Capital-Bouquet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

729

Trades

6,140

lifetime

Volume

$123.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$202

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-26 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Sports

57% 71% +$820

Other

43% 46% +$3,824

Tech

0% 0% -$17

Crypto

0% 100% +$10

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+200	$126	66¢	$131	+$5	10-20 17:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+200	$107	34¢	$69	-$38	09-06 17:28
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+200	$3	1¢	$2	$0	10-21 15:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	148	$45.2K	22,810	22,809	+0	No	+$169	07-05 14:54
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	15	$5.4K	2,751	2,751	+0	No	+$10	08-12 22:51
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	111	$5.2K	4,550	4,550	+0	No	+$96	07-18 19:44
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$4.1K	2,511	1,849	+662	No	+$151	07-11 23:38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$1.8K	4,900	4,900	+0	No	+$76	07-05 20:19
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	49	$1.8K	1,771	1,771	+0	No	-$14	07-13 13:52
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$1.5K	1,650	1,650	+0	Yes	+$296	07-18 23:33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$1.3K	2,724	2,724	+0	No	+$71	07-01 17:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?	30	$1.0K	973	973	+0	Yes	+$740	06-19 08:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	27	$939	886	802	+83	No	-$19	09-16 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	11	$811	426	426	+0	Yes	+$21	10-25 15:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	83	$792	1,452	1,148	+303	Yes	+$949	06-03 10:09
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	17	$784	1,909	1,909	+0	open	—	10-25 16:19
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	5	$738	400	400	+0	open	—	08-23 20:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	22	$725	720	720	+0	Yes	+$225	08-07 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?	4	$691	703	0	+703	No	+$11	07-11 07:50
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?	8	$684	385	385	+0	Yes	+$66	06-18 16:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?	10	$676	356	356	+0	Yes	+$21	09-16 07:30
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?	46	$620	934	934	+0	Yes	+$554	06-12 15:46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?	7	$562	365	365	+0	Yes	+$104	06-21 16:48
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?	4	$534	314	314	+0	No	+$22	07-23 06:03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?	17	$527	474	474	+0	No	+$103	07-13 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	10	$502	676	676	+0	No	+$42	08-08 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?	44	$477	532	532	+0	No	-$28	05-31 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	20	$452	328	328	+0	Yes	+$45	05-22 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 10?	3	$433	224	224	+0	No	+$11	08-08 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	12	$413	397	397	+0	No	-$13	08-09 09:14
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	5	$413	223	223	+0	open	—	09-13 17:05
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	21	$410	120,000	120,000	+0	No	-$70	06-27 04:57
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	5	$397	400	200	+200	open	—	10-21 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:50:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x641833…
10-26 16:49:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xc9306f…
10-26 16:49:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x09b46f…
10-26 16:48:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x5e22de…
10-26 16:47:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x48ed6e…
10-26 15:09:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x926efd…
10-26 14:37:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	94	26¢	$24	0xc15e7f…
10-26 13:48:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	84	26¢	$21	0x3ef9b6…
10-26 13:01:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x28be32…
10-26 09:09:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0xca2338…
10-26 07:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x17089a…
10-26 06:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x969e72…
10-26 06:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	32	70¢	$23	0x24d0da…
10-26 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xedb347…
10-26 05:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x7ec2dc…
10-26 04:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x26b500…
10-26 04:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc5260e…
10-26 04:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x5fc048…
10-26 04:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c4e7b…
10-26 04:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x56cf74…
10-26 04:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x1bc660…
10-26 04:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x198e46…
10-26 02:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	480	2¢	$12	0x9d49fe…
10-26 02:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x273708…
10-26 00:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	546	1¢	$8	0x8363b1…
10-25 22:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x69fe92…
10-25 22:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8d9d88…
10-25 22:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x620bd9…
10-25 22:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xea81fc…
10-25 22:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xdc9b23…
10-25 22:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x74b140…
10-25 20:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd03836…
10-25 20:17:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xc948f5…
10-25 20:17:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x98fb66…
10-25 20:17:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x2aff5c…
10-25 18:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x31c420…
10-25 18:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x856b08…
10-25 18:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf408a1…
10-25 18:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xaaa129…
10-25 17:38:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x3ef330…
10-25 17:24:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	65	21¢	$14	0xed9fce…
10-25 16:19:45	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,309	13¢	$170	0x4ec10c…
10-25 15:38:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x5ac260…
10-25 15:25:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x9a9eca…
10-25 15:24:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x6fbadc…
10-25 15:23:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb7abcf…
10-25 15:22:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xaad8e9…
10-25 15:22:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x98d7ca…
10-25 15:21:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x48ce2f…
10-25 15:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	392	100¢	$391	0x198694…
10-25 15:21:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x28a2c3…
10-25 15:20:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0e6768…
10-25 15:19:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x22c943…
10-25 15:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xe0f132…
10-25 15:14:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x11c266…
10-25 15:14:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x763409…
10-25 15:14:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2a942b…
10-25 15:14:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xedc88a…
10-25 15:14:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x80e884…
10-25 15:08:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x9656ab…
10-25 15:06:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xe3d344…
10-25 15:04:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x37ff8d…
10-25 14:45:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5cb491…
10-25 14:45:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfd80d1…
10-25 14:45:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb000ac…
10-25 14:38:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x157843…
10-25 14:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb3f9a3…
10-25 14:24:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x946b0f…
10-25 14:22:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x09f67d…
10-25 14:08:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x03b863…
10-25 14:06:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0xac2b66…
10-25 13:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf9fa3e…
10-25 13:06:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xe6cccd…
10-25 12:19:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x90ff1a…
10-25 11:50:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x46b1fd…
10-25 11:17:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb4c9cb…
10-25 10:35:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x5f2914…
10-25 07:30:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc3e126…
10-25 06:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	392	96¢	$376	0x2f08a5…
10-25 06:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0x9e2ebe…
10-25 05:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6aacb8…
10-25 05:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe7fc12…
10-25 05:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0b29a2…
10-25 05:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x92f62c…
10-25 05:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7c8e96…
10-25 05:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3941a0…
10-25 05:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x219671…
10-25 05:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x56b393…
10-25 05:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x0f7f56…
10-25 05:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x4d620b…
10-25 05:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0c3ead…
10-25 05:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x64eea6…
10-25 05:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x2b6890…
10-25 04:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 25?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x20df70…
10-24 22:07:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xf898e4…
10-24 22:03:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xe4568f…
10-24 22:03:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xccc7cf…
10-24 22:03:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xcc79b9…
10-24 22:03:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x2f0d29…
10-24 22:03:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$5	0x751e03…