Stable-Albatross — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$444

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-09 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

92% 50% +$39

Sports

3% 14% $-483

Politics

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		+20	$12	50¢	$10	$-2	06-01 16:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	7	$5.6K	3,833	3,776	+57	open	—	04-25 16:45
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	5	$1.1K	2,318	1,139	+1,179	open	—	04-23 21:26
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 ovi	8	$688	1,870	1,831	+39	open	—	04-23 21:24
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?	3	$556	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	04-25 13:25
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$501	1,353	0	+1,353	open	—	04-14 18:25
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	4	$460	866	0	+866	No	$-460	05-06 17:46
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$412	263	263	+0	open	—	05-15 20:11
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	3	$403	1,541	1,114	+428	open	—	04-14 21:00
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	2	$402	873	0	+873	open	—	04-14 18:25
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	9	$392	263	263	+0	Yes	+$92	05-13 17:36
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	5	$286	322	160	+162	open	—	04-15 20:55
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 140 159	12	$248	225	225	+0	open	—	04-17 15:37
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$235	454	0	+454	open	—	05-30 15:14
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-25?	2	$190	143	140	+3	open	—	04-28 02:22
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-27?	2	$186	139	136	+3	open	—	04-28 04:03
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-26?	2	$186	139	136	+3	open	—	04-26 18:56
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	2	$183	136	133	+3	open	—	04-28 04:04
lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	3	$170	117	115	+2	open	—	04-23 21:52
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$170	117	115	+2	open	—	04-26 16:15
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-27?	2	$168	180	176	+4	open	—	04-27 20:36
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	2	$161	108	106	+2	open	—	04-26 21:10
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	1	$143	0	163	-163	open	—	04-26 16:08
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?	2	$131	227	111	+116	open	—	04-26 18:06
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	9	$116	194	66	+128	open	—	04-17 16:16
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	4	$106	85	85	+0	open	—	05-14 19:26
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	3	$95	167	0	+167	open	—	05-01 17:37
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	6	$86	121	10	+111	open	—	04-24 15:46
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	2	$85	355	0	+355	open	—	04-15 20:03
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 7pm et	4	$79	51	49	+2	open	—	04-24 00:01
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	2	$74	49	49	+0	open	—	05-14 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:32:45	fif idn moz 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf05a9e…
06-08 20:28:51	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x4d7b0d…
06-08 13:20:07	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x04369e…
06-07 16:13:54	Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7af5d1…
06-05 13:13:57	Azerbaijan vs. Malta: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x31210e…
06-05 13:13:45	Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5)	Malta	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x24d329…
06-02 16:59:19	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xecb246…
06-02 15:17:44	Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet	Oliver Tarvet	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcc291b…
06-01 18:40:08	Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xc0b31e…
06-01 17:16:34	Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x62e606…
06-01 16:41:43	Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3d5680…
06-01 16:18:37	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xde189b…
06-01 12:21:38	Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfd310b…
06-01 11:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0cacee…
06-01 11:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb8dafa…
06-01 11:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x128874…
06-01 11:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x32a335…
06-01 11:32:03	Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd7e44b…
05-31 20:08:54	United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xea0b21…
05-31 17:04:37	Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x28ac87…
05-31 14:14:36	Czechia vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xaf3670…
05-30 15:14:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x6b4723…
05-30 01:25:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xa624f7…
05-29 18:36:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x10abdc…
05-29 16:50:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x63d5fb…
05-29 16:46:04	Andorra vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x25ae52…
05-28 14:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xef8d84…
05-28 14:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd0273a…
05-28 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2212a4…
05-28 13:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x714c85…
05-28 12:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xec409b…
05-28 12:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb4ce15…
05-28 12:12:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf057c7…
05-28 01:41:53	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa5737d…
05-28 01:40:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Toronto Tempo	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2b16af…
05-27 19:27:07	Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7d00c9…
05-27 14:15:00	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6ab1ab…
05-27 14:02:54	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc0db14…
05-17 17:19:11	Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xca7787…
05-15 20:11:30	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	263	98¢	$257	0xc64cd0…
05-15 18:02:25	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5632aa…
05-15 17:59:37	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x58d424…
05-15 14:32:12	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	254	59¢	$150	0x2a9f4b…
05-15 10:43:03	Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x84b866…
05-15 01:14:12	CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeb0c2d…
05-15 00:16:41	Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x4479a9…
05-14 19:34:44	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4d99ff…
05-14 19:33:59	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b26ed…
05-14 19:26:38	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	72	66¢	$47	0xfcf4c5…
05-14 19:23:25	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4893ab…
05-14 19:23:23	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xa3e763…
05-14 17:48:04	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x2ab6ef…
05-14 11:33:08	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x4f7e1f…
05-14 11:22:38	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x046144…
05-14 11:10:18	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe79dc8…
05-14 11:09:36	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x035739…
05-14 11:05:08	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x97abac…
05-13 19:26:03	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x73b95e…
05-13 17:36:04	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x97a6e4…
05-13 17:36:04	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	69	92¢	$63	0x90af9e…
05-13 17:36:02	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x1dad45…
05-13 17:36:02	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0b0c21…
05-13 17:36:01	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	99	92¢	$91	0x590f37…
05-13 17:36:01	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x333a47…
05-13 17:36:01	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x326c3c…
05-13 17:36:01	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x185546…
05-13 15:44:58	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2d81f7…
05-13 15:41:56	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	263	57¢	$150	0x04c716…
05-10 19:23:58	Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xda952e…
05-10 19:16:33	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x7cc505…
05-06 17:46:10	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xdc0e24…
05-06 17:45:56	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa30bfb…
05-06 17:45:46	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x77fecd…
05-06 17:45:23	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x32a444…
05-06 17:45:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x67d7d6…
05-06 17:28:42	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xcea96b…
05-05 09:57:06	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xc2ddad…
05-05 09:56:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3c0366…
05-05 03:21:06	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5ca66b…
05-05 02:59:32	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe797b4…
05-05 01:18:10	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf904fe…
05-04 15:57:12	AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC Hermannstadt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x0490eb…
05-04 13:13:04	AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC Hermannstadt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x163b7a…
05-03 20:19:36	Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xeb74cc…
05-01 18:04:10	Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xac9f57…
05-01 17:37:46	Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x4b1ef5…
05-01 15:13:04	Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x102f15…
05-01 15:12:48	Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xd1c72b…
05-01 14:59:40	Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x12cf9f…
05-01 02:12:52	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9bd9ae…
04-30 17:48:32	SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xac275a…
04-30 15:43:42	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Gujarat Titans	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x890258…
04-28 04:04:34	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x642a7b…
04-28 04:03:34	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xf591d7…
04-28 02:29:28	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x873c76…
04-28 02:29:20	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?	Yes	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x31e031…
04-28 02:22:12	Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x513e56…
04-27 22:17:36	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4d7195…
04-27 22:08:38	Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x340167…
04-27 22:08:28	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xdd40fd…