73	73	+0	open	—	10-09 01:00
Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-01 19:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:30 UTC	2	$21	20	19	+1	Down	+$2	03-29 07:34
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$21	20	17	+3	open	—	10-01 19:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 03:30 UTC	2	$21	21	21	+0	Down	$0	03-29 00:16
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-09 01:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:40 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$0	03-29 03:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:45 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Up	-$1	03-29 03:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 07:30 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$0	03-29 03:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:50 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Up	-$1	03-29 03:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 07:30 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$0	03-29 03:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:20 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	-$1	03-29 00:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 04:15 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$0	03-29 00:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:35 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Up	-$1	03-29 03:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:30 UTC	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$0	03-29 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:45 UTC	2	$19	20	19	+1	Up	-$1	03-29 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:35 UTC	3	$19	20	19	+1	Down	$0	03-29 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:40 UTC	2	$18	20	19	+1	Up	-$1	03-29 07:34
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	4	$18	27	27	+0	Yes	-$12	10-09 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 01:00:18	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x44c6bf…
10-09 01:00:11	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x9260f9…
10-09 01:00:09	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x9284e9…
10-09 01:00:08	Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xfba123…
10-09 01:00:05	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xdd43c2…
10-09 01:00:03	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	12¢	$9	0x485223…
10-09 01:00:02	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xf999a7…
10-09 00:59:59	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5e6044…
10-09 00:59:57	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x470318…
10-08 22:40:06	Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x05cb8d…
10-08 22:10:50	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xa4fb4b…
10-08 20:38:53	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x8b670b…
10-08 20:07:15	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xda3fbc…
10-08 20:00:23	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xee0b8b…
10-08 20:00:23	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	19	65¢	$13	0xee0b8b…
10-08 19:54:36	Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xee212c…
10-08 19:54:27	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x5d4ea1…
10-08 07:44:40	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xcd33a8…
10-08 00:25:55	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x7505be…
10-07 20:36:14	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x0e94b8…
10-07 18:50:16	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xc367bc…
10-07 18:50:16	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x192fda…
10-07 14:30:20	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x2f7695…
10-07 13:51:26	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x05b9a9…
10-07 13:24:59	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xcc0f97…
10-07 13:06:14	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf3304c…
10-07 06:44:44	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x8f2289…
10-07 00:41:07	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2b4797…
10-07 00:41:05	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0x21aee6…
10-07 00:41:04	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$17	0xc96c7e…
10-05 15:38:11	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1e6024…
10-05 15:11:32	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xa86846…
10-05 15:11:32	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x29c689…
10-05 14:11:38	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x8653a8…
10-05 10:31:32	israel military action against lebanon on october 8	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x2c1c90…
10-05 06:58:19	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcfbea2…
10-05 06:58:19	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x984fbe…
10-04 22:50:46	will mohammed bin abdulrahman al thani attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x7f1636…
10-04 22:50:46	will mohammed bin abdulrahman al thani attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x7f1636…
10-04 20:23:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	59	65¢	$38	0xf26647…
10-04 20:23:34	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	70	74¢	$51	0x06f4fe…
10-04 11:44:17	will mohammed bin abdulrahman al thani attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xbb290f…
10-04 02:36:01	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x6ef467…
10-04 02:34:37	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x038a01…
10-03 01:50:26	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x35bce2…
10-03 01:32:44	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xf7e05c…
10-03 01:23:02	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0xd71042…
10-03 01:23:02	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x237190…
10-03 00:55:06	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xebd4e2…
10-02 23:59:29	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x6a208a…
10-02 12:45:09	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0x8602aa…
10-02 10:49:56	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x9fd8e9…
10-02 10:02:14	Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5a8a24…
10-02 08:52:36	will newt gingrich attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa4dcb4…
10-02 06:45:18	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0x0453cc…
10-02 04:24:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	SELL	55	72¢	$40	0x2e7372…
10-02 01:02:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xa9818e…
10-02 01:00:57	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x90c2e2…
10-01 19:46:21	Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xcea643…
10-01 19:15:06	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x904bb6…
10-01 19:14:56	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x883c19…
10-01 19:01:21	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x2ffc15…
10-01 11:35:06	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$31	0x35e1fd…
10-01 10:09:38	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xcd2df8…
10-01 09:32:08	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x73f3ec…
10-01 07:17:29	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x05da07…
10-01 01:29:06	Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x56d58b…
04-13 21:13:15	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x41f64c…
04-13 14:39:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x64abd1…
04-13 14:22:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc8697f…
04-13 14:21:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x280e98…
04-12 06:11:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0xb9b97b…
04-09 14:07:01	msft above 370 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xd4c295…
04-09 01:17:51	nvda above 175 on april 10 2026	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xed4425…
04-09 00:29:09	nvda above 175 on april 10 2026	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x0359a5…
04-08 22:08:03	pltr above 142 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x747c3c…
04-08 18:37:01	pltr above 144 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4c102d…
04-08 17:46:07	pltr above 145 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x8e0220…
04-08 17:32:45	pltr above 146 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x1c64bc…
04-08 16:31:51	pltr above 148 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x75d043…
04-07 15:25:51	pltr above 154 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xf51311…
04-07 15:15:57	pltr above 153 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xf8469c…
04-07 15:01:53	msft above 380 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x2c00b5…
04-07 14:29:11	pltr above 151 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xd42dda…
04-07 14:11:27	pltr above 149 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xafe697…
04-07 13:49:35	pltr above 152 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x5712a2…
04-07 13:30:33	pltr above 150 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xb951f9…
04-07 12:56:07	pltr above 150 on april 10 2026	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x341405…
04-06 15:45:07	nvda above 175 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xbc90de…
04-06 15:42:51	nvda above 175 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x31f785…
04-06 15:39:43	amzn close above 215 on april 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x49b7aa…
04-06 15:38:39	amzn close above 215 on april 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x56fc56…
04-06 15:37:37	amzn close above 215 on april 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x61174e…
04-06 15:36:33	amzn close above 215 on april 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x39d429…
04-06 15:33:15	googl above 300 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x625dce…
04-06 15:32:59	msft above 380 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa0fab5…
04-06 15:31:51	msft above 370 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xf042c5…
04-06 15:25:39	pltr above 147 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa43939…
04-06 15:25:31	pltr above 148 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9d189b…
04-06 15:25:29	pltr above 151 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xae8cfe…