Flickering-Descent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

2,739

Trades

4,771

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 09-11 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 86% -$257

Other

6% 93% -$14

Sports

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 804 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$130	95	95	+0	Up	-$2	08-24 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$112	149	53	+96	Down	+$68	05-31 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$101	97	66	+31	Down	+$32	05-30 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	11	$97	90	73	+18	Down	+$5	08-24 01:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 19:15 UTC	2	$77	44	44	+0	Down	+$3	06-07 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 01:05 UTC	17	$75	78	78	+0	Down	+$13	06-22 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$69	58	54	+4	Up	+$11	05-16 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	14	$68	84	84	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 19:43
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	8	$67	92	92	+0	No	+$1	06-22 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	21	$65	64	57	+7	Up	+$13	05-31 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	10	$62	57	49	+8	Up	+$8	05-30 21:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 17:15 UTC	11	$60	48	48	+0	Down	-$9	08-21 17:28
cs2 yaw shk 2026 07 09	11	$59	53	53	+0	Sharks	-$7	07-09 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:35 UTC	6	$57	56	56	+0	Up	+$17	08-14 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:25 UTC	4	$55	45	45	+0	Up	+$9	08-16 19:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC	5	$51	42	33	+9	Up	+$12	08-21 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	13	$50	71	71	+0	Up	+$14	05-16 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	14	$49	58	58	+0	Down	+$8	05-31 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	24	$48	46	46	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	11	$48	40	34	+6	Up	+$1	09-11 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	2	$47	118	59	+59	Down	-$33	08-24 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$47	160	0	+160	Up	-$47	05-31 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 23:20 UTC	5	$46	34	34	+0	Up	+$10	07-09 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:50 UTC	9	$45	61	61	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 15:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	10	$44	50	23	+27	Down	+$6	05-31 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	9	$42	51	31	+20	Down	+$18	05-16 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	8	$37	64	14	+50	Down	-$16	06-03 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 23:15 UTC	4	$37	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 23:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 01:50 UTC	4	$36	56	56	+0	Up	-$4	06-22 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$36	33	33	+0	Down	$0	05-31 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 21:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4fc695…
09-11 21:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xfecb4d…
09-11 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xfd0d91…
09-11 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x446868…
09-11 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc9628d…
09-11 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xa3aa40…
09-11 21:16:09	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf1013e…
09-11 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x91eb54…
09-11 21:15:09	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x29ea86…
09-11 21:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xa19400…
09-11 21:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2cf2b3…
09-11 21:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x3d091b…
09-11 21:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x9c9a23…
09-11 21:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x423196…
09-11 21:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x3a656b…
09-11 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xcbf40a…
09-11 21:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbaca0c…
09-11 21:08:01	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7217e7…
09-11 21:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6b8bd2…
09-11 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe736f9…
09-11 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x401422…
09-11 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x131332…
09-11 21:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8dc40f…
09-11 21:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8bb965…
09-11 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf54912…
09-11 21:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0a6c75…
09-11 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xea5b18…
09-11 21:04:40	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb1f7f8…
09-11 21:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x68001f…
09-11 21:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xa37a7e…
09-11 21:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x85b2cc…
09-11 21:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2892ad…
09-11 21:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x6b7025…
09-11 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x20806c…
08-24 10:44:13	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x42e0da…
08-24 10:42:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x8f6ba9…
08-24 10:42:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x92a5f1…
08-24 10:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0x1513ba…
08-24 10:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x9bdb11…
08-24 10:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x80fb41…
08-24 10:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc8fce9…
08-24 10:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xf68783…
08-24 10:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x1b336f…
08-24 10:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x56f67a…
08-24 10:33:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x646f5d…
08-24 10:32:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xb86835…
08-24 10:32:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xc606a7…
08-24 10:32:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x1faf3a…
08-24 10:30:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5607d4…
08-24 10:30:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x665e1e…
08-24 10:30:24	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x939ec8…
08-24 10:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x91edc6…
08-24 10:28:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xf54edf…
08-24 10:28:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xecacbd…
08-24 08:43:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x02f9fc…
08-24 08:34:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcf79af…
08-24 08:33:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf70b0f…
08-24 08:23:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4eef65…
08-24 08:23:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8f2530…
08-24 08:08:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x938cb1…
08-24 07:23:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5af467…
08-24 07:23:34	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdb6071…
08-24 07:12:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xed3aaf…
08-24 06:53:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x633b73…
08-24 06:29:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2184c…
08-24 06:28:28	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc9ad64…
08-24 06:28:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb01f07…
08-24 06:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6084fe…
08-24 06:18:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd4b342…
08-24 06:13:55	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5b816d…
08-24 06:13:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x99b30d…
08-24 06:12:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb959c5…
08-24 06:03:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8ffefd…
08-24 05:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x166e9f…
08-24 05:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x3ced3b…
08-24 05:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xa16956…
08-24 05:43:34	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6cb319…
08-24 05:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x520e36…
08-24 05:43:27	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x29cc80…
08-24 05:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf89eb…
08-24 05:38:43	BNB Up or Down - August 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x091fa2…
08-24 05:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x80d0f1…
08-24 05:28:15	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0dae40…
08-24 05:27:55	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf76dfa…
08-24 05:27:06	BNB Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb53336…
08-24 05:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x67decd…
08-24 05:23:27	BNB Up or Down - August 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x052c24…
08-24 05:18:30	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4dbbba…
08-24 05:18:27	BNB Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa1f3f6…
08-24 05:13:40	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3f28cc…
08-24 05:09:12	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6b3a1e…
08-24 05:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x849c62…
08-24 04:59:18	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x460163…
08-24 04:58:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8acf15…
08-24 04:58:40	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd66b91…
08-24 04:57:15	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x44ad9a…
08-24 04:54:18	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x14c96e…
08-24 04:48:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x68ffb5…
08-24 04:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4db84…
08-24 04:44:03	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0d1bb7…