Trusting-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$477

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-04 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$18

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-6	-$5	98¢	$-5	$0	11-04 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 16	1	$2.1K	2,125	0	+2,125	No	+$4	04-16 21:23
solana above 100 on april 16	1	$2.1K	2,121	0	+2,121	No	+$4	04-16 02:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 15	1	$2.1K	2,118	0	+2,118	No	+$4	04-15 07:38
ethereum above 2600 on april 14	1	$2.1K	2,114	0	+2,114	No	+$4	04-14 02:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	1	$2.1K	2,110	0	+2,110	No	+$6	04-13 03:42
ethereum above 2000 on april 12	1	$2.1K	2,104	0	+2,104	Yes	+$2	04-12 02:54
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	No	+$6	04-11 04:52
will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on april 10	1	$2.1K	2,095	0	+2,095	No	+$4	04-10 03:50
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on april 9	1	$2.1K	2,091	0	+2,091	No	+$4	04-09 07:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 8	1	$2.1K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$6	04-08 03:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	1	$2.1K	2,082	0	+2,082	No	+$4	04-07 03:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-19 06:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-30 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-12 12:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-03 13:18
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-12 04:13
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-30 03:27
bitcoin above 68k on july 9 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-08 05:58
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	08-11 05:34
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	07-13 08:29
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	4	$17	8,392	0	+8,392	No	-$17	04-01 03:21
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	07-24 08:28
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	07-01 08:53
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	08-20 03:39
xrp above 1 on april 5	2	$8	4,187	0	+4,187	Yes	-$8	04-05 01:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-25 09:01
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	11-04 09:41
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-20 07:54
xrp above 1pt7 on april 18	1	$4	2,116	0	+2,116	No	-$4	04-18 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:41:22	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x45ff4d…
09-09 07:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe2d543…
09-09 07:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xd2a024…
09-09 07:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x97f11f…
09-09 07:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x1978de…
09-09 07:18:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa45972…
09-09 07:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa9184c…
09-09 07:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xee757d…
09-09 07:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x98490d…
09-09 07:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x31b9b4…
09-09 07:18:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xd4264a…
09-09 07:18:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xba30dc…
09-09 07:18:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x3f6f26…
09-09 07:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x078aa0…
09-09 07:18:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x825922…
08-20 03:39:46	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2ab305…
08-11 05:34:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3211e3…
08-06 03:44:17	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf98b12…
07-30 03:27:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf0aed6…
07-24 08:28:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfd9514…
07-13 08:29:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4b80e0…
07-08 05:58:01	bitcoin above 68k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3ebca6…
07-01 08:53:44	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x161b4e…
06-25 09:01:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x67a4a3…
06-20 07:54:53	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde9da0…
06-12 04:13:09	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc71008…
05-30 13:35:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0f118b…
05-19 06:34:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfc1a15…
05-12 12:23:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x921708…
05-03 13:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x349338…
04-22 07:56:02	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 22	Yes	BUY	2,085	0¢	$4	0xb5aee6…
04-18 08:52:00	xrp above 1pt7 on april 18	Yes	BUY	2,116	0¢	$4	0xdb79ce…
04-16 21:23:20	will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 16	No	BUY	2,125	100¢	$2,121	0x43c527…
04-16 02:38:58	solana above 100 on april 16	No	BUY	2,121	100¢	$2,117	0xb7527f…
04-15 07:38:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 15	No	BUY	2,118	100¢	$2,114	0x720e04…
04-14 02:33:45	ethereum above 2600 on april 14	No	BUY	2,114	100¢	$2,109	0xf8a316…
04-13 03:42:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	No	BUY	2,110	100¢	$2,103	0xe30bd3…
04-12 02:54:23	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	2,104	100¢	$2,101	0xc6aaf3…
04-11 04:52:57	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	2,102	100¢	$2,096	0x3bc21c…
04-10 03:50:19	will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on april 10	No	BUY	2,095	100¢	$2,091	0xa0320c…
04-09 07:19:55	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on april 9	No	BUY	2,091	100¢	$2,087	0xb535b0…
04-08 03:15:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 8	No	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,082	0x9e8015…
04-07 03:24:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	No	BUY	2,082	100¢	$2,078	0x5efae2…
04-05 01:49:29	xrp above 1 on april 5	No	BUY	2,093	0¢	$4	0xaa539c…
04-05 01:48:29	xrp above 1 on april 5	No	BUY	2,094	0¢	$4	0x7c5636…
04-01 03:21:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	2,098	0¢	$4	0x784e71…
04-01 03:21:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	2,098	0¢	$4	0xb69805…
04-01 03:20:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	2,098	0¢	$4	0x3050d3…
04-01 03:19:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	2,098	0¢	$4	0xb21bb4…