Knowledgeable-Thousand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$464

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

261

Trades

603

lifetime

Volume

$6.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 11-06 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

88% 56% +$493

Crypto

8% 34% +$60

Politics

4% 17% -$78

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes		+20	$9	52¢	$10	+$2	11-05 23:48
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 11 09 2026 0pt06	Yes		+30	$15	20¢	$6	-$9	10-27 02:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$232	317	317	+0	Yes	-$75	10-25 23:28
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	10	$149	305	121	+184	No	-$34	11-04 22:00
Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$148	170	170	+0	No	+$46	10-22 02:44
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$147	151	132	+19	No	+$2	11-03 13:33
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$133	105	105	+0	Yes	+$14	10-31 16:22
chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 0pt43	4	$117	228	228	+0	No	+$58	06-05 10:33
mrvl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 27 2026 0pt93	2	$115	88	88	+0	Yes	+$18	08-18 00:04
mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	6	$114	167	80	+87	No	+$3	06-06 04:46
nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	3	$113	79	79	+0	Yes	+$24	07-25 00:18
khc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt53	3	$110	85	85	+0	Yes	+$30	07-26 18:51
crl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt73	4	$108	86	86	+0	Yes	+$29	07-25 18:46
rum quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt1	3	$106	80	80	+0	No	+$23	08-02 23:25
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$105	100	77	+23	Yes	+$54	10-31 05:20
wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 1pt58	7	$96	63	63	+0	Yes	+$17	04-13 12:42
Missouri State vs. Delaware	2	$96	80	80	+0	Delaware	-$6	10-21 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$95	72	72	+0	Down	+$45	10-26 01:28
Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$89	120	50	+70	Yes	+$55	10-24 02:38
dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	2	$88	60	60	+0	Yes	+$25	07-26 00:26
Will JetBlue (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$82	196	50	+146	No	-$31	10-24 02:37
Will O'Reilly (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$80	70	70	+0	Yes	+$14	10-26 21:08
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$76	90	90	+0	No	+$12	10-27 02:30
tsco quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 22 2026 0pt41	3	$73	70	50	+20	Yes	+$32	10-17 18:19
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$72	120	90	+30	No	+$43	05-11 23:48
play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt66	4	$72	62	62	+0	No	+$22	06-08 15:00
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$72	104	0	+104	No	-$72	09-17 00:38
kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	2	$71	80	80	+0	Yes	+$9	06-12 00:32
dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	4	$70	159	84	+75	Yes	-$1	06-07 23:51
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?	8	$68	99	60	+39	No	+$31	05-10 22:55
cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	2	$66	130	0	+130	No	-$66	07-25 01:21
aso quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt92	7	$66	123	93	+30	Yes	+$20	06-07 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x50901c…
11-06 01:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x993123…
11-05 23:48:31	Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xfef4c6…
11-05 21:26:55	Will CoreWeave (CRWV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	86	13¢	$11	0xcb383a…
11-05 15:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b770a…
11-05 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x822c1b…
11-05 15:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6d3e11…
11-05 15:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xbdb239…
11-05 15:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x598997…
11-05 15:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd50be8…
11-05 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd9ffba…
11-05 15:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe74925…
11-05 15:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa308a1…
11-04 22:04:13	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0x92a738…
11-04 22:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xff6dcd…
11-04 22:00:54	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0xf86324…
11-04 01:27:04	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x5e9a07…
11-04 01:26:33	Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xab40b6…
11-03 23:10:04	Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xdb00fe…
11-03 23:03:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe88e2f…
11-03 13:34:21	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x6ca58f…
11-03 13:33:51	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	132	56¢	$74	0x978ad9…
11-03 04:23:04	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x88c1d4…
11-03 04:16:36	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x4c6d5f…
11-03 03:17:22	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x2723ba…
11-03 02:54:30	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	151	48¢	$72	0x422f9f…
11-03 02:29:25	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xaf97d4…
11-03 02:15:36	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0788c0…
11-03 02:14:13	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x899f95…
11-02 19:18:24	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x992367…
11-02 16:06:54	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7d9e45…
11-02 12:02:03	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x44f7f7…
11-02 03:44:10	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x73a059…
11-02 03:43:54	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x4f6667…
11-02 03:42:54	Will FIS (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xbfea57…
11-01 16:57:30	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xa95cca…
11-01 16:48:01	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x859098…
10-31 16:28:19	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x69d4ec…
10-31 16:22:13	Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0x5679ae…
10-31 16:07:33	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbd9214…
10-31 16:06:19	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf3aab…
10-31 16:05:52	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0x6b2c3f…
10-31 06:52:40	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x33726a…
10-31 05:20:36	Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	77	88¢	$68	0xfccb46…
10-31 03:28:45	Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x679a8c…
10-31 03:14:03	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xe1fffd…
10-31 00:25:31	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xc68cd6…
10-29 01:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd53d94…
10-29 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc0d829…
10-29 01:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x2b55f3…
10-29 00:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa6728c…
10-29 00:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0x0dff37…
10-29 00:42:37	Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x8348c3…
10-28 23:40:56	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xbde3bb…
10-28 23:33:56	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	135	30¢	$41	0x6b2b41…
10-28 23:19:16	Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x89d0bb…
10-28 23:18:20	Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x277a89…
10-28 23:17:26	Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xa33d81…
10-28 23:05:08	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf036f2…
10-28 23:04:19	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x330cad…
10-28 23:03:55	Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc46561…
10-28 01:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x8a8d14…
10-28 01:15:27	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x2a7d73…
10-28 01:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x309bc9…
10-28 01:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x5d8e7e…
10-28 01:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5d6364…
10-28 00:53:20	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x15e490…
10-28 00:48:38	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x8fb625…
10-27 11:51:02	Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xa27aea…
10-27 02:42:56	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 02 2026 2pt13	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x523b9b…
10-27 02:33:56	tsem quarterly earnings gaap eps 11 02 2026 1pt10	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6589a0…
10-27 02:30:18	Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0x3a3380…
10-27 02:28:42	all quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 6pt97	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x944abd…
10-27 02:24:36	crl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 3pt00	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5fd33e…
10-27 02:22:54	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x193571…
10-27 02:13:20	Will DuPont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xd4a67f…
10-27 02:11:35	pltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 02 2026 0pt42	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb57b62…
10-27 02:10:39	clx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 02 2026 1pt08	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x0fdd92…
10-27 02:06:23	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 11 09 2026 0pt06	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2b5eba…
10-27 02:02:51	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 09 2026 1pt47	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x01a13b…
10-27 02:00:29	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 11 04 2026 0pt65	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6f1266…
10-26 23:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdaeadc…
10-26 23:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x7ab18f…
10-26 23:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xf5d01e…
10-26 23:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6b47b6…
10-26 23:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x31874a…
10-26 22:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x2b1afb…
10-26 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xe00a18…
10-26 21:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0xc4d8b2…
10-26 21:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x722b90…
10-26 21:08:44	Will O'Reilly (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xe0d5cf…
10-26 21:05:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x81ae6f…
10-26 21:05:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x62447c…
10-26 21:04:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3c3bff…
10-26 20:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x76b2d0…
10-26 01:36:24	Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0xb2f30f…
10-26 01:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x061563…
10-26 01:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0xd76200…
10-26 01:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3ad764…
10-26 01:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x8cf0de…