Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$314

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$55.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$451

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 03-05 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

40% 71% -$442

Crypto

25% 86% -$18

Tech

15% 67% +$264

Other

13% 70% -$166

Sports

7% 100% +$48

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	5	$12.2K	6,900	6,900	+0	No	+$50	02-11 22:31
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$9.5K	4,825	4,825	+0	No	+$156	02-10 07:00
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	3	$5.9K	3,011	3,011	+0	No	+$134	02-20 06:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	9	$4.7K	2,552	2,552	+0	Yes	+$120	03-05 22:46
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	21	$3.5K	2,097	2,097	+0	Yes	+$144	02-25 06:57
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$3.5K	1,805	1,805	+0	Yes	+$46	02-16 09:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	12	$3.2K	1,634	1,742	-108	Yes	+$13	02-25 06:31
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$2.3K	1,443	1,443	+0	No	-$90	02-24 02:36
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$1.5K	105	1,465	-1,361	No	-$66	02-21 05:45
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	+$35	02-11 22:13
will trump say china during the state of the union address	2	$760	786	0	+786	No	-$760	02-24 23:10
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$619	339	339	+0	No	+$19	02-24 12:28
will trump say iran during the state of the union address	3	$615	316	316	+0	Yes	+$15	02-25 06:14
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$418	220	220	+0	No	+$18	02-22 20:28
bitcoin up or down on february 12	2	$410	244	244	+0	Down	+$10	02-12 10:14
ethereum up or down on february 12	2	$409	252	252	+0	Down	+$9	02-12 04:58
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$406	207	207	+0	No	+$6	02-24 02:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$277	142	142	+0	Yes	+$7	01-30 12:54
iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	2	$267	141	140	+1	No	+$6	01-30 11:19
will goat second weekend box office be between 15m and 17pt5m	2	$210	117	117	+0	Yes	+$10	02-22 21:57
xrp up or down on february 12	2	$206	106	106	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 21:17
highest temperature in atlanta on february 22 2026 52 53f	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	02-22 21:56
will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 22	2	$206	117	117	+0	No	+$6	02-22 11:36
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$202	104	104	+0	No	+$2	02-19 20:31
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	02-19 20:32
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	2	$202	106	106	+0	Yes	+$2	02-22 08:36
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	02-21 23:19
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	02-13 20:33
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$199	108	108	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 09:50
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$199	132	132	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-05 22:46:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	2,052	95¢	$1,949	0xab2c64…
03-03 08:24:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xdb8694…
03-02 22:14:07	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x179a83…
02-28 22:24:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2,004	89¢	$1,792	0xfdd237…
02-27 05:49:34	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7e3ef6…
02-27 05:48:54	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	Yes	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0x065709…
02-27 05:47:52	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	Yes	SELL	134	72¢	$96	0xbe04d1…
02-27 05:46:54	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	Yes	BUY	134	74¢	$100	0xf41e94…
02-25 06:57:50	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	604	93¢	$564	0xdcf94e…
02-25 06:31:36	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,100	96¢	$1,058	0xefb82e…
02-25 06:14:48	will trump say iran during the state of the union address	Yes	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0x0cb1d4…
02-24 23:11:18	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	677	96¢	$652	0x9a558f…
02-24 23:10:42	will trump say china during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	682	97¢	$660	0x80245c…
02-24 12:29:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x56f8a1…
02-24 12:28:28	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	339	94¢	$319	0x505efd…
02-24 02:36:48	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	SELL	1,443	77¢	$1,108	0xd79040…
02-24 02:06:16	will trump say iran during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x66482c…
02-24 02:05:22	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4d1912…
02-24 02:04:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0x37db83…
02-24 01:37:18	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xcdf782…
02-23 19:55:08	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xbd8962…
02-23 11:19:30	will trump say iran during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x3444af…
02-23 11:18:54	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x953c88…
02-23 00:22:36	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x1d2613…
02-23 00:20:20	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7d5c3c…
02-23 00:20:10	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	642	96¢	$614	0xaef945…
02-23 00:17:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x41e4a6…
02-22 21:57:34	will goat second weekend box office be between 15m and 17pt5m	Yes	SELL	117	94¢	$110	0xf3fa8c…
02-22 21:56:56	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5a9700…
02-22 21:56:12	highest temperature in atlanta on february 22 2026 52 53f	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xef04f7…
