Charming-Expedition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

123

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$340

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-04 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 84% -$2

Other

40% 83% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	—	+4	$4	98¢	$4	+$0	11-04 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	3	$27	14	14	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$1	04-22 17:33
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	2	$16	8	8	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$0	04-27 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 04:58
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	2	$10	5	5	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$0	04-21 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-27 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	04-26 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	04-26 14:23
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$9	5	5	+0	Punjab Kings	+$0	04-19 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:25 UTC	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	04-23 01:28
val pr1 ge1 2026 04 24	2	$7	4	4	+0	Paper Rex	+$1	04-24 13:00
val rrq1 fs1 2026 04 24	4	$7	6	6	+0	Rex Regum Qeon	+$3	04-24 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	5	$5	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	11-04 04:34
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	3	$4	2	2	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$0	04-18 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	11-04 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	-$4	06-04 03:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:25 UTC	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	04-21 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	11-04 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	11-04 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	04-27 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:00 UTC	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	04-21 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:10 UTC	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	04-21 20:12
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	2	$3	8	0	+8	Global Esports	-$3	05-07 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-29 08:03
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	2	$3	2	2	+0	fnatic	+$1	10-09 18:43
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	2	$3	4	4	+0	100 Thieves	+$1	10-09 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x490b81…
11-04 13:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x242353…
11-04 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4366c5…
11-04 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc6123a…
11-04 13:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8cf2f4…
11-04 13:13:42	Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	PuckChamp	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xaacf39…
11-04 13:12:57	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x610b7a…
11-04 13:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf49512…
11-04 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a8054…
11-04 11:16:10	Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	PuckChamp	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9796db…
11-04 11:15:24	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeb2435…
11-04 11:14:49	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd99e96…
11-04 11:12:00	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1b93f3…
11-04 06:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2b82a0…
11-04 05:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc125c0…
11-04 05:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x38c782…
11-04 05:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x976b90…
11-04 05:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdf3a57…
11-04 05:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x9cf253…
11-04 05:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd1131b…
11-04 05:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2af0c3…
11-04 05:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbb63f8…
11-04 05:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0e4f5c…
11-04 04:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2c88fa…
11-04 04:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1d359e…
11-04 04:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbd1568…
11-04 04:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7289b9…
11-04 04:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xbaab0f…
11-04 04:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaacb44…
11-04 04:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x882eec…
11-04 04:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x809697…
11-04 04:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1773f3…
11-04 04:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3edfef…
11-04 04:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x584569…
11-04 04:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb45e17…
11-04 04:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x45d3f4…
11-04 04:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xd544f7…
11-04 04:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbc8fa4…
10-30 14:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x158843…
10-30 14:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x544804…
10-29 08:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xc25056…
10-29 08:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf6a4df…
10-29 08:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x609177…
10-29 08:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf69897…
10-29 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd20714…
10-29 07:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe39a98…
10-27 13:08:02	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	No Hoodwink	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x208d63…
10-27 13:07:26	Valorant: Wolves Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Wolves Esports	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd7c05e…
10-27 13:04:08	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4afeb4…
10-12 08:46:19	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x156e39…
10-12 08:46:09	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Misa Esports (BO5) - Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier Playoffs	BBL Esports	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb91daf…
10-12 06:54:34	Valorant: BBL Esports vs Misa Esports (BO5) - Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier Playoffs	BBL Esports	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x640ad0…
10-12 06:54:17	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs XI Esport (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf95fed…
10-09 18:45:56	lol koia tlnpir 2026 10 09	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2f32b4…
10-09 18:45:49	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 10 09	Spirit	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x1fa153…
10-09 18:44:26	cs2 is noirve 2026 10 09	Iberian Soul	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x024e99…
10-09 18:44:16	val ff3 bbl1 2026 10 09	Fire Flux Esports	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53ed74…
10-09 18:43:55	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	fnatic	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd171e…
10-09 17:36:13	cs2 is noirve 2026 10 09	Iberian Soul	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x077c8e…
10-09 17:35:47	val ff3 bbl1 2026 10 09	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe32120…
10-09 17:35:22	lol koia tlnpir 2026 10 09	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7575b8…
10-09 17:34:49	cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 10 09	Spirit	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf58e7e…
10-09 17:33:04	cs2 vita unity 2026 10 09	UNiTY esports	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x56fc10…
10-09 17:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcce0f3…
10-09 17:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9599e9…
10-09 16:59:48	cs2 fnc k271 2026 10 09	fnatic	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8848a3…
10-09 16:56:46	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4ebce3…
10-09 16:54:22	Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Majstrovstvá SR Playoffs	UNiTY esports	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa537ea…
10-09 16:52:59	LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Galions	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0d2327…
10-09 16:52:28	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8fc36…
10-09 16:51:56	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	Alter Ego	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf235f0…
10-09 14:53:31	LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Galions	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf97306…
10-09 14:52:28	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs	NAVI Junior	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa404cb…
10-09 14:51:52	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs	Alter Ego	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x429033…
10-09 14:50:03	cs2 faze pure 2026 10 09	FaZe	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x094b71…
10-09 14:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ba748…
10-09 14:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x051b3b…
10-09 14:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x94bdbb…
10-09 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0eb0f9…
10-09 14:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd787df…
10-09 14:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb6f25b…
10-09 14:17:46	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Nongshim RedForce	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xf6a917…
10-09 14:06:49	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2fabb4…
10-09 11:54:18	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x075839…
08-22 10:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22a1de…
08-22 10:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3e2930…
08-17 15:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x038ce6…
08-17 15:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x04acbc…
08-17 15:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe80a5a…
08-17 13:07:42	cs2 ence berg 2026 08 17	ENCE	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3cca10…
08-17 13:07:31	cs2 ence berg 2026 08 17 game2	ENCE	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbebe2e…
08-17 11:43:13	cs2 ence berg 2026 08 17 game2	ENCE	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbde2c9…
08-17 11:30:13	cs2 ence berg 2026 08 17	ENCE	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x38b690…
08-08 11:53:48	val ge1 zeta2 2026 08 08	ZETA DIVISION	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x04e40c…
07-19 16:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbb30cb…
07-19 16:31:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbbe535…
07-19 15:51:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x61e7e3…
07-19 15:43:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x61386b…
07-19 15:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc55a23…
06-04 03:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x41446d…