02-22 20:28:30	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0xeb53c7…
02-22 11:38:32	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	522	96¢	$502	0x71ca60…
02-22 11:36:10	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 22	Yes	SELL	117	90¢	$106	0xccda36…
02-22 09:52:12	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0xc3aaa5…
02-22 09:51:44	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6045cc…
02-22 09:50:16	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	108	92¢	$99	0x01259e…
02-22 09:48:54	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x116c99…
02-22 09:48:30	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x53e9a3…
02-22 09:38:16	will goat second weekend box office be between 15m and 17pt5m	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xb3e5bf…
02-22 09:37:26	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xa9411c…
02-22 09:36:48	will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x451771…
02-22 09:36:18	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8753d2…
02-22 09:35:50	will trump say china during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x831a59…
02-22 09:34:04	highest temperature in atlanta on february 22 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5bc6ee…
02-22 09:32:36	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 22	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0xe83eea…
02-22 09:30:26	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	SELL	132	75¢	$99	0x9dfe13…
02-22 08:36:04	new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	Yes	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0x0ea68c…
02-22 03:50:12	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x184db9…
02-21 23:20:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x04f0d8…
02-21 23:19:58	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xbb7b28…
02-21 22:23:48	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x3f2e76…
02-21 22:22:08	new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x50d556…
02-21 22:03:50	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x45749a…
02-21 21:50:40	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xcd98ac…
02-21 05:47:58	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7edc61…
02-21 05:45:22	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xf8744a…
02-21 01:48:46	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x9ca17c…
02-20 21:03:22	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x0e24ff…
02-20 20:57:40	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xba245d…
02-20 20:57:00	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x2c8183…
02-20 09:47:38	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xdb52b5…
02-20 07:04:00	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x89e284…
02-20 06:47:30	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	SELL	3,011	100¢	$3,008	0xb3905d…
02-19 22:39:10	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x2c4a5b…
02-19 20:32:24	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x3d7134…
02-19 20:31:56	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x658e72…
02-19 20:31:16	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	123	80¢	$99	0x144a51…
02-19 20:31:04	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x3f2091…
02-19 20:30:50	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x295d57…
02-19 20:30:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	148	80¢	$119	0x791f9e…
02-19 20:28:32	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0x02d76b…
02-19 20:26:38	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	700	80¢	$561	0x81146d…
02-19 06:23:44	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	566	98¢	$552	0x5906ff…
02-18 21:45:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x228677…
02-18 21:03:16	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	2,446	95¢	$2,322	0x39e746…
02-18 11:06:18	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb58862…
02-18 11:05:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x6c62a6…
02-18 11:05:02	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	1,361	95¢	$1,290	0x350966…
02-17 20:47:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x6cc6ff…
02-17 20:46:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xd5574f…
02-16 22:53:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0x220c6e…
02-16 22:51:01	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x62cd87…
02-16 09:17:01	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	1,805	98¢	$1,774	0xa37a2f…
02-16 00:21:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x88ad56…
02-15 03:48:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0xc752d7…
02-15 03:11:05	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x8b5c36…
02-15 03:08:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd13365…
02-14 21:14:15	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,362	97¢	$1,328	0xa2f9bb…
02-14 13:41:49	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xb515ab…
02-13 22:14:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x105c42…
02-13 20:34:41	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xafed68…
02-13 20:33:49	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x1b30db…
02-13 12:07:31	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x5de59f…
02-12 22:29:21	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9c9835…
02-12 21:17:01	xrp up or down on february 12	Up	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x4499d4…
02-12 10:31:37	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2e819e…
02-12 10:26:51	solana up or down on february 12	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x92ed05…
02-12 10:26:23	xrp up or down on february 12	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7c029f…
02-12 10:14:17	bitcoin up or down on february 12	Up	SELL	244	86¢	$210	0xbb62cf…
02-12 04:58:59	ethereum up or down on february 12	Up	SELL	252	83¢	$209	0x4de234…